AC Milan vs Atalanta Parashikim
Parashikimi AC Milan vs Atalanta: Sportiko i jep AC Milan 52% probabilitet fitese, Atalanta 22% dhe barazimit 26%. Përditësuar së fundmi 18 Oct 2026, 17:58.
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- 1st Half Draw or Away 71%
Match Report
AC Milan edged out Atalanta 3–2 in a dramatic Serie A encounter, with the hosts holding a commanding 2–0 lead at the break. A VAR-confirmed penalty was converted by Gonçalo Ramos in the 24th minute, before Adrien Rabiot — who had earlier received a yellow card — added a second just before half-time. The pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 52%, and that assessment proved correct.
The second half brought chaos. Ramos squandered a VAR-awarded penalty on 57 minutes, and Atalanta immediately capitalised through Mario Gila Fuentes to make it 2–1. Gianluca Gaetano pulled the visitors level on 66 minutes, setting up a tense finale. Milan's earlier dominance in possession — 56% — and an expected goals figure of 2.38 to Atalanta's 1.6 reflected their overall control, though the match remained precarious until the end.
Nikola Krstović's goal on 81 minutes ultimately settled the contest in Milan's favour, completing a 3–2 victory that was harder fought than the half-time scoreline suggested.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AC Milan
Match Stats
AC Milan
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Adrien Rabiot F | 9.0 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 56 (49%) | 6 |
| 34 Mario Gila Fuentes D | 7.9 | 84' | 1 | – | 1 | 72 (66%) | 2 |
| 22 Diego Moreira M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 42 (39%) | – |
| 9 Gonçalo Ramos F | 7.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 20 Omari Hutchinson F | 6.9 | 37' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | 4 |
| 14 Luka Modrić M | 6.8 | 75' | – | – | – | 67 (64%) | – |
| 31 Strahinja Pavlović D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (56%) | 2 |
| 5 Koni De Winter D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (66%) | – |
| 80 Yunus Musah M | 6.7 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 56 (55%) | 2 |
| 2 Pervis Estupiñán D | 6.4 | 15' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 23 Fikayo Tomori D | 6.4 | 6' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 11 Christian Pulišić F | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | 1 |
| 30 Ardon Jashari M | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 14 (14%) | – |
| 16 Mike Maignan G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (36%) | – |
| 21 Samuel Chukwueze M | 6.1 | 53' | – | – | 1 | 31 (24%) | 1 |
| 8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek M | 6.0 | 15' | – | – | – | 11 (11%) | – |
Atalanta
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Nikola Krstović F | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 25 (22%) | – |
| 70 Gianluca Gaetano M | 7.2 | 31' | 1 | – | 1 | 27 (25%) | – |
| 16 Raoul Bellanova D | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 57 (56%) | 1 |
| 11 Jonathan Rowe F | 6.8 | 59' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | 2 |
| 47 Lorenzo Bernasconi D | 6.6 | 75' | – | – | – | 27 (25%) | 1 |
| 9 Gianluca Scamacca F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 8 Mario Pašalić M | 6.4 | 59' | – | – | – | 26 (26%) | 1 |
| 13 Éderson M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 58 (53%) | 1 |
| 10 Lazar Samardžić M | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | 3 | 36 (31%) | 3 |
| 17 Charles De Ketelaere F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (34%) | 2 |
| 31 Thomas Kristensen D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (52%) | 1 |
| 59 Nicola Zalewski M | 6.0 | 31' | – | 1 | – | 14 (13%) | – |
| 29 Marco Carnesecchi G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 77 Davide Zappacosta D | 5.9 | 15' | – | – | 2 | 12 (12%) | 1 |
| 23 Sead Kolašinac D | 5.8 | 20' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 40 Relja Obrić D | 5.8 | 70' | – | – | – | 36 (33%) | 1 |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
A. Rabiot
5 gls
Diego Moreira
4 gls
A. Cissè
4 gls
N. Krstović
6 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AC Milan vs Atalanta
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | AC Milan | 2 - 3 | Atalanta |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Atalanta | 1 - 1 | AC Milan |
| 20 Apr 2025 | AC Milan | 0 - 1 | Atalanta |
AC Milan — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Ferencvarosi TC | L | 0 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Inter | W | 3 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Bologna | L | 2 - 4 |
| 25 Oct | A Udinese | W | 0 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | A Bournemouth | L | 3 - 0 |
Atalanta — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Kairat Almaty | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | H Parma | L | 0 - 3 |
| 29 Oct | A Fiorentina | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H Frosinone | D | 4 - 4 |
| 22 Oct | A Ajax | L | 2 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lazio
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 |
AS Roma
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 |
Como
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Cagliari
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |
Napoli
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Atalanta
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Lecce
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |
Fiorentina
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |
Sassuolo
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |
Monza
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |
Venezia
|
11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |
Udinese
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
AC Milan
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Ruben Amorim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | M. Maignan | G |
| 34 | Mario Gila | D |
| 5 | K. De Winter | D |
| 31 | S. Pavlović | D |
| 21 | S. Chukwueze | M |
| 80 | Y. Musah | M |
| 14 | L. Modrić | M |
| 22 | Diego Moreira | M |
| 12 | A. Rabiot | F |
| 9 | Gonçalo Ramos | F |
| 11 | C. Pulišić | F |
Substitutes
| 35 | V. Vladimirov | D |
| 96 | L. Torriani | G |
| 23 | F. Tomori | D |
| 42 | F. Terracciano | D |
| 8 | R. Loftus-Cheek | M |
| 30 | A. Jashari | M |
| 20 | O. Hutchinson | F |
| 2 | P. Estupiñán | D |
| 13 | S. Bocoum | D |
| 28 | C. Comotto | M |
| 70 | A. Cissè | M |
| 73 | F. Camarda | F |
| 41 | L. P. Bouyer | G |
| 33 | D. Bartesaghi | D |
Atalanta
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: M. Sarri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | M. Carnesecchi | G |
| 16 | R. Bellanova | D |
| 31 | T. Kristensen | D |
| 23 | S. Kolašinac | D |
| 47 | L. Bernasconi | D |
| 10 | L. Samardžić | M |
| 13 | Éderson | M |
| 8 | Mario Pasalic | M |
| 17 | C. De Ketelaere | F |
| 90 | N. Krstović | F |
| 11 | J. Rowe | F |
Substitutes
| 70 | G. Gaetano | M |
| 77 | D. Zappacosta | D |
| 41 | J. Idele | M |
| 40 | R. ObriÄ | D |
| 53 | M. Plaia | D |
| 9 | G. Scamacca | F |
| 51 | M. Sonzogni | G |
| 57 | M. Sportiello | G |
| 59 | N. Zalewski | M |
| 45 | D. Pounga | M |