SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg Parashikim

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2
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Parashikim AI SC Freiburg ose barazim
27%
27%
46%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg: Sportiko i jep SC Paderborn 07 27% probabilitet fitese, SC Freiburg 46% dhe barazimit 27%. Përditësuar së fundmi 5 Sep 2026, 15:24.

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Match Report

SC Freiburg claimed a narrow but deserved 1–0 victory at SC Paderborn to pick up three points in Bundesliga matchday two. Maximilian Eggestein proved the difference, netting the only goal of the game in the 26th minute to give the visitors a lead they would protect for the remainder of the contest. Freiburg headed into the break ahead and in control, holding 59% of possession throughout the match.

The second half was largely defined by indiscipline, with yellow cards handed out to players on both sides in quick succession. Paderborn pushed for an equaliser through a flurry of late substitutions, but despite registering 15 total shots, they managed only four on target — not enough to trouble Freiburg's backline. The visitors, for their part, were content to manage the game and see out the result.

It was a disciplined away performance from Freiburg, who demonstrated their quality in transition while limiting Paderborn's clear-cut chances. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Freiburg win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 26'
Maximilian Eggestein
Laurin Curda Yellow Card
38' ▮
▮ 43'
Yuito Suzuki Yellow Card
Rayan Philippe ⇄ Steffen Tigges
45' ⇄
HT 0–1
Jano Ter-Horst Yellow Card
48' ▮
▮ 56'
Philipp Lienhart Yellow Card
▮ 59'
Yannik Engelhardt Yellow Card
⇄ 74'
Jan-Niklas Beste ⇄ Lukas Kübler
⇄ 74'
Derry Scherhant ⇄ Vincenzo Grifo
Laurin Ulrich ⇄ Oliver Batista Meier
74' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Yannik Engelhardt ⇄ Berkay Yılmaz
⇄ 82'
Yuito Suzuki ⇄ Keisuke Goto
Jano Ter-Horst ⇄ Jonah Sticker
82' ⇄
Marvin Pieringer ⇄ Stefano Marino
82' ⇄
Mattes Hansen ⇄ Niklas Mohr
89' ⇄
Tjark Lasse Scheller Yellow Card
90+3' ▮
FT 0–1
SC Paderborn 07

Match Stats

SC Freiburg
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 8
6 Shots insidebox 9
7 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Corner Kicks 4
1 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
527 Total passes 362
433 Passes accurate 274
9 Free Kicks 15
SC Paderborn 07
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Nahuel Noll G 7.4 90' – – – 79 (60%) –
22 Mattes Hansen D 6.8 89' – – 1 75 (63%) 2
18 Marvin Pieringer F 6.7 82' – – 3 21 (15%) 1
5 Santiago Castañeda M 6.7 90' – – 1 52 (47%) 3
9 Rayan Philippe F 6.6 46' – – 1 2 (2%) –
25 Tjark Lasse Scheller D 6.6 90' – – – 79 (71%) 2
28 Laurin Ulrich M 6.5 74' – – 3 26 (21%) –
21 Jano Ter-Horst D 6.4 82' – – – 59 (51%) 4
23 Raphael Obermair M 6.4 90' – – – 33 (25%) 2
30 Stefano Marino F 6.3 8' – – – 2 (1%) –
3 Jonah Sticker M 6.3 8' – – – 3 (1%) –
24 Niklas Mohr M 6.3 1' – – – 1 (1%) –
27 Steffen Tigges F 6.2 44' – – 3 16 (10%) –
40 Gabriel Vidović M 6.1 90' – – – 36 (35%) 1
7 Oliver Batista Meier M 6.0 16' – – 1 6 (5%) 1
17 Laurin Curda M 5.8 90' – – – 37 (25%) 3
SC Freiburg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Maximilian Eggestein M 8.1 90' 1 – 4 39 (26%) 1
28 Matthias Ginter D 7.9 90' – – – 33 (27%) 6
29 Philipp Treu D 7.8 90' – – – 36 (33%) 5
1 Mio Backhaus G 7.3 90' – – – 41 (28%) 1
14 Yuito Suzuki M 7.2 82' – – 2 23 (21%) 1
31 Igor Matanović F 7.1 90' – – 4 27 (17%) 1
17 Lukas Kübler D 7.0 16' – – – 9 (6%) –
7 Derry Scherhant M 7.0 74' – – 3 12 (10%) 1
27 Berkay Yılmaz D 6.9 8' – – – 2 (2%) 1
19 Jan-Niklas Beste M 6.8 74' – – 1 21 (16%) 3
32 Vincenzo Grifo M 6.8 16' – – – 9 (9%) –
3 Philipp Lienhart D 6.7 90' – – – 44 (33%) 1
33 Jordy Makengo D 6.6 90' – – – 39 (26%) –
42 Keisuke Goto F 6.5 8' – – – 1 (1%) –
16 Yannik Engelhardt M 6.4 82' – – 1 26 (19%) 1
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
SC Freiburg ose barazim
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SC Paderborn 07
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SC Freiburg
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Last 3 meetings SC Paderborn 07 · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, SC Paderborn 07 will face SC Freiburg. Paderborn currently stands with a mixed record, having shown vulnerability in defense, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last five games. Conversely, Freiburg has been more consistent, leveraging a solid midfield to control possession and create scoring opportunities. Key players to watch include Freiburg's top scorer, who has been instrumental in their attacking plays. This match will be crucial for both teams as they aim to secure vital points early in the season.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
27%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
46%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

SC Paderborn 07

No scorer data.

SC Freiburg
Y. Suzuki 4 gls
I. Matanović 3 gls

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Head to Head: SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg

2 SC Paderborn 07 Wins
0 Draws
1 SC Freiburg Wins
Date Home Score Away
25 Jan 2020 SC Freiburg 0 - 2 SC Paderborn 07
24 Aug 2019 SC Paderborn 07 1 - 3 SC Freiburg
02 May 2015 SC Freiburg 1 - 2 SC Paderborn 07
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SC Paderborn 07 — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H 1899 Hoffenheim W 3 - 1
12 Sep A Borussia Dortmund L 3 - 0
05 Sep H SC Freiburg L 0 - 1
29 Aug A FSV Mainz 05 D 0 - 0
23 Aug A Phönix Lübeck W 2 - 4

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Eintracht Frankfurt D 2 - 2
12 Sep H Borussia Mönchengladbach W 5 - 0
05 Sep A SC Paderborn 07 W 0 - 1
30 Aug H Werder Bremen W 4 - 1
27 Aug H Motherwell W 4 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund
4 4 0 0 +7 12
2
Bayern München
4 3 1 0 +12 10
3
SC Freiburg
4 3 1 0 +9 10
4
FC Augsburg
4 2 1 1 +5 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 1 1 +5 7
6
FSV Mainz 05
4 2 1 1 +4 7
7
SV Elversberg
4 2 1 1 +1 7
8
Werder Bremen
4 2 1 1 0 7
9
RB Leipzig
4 2 0 2 +4 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 2 1 -1 5
11
FC Schalke 04
4 1 2 1 -1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07
4 1 1 2 -2 4
13
1. FC Köln
4 1 1 2 -3 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 0 3 -3 3
15
VfB Stuttgart
4 1 0 3 -3 3
16
Hamburger SV
4 1 0 3 -11 3
17
Union Berlin
4 0 1 3 -13 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0 4 -10 0

SC Freiburg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Schuster
1 Backhaus
33 Makengo
3 Lienhart
28 Ginter
29 Treu
16 Engelhardt
8 Eggestein
7 Scherhant
14 Suzuki
19 Beste
31 Matanović

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Backhaus G
29 P. Treu D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
33 J. Makengo D
8 M. Eggestein M
16 Y. Engelhardt M
19 J. Beste M
14 Y. Suzuki M
7 D. Scherhant M
31 I. Matanović F

Substitutes

37 M. Rosenfelder D
43 I. Ogbus D
21 F. Müller G
17 L. Kübler D
22 Cyriaque Kalou Irié F
30 C. Günter D
32 V. Grifo M
42 K. Goto F
27 Berkay Yilmaz D

SC Paderborn 07

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: R. Kettemann
15 Noll
22 Hansen
25 Scheller
21 Horst
23 Obermair
40 Vidović
5 Castañeda
28 Ulrich
17 Curda
9 Philippe
18 Pieringer

Starting XI

# Player Pos
15 N. Noll G
21 J. ter Horst D
25 T. Scheller D
22 M. Hansen D
17 L. Curda M
28 L. Ulrich M
5 S. Castañeda M
40 G. Vidović M
23 R. Obermair M
18 M. Pieringer F
9 R. Philippe F

Substitutes

6 T. Baack M
7 O. Batista Meier M
29 C. Lippmann D
30 S. Marino F
24 N. Mohr M
1 M. Schubert G
3 Jonah Benedict Sticker M
27 S. Tigges F
8 L. Đurić M

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