Lecce vs AS Roma Parashikim

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 2
FT
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Parashikim AI Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për AS Roma
14%
25%
61%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Lecce vs AS Roma: Sportiko i jep Lecce 14% probabilitet fitese, AS Roma 61% dhe barazimit 25%. Përditësuar së fundmi 31 Aug 2026, 18:34.

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  • Mbi 1.5 Gola 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 70%
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Match Report

Roma dismantled Lecce with a devastating first-half display, racing to a 3-0 lead inside 25 minutes. Donyell Malen was the architect of the early damage, opening the scoring in the fourth minute before doubling Roma's advantage on 23 minutes, despite picking up a yellow card in between. Matías Soulé added a third just two minutes later to put the contest beyond doubt before the break.

The second half was largely a matter of game management, with both sides making multiple substitutions. Rodrigo Mora added a fourth goal on 65 minutes to complete the scoring, rounding off a thoroughly comfortable evening for the visitors. Lecce's 65% share of possession offered little consolation, as Roma's clinical edge was reflected in an expected goals figure of just 0.74 for the hosts against Roma's 3.25.

The result was Roma's second consecutive Serie A victory, and a convincing one at that. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AS Roma win as the most likely outcome at 61%, a call that proved well-founded given how emphatically the match unfolded.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 4'
D. Malen
▮ 9'
D. Malen Yellow Card
⚽ 0–2 23'
D. Malen assist: Wesley
⚽ 0–3 25'
Matías Soulé
HT 0–3
Tiago Gabriel ⇄ Konan N'Dri
46' ⇄
Olaf Gorter ⇄ Youssef Maleh
46' ⇄
Willem Geubbels ⇄ Nikola Štulić
54' ⇄
⇄ 60'
Wesley ⇄ Nahuel Molina
⇄ 60'
Matías Soulé ⇄ Rodrigo Mora
⚽ 0–4 65'
Rodrigo Mora assist: Gianluca Mancini
⇄ 67'
Manu Koné ⇄ Niccolò Pisilli
⇄ 67'
D. Malen ⇄ Santiago Castro
Santiago Pierotti ⇄ Amar Fatah
72' ⇄
Oumar Ngom ⇄ Ivan Ilić
72' ⇄
⇄ 84'
Paulo Dybala ⇄ M. de Roon
Ivan Ilić Yellow Card
90' ▮
FT 0–4
Lecce

Match Stats

AS Roma
35% Ball Possession 65%
0.74 Expected Goals (xG) 3.25
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 8
4 Shots off Goal 7
0 Blocked Shots 0
3 Shots insidebox 10
4 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Corner Kicks 1
0 Offsides 9
9 Fouls 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
358 Total passes 668
276 Passes accurate 587
77% Passes % 88%
0.20 goals_prevented 0.20
Lecce
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
29 Lassana Coulibaly M 7.3 93' – – – 40 (34%) –
7 Amar Fatah F 6.6 21' – – – 3 (2%) –
50 Santiago Pierotti F 6.5 72' – – 1 26 (21%) 3
9 Nikola Štulić F 6.5 39' – – – 10 (9%) –
14 Youssef Maleh M 6.3 48' – – 1 22 (18%) –
30 Wladimiro Falcone G 6.3 93' – – – 30 (10%) –
44 Tiago Gabriel D 6.3 45' – – – 12 (11%) 2
3 Corrie Ndaba M 6.3 93' – – – 29 (25%) 1
79 Oumar Ngom M 6.3 72' – – – 36 (31%) 1
20 Ivan Ilić M 6.3 21' – – – 16 (16%) –
69 Willem Geubbels F 6.3 54' – – 2 9 (7%) –
11 Konan N'Dri F 6.2 48' – – 2 11 (4%) 1
28 Olaf Gorter M 6.2 45' – – – 12 (8%) –
5 Jamil Siebert D 6.0 93' – – – 28 (20%) 3
4 Kialonda Gaspar D 5.9 93' – – 1 43 (36%) 4
17 Danilo Veiga M 5.6 93' – – – 31 (24%) 1
AS Roma
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Mario Hermoso D 8.2 93' – – – 91 (83%) 6
21 Paulo Dybala F 8.2 84' – – 3 73 (63%) 1
23 Gianluca Mancini D 7.9 93' – 1 – 67 (64%) 2
14 D. Malen F 7.5 67' 2 – 5 17 (13%) 1
87 Daniele Ghilardi D 7.3 93' – – – 59 (52%) 5
86 Rodrigo Mora M 7.3 33' 1 – 1 20 (16%) 1
43 Wesley M 7.3 60' – 1 1 38 (30%) 4
17 Manu Koné M 7.0 67' – – – 55 (50%) 1
20 Nahuel Molina D 6.9 33' – – – 22 (20%) 2
99 Mile Svilar G 6.9 93' – – – 34 (28%) –
4 Bryan Cristante M 6.9 93' – – – 67 (59%) 2
18 Matías Soulé F 6.9 60' 1 – 4 41 (34%) –
77 Emanuele Lulli M 6.9 93' – – – 50 (44%) 2
61 Niccolò Pisilli M 6.6 26' – – – 24 (23%) 1
15 M. de Roon M 6.3 9' – – – 7 (5%) 1
9 Santiago Castro F 6.2 26' – – 1 3 (3%) 1
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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për AS Roma
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Lecce
LWLLW
AS Roma
DWDWW
Last 3 meetings Lecce · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A match, Lecce faces AS Roma, who have historically been stronger in head-to-head encounters. AS Roma's attacking prowess, led by key players, is complemented by a solid midfield that controls possession effectively. Lecce will need to leverage their defensive organization and capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities to challenge Roma’s backline. The match will be critical for both teams, as Roma aims to secure a spot in European competitions while Lecce seeks to establish mid-table stability.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
14%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
61%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lecce
L. Coulibaly 2 gls
AS Roma
D. Malen 6 gls
M. Soulé 2 gls

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Head to Head: Lecce vs AS Roma

0 Lecce Wins
0 Draws
3 AS Roma Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 Mar 2026 AS Roma 1 - 0 Lecce
06 Jan 2026 Lecce 0 - 2 AS Roma
29 Mar 2025 Lecce 0 - 1 AS Roma
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Lecce — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A AC Milan L 3 - 0
13 Sep H Monza W 3 - 2
07 Sep A Cagliari L 1 - 0
31 Aug H AS Roma L 0 - 4
23 Aug A Venezia W 0 - 2

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Inter D 2 - 2
14 Sep A Torino W 0 - 2
10 Sep A Fenerbahçe D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Atalanta W 2 - 1
31 Aug A Lecce W 0 - 4

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

AS Roma

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
99 Svilar
22 Hermoso
23 Mancini
87 Ghilardi
43 Wesley
4 Cristante
17 Koné
77 Lulli
18 Soulé
21 Dybala
14 Malen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 Mile Svilar G
87 Daniele Ghilardi D
23 Gianluca Mancini D
22 Mario Hermoso D
77 Emanuele Lulli M
17 Manu Koné M
4 Bryan Cristante M
43 Wesley M
21 Paulo Dybala F
18 Matías Soulé F
14 Donyell Malen F

Substitutes

95 Pierluigi Gollini G
70 Giorgio De Marzi G
26 Leonardo Balerdi D
3 Konstantinos Koulierakis D
5 Evan Ndicka D
20 Nahuel Molina D
61 Niccolò Pisilli M
15 Marten de Roon M
86 Rodrigo Mora M
9 Santiago Castro F

Lecce

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
30 Falcone
44 Gabriel
4 Gaspar
5 Siebert
3 Ndaba
28 Gorter
79 Ngom
29 Coulibaly
17 Veiga
69 Geubbels
50 Pierotti

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 Wladimiro Falcone G
5 Jamil Siebert D
4 Kialonda Gaspar D
44 Tiago Gabriel D
17 Danilo Veiga M
29 Lassana Coulibaly M
79 Oumar Ngom M
28 Olaf Gorter M
3 Corrie Ndaba M
50 Santiago Pierotti F
69 Willem Geubbels F

Substitutes

33 Plamen Penev G
1 Marco Bleve G
31 Elijah Scott D
2 Ali Dembélé D
25 Antonino Gallo D
34 Hjalte Lærke F
10 Medon Berisha M
8 Sadik Fofana M
20 Ivan Ilić M
14 Youssef Maleh M
16 Omri Gandelman M
22 Paco Esteban F
7 Amar Fatah F
9 Nikola Štulić F
11 N'Dri Konan F

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