Nice vs Le Mans Parashikim

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Parashikim AI Nice ose barazim
48%
28%
24%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Nice vs Le Mans: Sportiko i jep Nice 48% probabilitet fitese, Le Mans 24% dhe barazimit 28%. Përditësuar së fundmi 5 Sep 2026, 20:38.

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Match Report

Nice and Le Mans played out a 1–1 draw in Ligue 1's third round of the regular season, with both goals arriving before the interval. Le Mans broke the deadlock on 13 minutes through Adil Bourabaa, but Nice levelled just before half-time when Elye Wahi converted to restore parity heading into the break.

The second half was largely defined by tactical reshuffling, with both sides making multiple substitutions in the hour mark. Le Mans dominated possession at 59% and earned five corner kicks to Nice's two, though neither team could manufacture a decisive chance — each side managed just two or three shots on target across the full ninety minutes. Wahi picked up a yellow card late on, while bookings were also shown to Alexandre Lauray, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, and Noa Boissé as the game grew increasingly fractious.

The result leaves both clubs with a point to show from this fixture. It is worth noting that our pre-match AI model had a Nice win as its most likely outcome at 48%, a call that ultimately fell short as the spoils were shared.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

0–1 13'
Adil Bourabaa assist: Jean Vercruysse
Elye Wahi assist: Sofiane Diop
44' 1–1
HT 1–1
58'
Alexandre Lauray Yellow Card
61'
Raúl Torrente ⇄ S. Yohou
61'
Jean Vercruysse ⇄ Antoine Rabillard
61'
Dame Gueye ⇄ Habib Diallo
Nathan N'Goumou ⇄ Gauthier Hein
65'
Sofiane Diop ⇄ Mohamed Amoura
65'
70'
Adil Bourabaa ⇄ Billal Brahimi
Axel Witsel ⇄ Antoine Mendy
73'
Niels Nkounkou ⇄ Ali Abdi
73'
Youssouf Ndayishimiye Yellow Card
75'
78'
Lucas Calodat ⇄ Yasser Larouci
82'
Noa Boissé Yellow Card
Elye Wahi Yellow Card
84'
Jonathan Clauss ⇄ Aboulaye Camara
85'
FT 1–1
Nice

Match Stats

Le Mans
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 1
5 Shots insidebox 2
3 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Corner Kicks 2
3 Offsides 1
4 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
540 Total passes 388
470 Passes accurate 314
10 Free Kicks 4
Nice
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Elye Wahi F 7.6 90' 1 2 18 (13%)
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem D 7.0 90' 1 89 (82%) 1
35 Xavier Mandza D 7.0 90' 78 (68%) 3
10 Sofiane Diop M 6.9 65' 1 28 (21%) 1
27 Niels Nkounkou M 6.8 73' 22 (20%) 1
39 Djibril Coulibaly M 6.7 90' 1 28 (27%) 1
9 Mohamed Amoura F 6.6 25' 1 11 (7%) 2
7 Gauthier Hein M 6.6 25' 10 (10%)
29 Nathan N'Goumou M 6.5 65' 27 (24%)
92 Jonathan Clauss M 6.4 85' 1 40 (32%) 2
2 Ali Abdi D 6.3 17' 8 (6%) 2
33 Antoine Mendy D 6.3 17' 6 (6%)
28 Axel Witsel M 6.2 73' 2 43 (41%) 1
23 Yehvann Diouf G 6.1 90' 39 (28%)
55 Youssouf Ndayishimiye D 6.0 90' 86 (80%)
38 Aboulaye Camara M 5.9 5' 6 (5%) 1
Le Mans
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Adil Bourabaa M 7.7 70' 1 1 27 (21%) 2
10 Jean Vercruysse M 7.1 61' 1 1 15 (11%)
9 Antoine Rabillard F 6.9 29' 6 (6%)
5 Harold Voyer D 6.9 90' 69 (63%) 1
22 Lucas Calodat M 6.8 78' 17 (14%) 1
1 Ewan Hatfout G 6.7 90' 33 (22%)
7 Billal Brahimi F 6.7 20' 15 (12%) 2
16 Raúl Torrente D 6.5 61' 29 (23%) 3
8 Alexandre Lauray M 6.5 90' 2 49 (40%) 4
13 Habib Diallo F 6.4 29' 1 7 (4%)
14 Louis Mafouta F 6.4 90' 1 8 (4%) 1
76 Yasser Larouci D 6.3 12' 6 (6%)
17 S. Yohou D 6.3 29' 17 (16%)
26 Rayan Bamba M 6.2 90' 32 (25%) 5
15 Noa Boissé D 6.1 90' 50 (42%) 2
25 Dame Gueye F 5.9 61' 1 7 (4%)
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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Nice ose barazim
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Nice
WLDLD
Le Mans
WDDLD

Match summary

Nice will face Le Mans in a Ligue 1 matchup with both teams showing differing forms. Nice has demonstrated a solid defensive record, conceding just 1.2 goals per match this season, while Le Mans has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.8 goals per game. Additionally, Nice's midfield has been effective in controlling possession, leading the league with a 60% pass completion rate. If they can maintain their defensive solidity and capitalize on Le Mans's vulnerabilities, they are positioned to secure a crucial victory.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
48%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
24%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Nice

No scorer data.

Le Mans
A. Bourabaa 3 gls
L. Mafouta 3 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Nice vs Le Mans

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Nice — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Lille W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Auxerre L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Le Mans D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Paris FC L 3 - 0
22 Aug H Lorient D 0 - 0

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Lorient W 2 - 1
13 Sep H Lens D 2 - 2
05 Sep A Nice D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Rennes L 3 - 2
22 Aug H Stade Brestois 29 D 2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Le Mans

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: P. Videira
1 Hatfout
5 Voyer
16 Torrente
15 Boissé
8 Lauray
22 Calodat
10 Vercruysse
11 Bourabaa
26 Bamba
25 Guèye
14 Mafouta

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Hatfout G
15 N. Boissé D
16 Raúl Torrente D
5 H. Voyer D
8 A. Lauray M
26 R. Bamba M
11 A. Bourabaa M
10 J. Vercruysse M
22 L. Calodat M
14 L. Mafouta F
25 D. Guèye F

Substitutes

23 D. Traoré M
9 A. Rabillard F
76 Y. Larouci D
13 H. Diallo F
55 A. Delbecque G
18 L. Buadés D
29 L. Bretelle M
7 B. Brahimi F
17 S. Yohou D

Nice

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: O. Pantaloni
23 Diouf
35 Tsiendi
55 Ndayishimiye
5 Abdelmonem
27 Nkounkou
28 Witsel
39 Coulibaly
92 Clauss
10 Diop
29 Ngoumou
11 Wahi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Y. Diouf G
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem D
55 Y. Ndayishimiye D
35 X. Mandza Tsiendi D
92 J. Clauss M
39 D. Coulibaly M
28 A. Witsel M
27 N. Nkounkou M
29 N. Ngoumou M
10 S. Diop M
11 E. Wahi F

Substitutes

9 M. Amoura F
77 T. Boulhendi G
38 A. Camara M
2 A. Abdi D
7 G. Hein M
21 I. Jansson F
33 A. Mendy D
41 D. Morana F
87 E. Pereira M

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