Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg Parashikim

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 3
FT
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Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
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35%
29%
36%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg: Sportiko i jep Estac Troyes 35% probabilitet fitese, Strasbourg 36% dhe barazimit 29%. Përditësuar së fundmi 6 Sep 2026, 15:00.

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  • Mysafiri shënon 75%
  • Ekipi Vendas Shënon 74%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 73%
  • Nën 3.5 Gola 71%
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Match Report

Strasbourg ran out emphatic 6–2 winners away at Troyes in Ligue 1, though the opening exchanges were far more competitive than the final scoreline suggests. Antoine Mille gave the hosts an early lead in the ninth minute, only for Strasbourg to turn the game around before half-time through Jacobo Ortega and Diogo Sousa, heading into the break 2–1 ahead.

The second half belonged entirely to Strasbourg. Giovanni Reyna extended the advantage just after the hour mark before being substituted off moments later, and Samuel Amo-Ameyaw then struck twice in quick succession in the 85th and 88th minutes to put the result beyond doubt. Conrad Harder and Jérémy Le Douaron added further goals deep into stoppage time to complete a comprehensive victory. Troyes' 11 corners to Strasbourg's none illustrated how the home side pressed desperately for a way back into the contest, but their opponents' clinical finishing told the real story, converting 12 shots on goal from 19 attempts. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Strasbourg win at just 36%, a call that ultimately proved cautious given the scale of the visitors' dominance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Antoine Mille assist: Anis Ouzenadji
9' ⚽ 1–0
Michel Diaz Yellow Card
37' ▮
⚽ 1–1 40'
Jacobo Ortega assist: Gessime Yassine
⚽ 1–2 42'
Diogo Sousa
▮ 45+2'
Pape Diop Yellow Card
HT 1–2
Merwan Ifnaoui ⇄ Kandet Diawara
56' ⇄
Hugo Picard ⇄ Jérémy Le Douaron
56' ⇄
⚽ 1–3 57'
Giovanni Reyna assist: Jacobo Ortega
⇄ 63'
Giovanni Reyna ⇄ Dário Essugo
⇄ 63'
Sebastian Nanasi ⇄ Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Renaud Ripart ⇄ Timothé Nkada
70' ⇄
⇄ 70'
Ismael Doukouré ⇄ Karim Coulibaly
⇄ 71'
Jacobo Ortega ⇄ Conrad Harder
⇄ 79'
Gessime Yassine ⇄ Lucas Høgsberg
Karim Dermane
84' ⇄
L. Maronnier ⇄ Iron Gomis
84' ⇄
⚽ 1–4 85'
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw assist: Dário Essugo
⚽ 1–5 88'
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
⚽ 1–6 90+2'
Conrad Harder assist: Diogo Sousa
Jérémy Le Douaron assist: Kandet Diawara
90+5' ⚽ 2–6
FT 2–6
Estac Troyes

Match Stats

Strasbourg
45% Ball Possession 55%
27 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Goal 12
10 Shots off Goal 3
11 Blocked Shots 4
19 Shots insidebox 16
8 Shots outsidebox 3
11 Corner Kicks 0
3 Offsides 1
6 Fouls 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 4
378 Total passes 514
302 Passes accurate 450
16 Free Kicks 6
Estac Troyes
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Antoine Mille M 8.2 90' 1 – 3 51 (42%) 4
9 Jérémy Le Douaron F 7.3 34' 1 – 3 7 (3%) –
7 Kandet Diawara F 7.0 34' – 1 1 13 (9%) –
23 Timothé Nkada F 6.7 20' – – 4 6 (5%) –
33 Patrick Beach G 6.6 90' – – – 16 (8%) –
3 Anis Ouzenadji D 6.6 90' – 1 1 34 (26%) 2
29 Karim Dermane M 6.4 84' – – 4 39 (34%) 2
22 Hugo Picard M 6.3 56' – – 2 21 (17%) –
8 Mouhamed Diop M 6.2 90' – – 3 24 (22%) 1
20 Renaud Ripart F 6.0 70' – – – 14 (10%) –
2 L. Maronnier D 5.9 84' – – 2 27 (22%) 3
6 Adrien Monfray D 5.8 90' – – 2 61 (52%) 3
11 Iron Gomis M 5.8 6' – – – 3 (3%) –
10 Merwan Ifnaoui M 5.7 56' – – – 20 (14%) –
4 Michel Diaz D 5.4 90' – – 2 38 (31%) –
Strasbourg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw F 8.5 27' 2 – 3 10 (9%) –
30 Jacobo Ortega F 8.3 71' 1 1 2 8 (6%) –
23 Diogo Sousa M 8.0 90' 1 1 4 30 (24%) 1
10 Giovanni Reyna M 7.9 63' 1 – 3 21 (18%) –
80 Gessime Yassine M 7.7 79' – 1 2 29 (23%) 4
40 Conrad Harder F 7.5 19' 1 – 2 8 (5%) 1
1 Filip Jørgensen G 7.4 90' – – – 65 (55%) 1
4 Jeyland Mitchell D 6.9 90' – – – 76 (72%) 3
6 Ismael Doukouré D 6.7 70' – – – 48 (47%) 1
36 Oso D 6.5 90' – – – 50 (41%) 1
16 Genesis Antwi D 6.5 90' – – – 33 (30%) 3
21 Pape Diop M 6.4 90' – – – 76 (68%) 2
11 Sebastian Nanasi F 6.4 63' – – 1 33 (29%) 1
24 Lucas Høgsberg D 6.1 11' – – – 4 (3%) –
14 Dário Essugo M 6.1 27' – 1 2 15 (13%) –
31 Karim Coulibaly D 6.1 20' – – – 8 (7%) –
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

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Estac Troyes
LLLWD
Strasbourg
LDWWL
Last 3 meetings Estac Troyes · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In this Ligue 1 clash, Estac Troyes will face Strasbourg, with both teams looking to improve their standings. Troyes has shown a mixed form this season, with a scoring rate of 1.2 goals per match, while Strasbourg has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. Key players to watch include Troyes' top scorer, who has netted 4 goals this season, and Strasbourg's playmaker, who has recorded 3 assists. The match could hinge on Troyes' ability to convert chances against a leaky Strasbourg defense.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
35%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
36%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

Strasbourg
Gessime Yassine 2 gls
S. Amo-Ameyaw 2 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg

1 Estac Troyes Wins
2 Draws
0 Strasbourg Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 May 2023 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Strasbourg
02 Jan 2023 Strasbourg 2 - 3 Estac Troyes
17 Apr 2022 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Strasbourg
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Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Angers L 2 - 0
13 Sep A Lille L 2 - 0
06 Sep H Strasbourg L 2 - 6
29 Aug A Lorient W 1 - 2
22 Aug H Paris FC D 0 - 0

Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Paris FC L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Monaco D 1 - 1
06 Sep A Estac Troyes W 2 - 6
29 Aug H Lens W 2 - 1
21 Aug A Marseille L 4 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Estac Troyes

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: S. Dumont
33 Beach
3 Ouzenadji
4 Diaz
6 Monfray
2 Maronnier
8 Diop
22 Picard
29 Karim
17 Mille
10 Ifnaoui
20 Ripart

Starting XI

# Player Pos
33 P. Beach G
2 L. Maronnier D
6 A. Monfray D
4 M. Diaz D
3 A. Ouzenadji D
8 M. Diop M
10 M. Ifnaoui M
17 A. Mille M
29 D. Karim M
22 H. Picard M
20 R. Ripart F

Substitutes

7 K. Diawara F
31 Noah Donkor D
11 I. Gomis M
39 Yacouba Koné F
9 J. Le Douaron F
23 T. Nkada F
26 A. Phliponeau M
40 H. Konaté G
41 Enisio Carneiro D

Strasbourg

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Hugo Oliveira
1 Jörgensen
36 Oso
6 Doukouré
4 Mitchell
16 Antwi
80 Yassine
21 Diop
23 Sousa
30 Ortega
11 Nanasi
10 Reyna

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Jörgensen G
16 G. Antwi D
4 J. Mitchell D
6 I. Doukouré D
36 Oso D
23 Diogo Sousa M
21 P. Diop M
80 Gessime Yassine M
10 G. Reyna M
11 S. Nanasi F
30 J. Ortega F

Substitutes

7 S. Amo-Ameyaw F
45 B. Brantlind M
31 Abdoul Karim Coulibaly D
14 Dário Essugo M
40 C. Harder F
24 L. Høgsberg D
26 O. Kellyman M
28 Tyrese Noubissie M
12 M. Piekutowski G

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