Malaga vs Real Sociedad Parashikim

La Liga · Regular Season - 9

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Real Sociedad

Away

Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga

Parashikim AI Real Sociedad ose barazim

30%

28%

43%

Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Malaga vs Real Sociedad: Sportiko i jep Malaga 30% probabilitet fitese, Real Sociedad 43% dhe barazimit 28%. Përditësuar së fundmi 18 Oct 2026, 18:25.

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Ekipi Vendas Shënon 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Real Sociedad made a commanding start at La Rosaleda, with Takefusa Kubo breaking the deadlock inside three minutes. Orri Steinn Óskarsson doubled the advantage on 26 minutes, and the visitors carried a comfortable 2–0 lead into half-time despite Malaga enjoying the majority of possession.

The second half brought a brief Malaga resurgence, with Adrián Niño Heredia pulling one back on 54 minutes, only for Mikel Oyarzabal to restore the two-goal cushion five minutes later. The tie was effectively settled in a frantic spell between the 66th and 67th minutes, when Pablo Martínez and Oyarzabal — his second of the game — made it 4–1 in the space of 60 seconds. Gonçalo Guedes added a fifth on 73 minutes to complete the rout, with Malaga's consolation effort leaving the final score at 2–5.

The result was a striking one given Malaga's 54% possession and 21 total shots, though their expected goals figure of 2.41 against Real Sociedad's 1.1 tells a story of clinical finishing from the away side. The pre-match AI model had identified a Real Sociedad win as the most likely outcome, a call that proved well-founded.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 3'

Takefusa Kubo assist: Hector Fort

⚽ 0–2 26'

Orri Steinn Óskarsson

▮ 37'

Jon Martin Yellow Card

Izan Merino ⇄ Ramón Enríquez

45' ⇄

Jose Salinas ⇄ Adam Aznou

45' ⇄

HT 0–2

Adrián Niño Heredia assist: Pablo Martínez

54' ⚽ 1–2

⚽ 1–3 59'

Mikel Oyarzabal assist: Takefusa Kubo

⇄ 61'

Ander Barrenetxea ⇄ Gonçalo Guedes

⇄ 61'

Hector Fort ⇄ Igor Zubeldia

▮ 62'

Mamadou Sarr Yellow Card

Carlos Dotor ⇄ Dani Lorenzo

64' ⇄

Pablo Martínez

66' ⚽ 2–3

⚽ 2–4 67'

Mikel Oyarzabal assist: Jon Martin

David Larrubia ⇄ Joaquín Muñoz

68' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Aihen Muñoz ⇄ Sergio Gómez

⇄ 71'

Takefusa Kubo ⇄ Job Ochieng

⚽ 2–5 73'

Gonçalo Guedes

⇄ 79'

Orri Steinn Óskarsson ⇄ Alex Marchal

Adrián Niño Heredia ⇄ Carlos Puga

82' ⇄

FT 2–5

Malaga

Match Stats

Real Sociedad

46% Ball Possession 54%

1.1 Expected Goals (xG) 2.41

17 Total Shots 21

6 Shots on Goal 9

7 Shots off Goal 6

4 Blocked Shots 6

12 Shots insidebox 12

5 Shots outsidebox 9

4 Corner Kicks 5

2 Offsides 2

3 Fouls 9

0 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

478 Total passes 586

413 Passes accurate 523

8 Free Kicks 4

Malaga

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Pablo Martínez M	8.5	90'	1	1	3	33 (26%)	1
21 Adrián Niño Heredia F	7.7	82'	1	–	3	6 (4%)	–
10 David Larrubia M	6.8	68'	–	–	1	23 (21%)	5
11 Joaquín Muñoz F	6.8	22'	–	–	2	8 (5%)	–
6 Ramón Enríquez M	6.6	44'	–	–	–	48 (44%)	–
8 Carlos Dotor M	6.4	64'	–	–	–	46 (41%)	5
9 Chupete F	6.3	90'	–	–	5	20 (14%)	1
22 Dani Lorenzo M	6.2	26'	–	–	1	26 (23%)	–
23 Izan Merino M	6.2	46'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	–
20 Fernando Calero D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	48 (45%)	2
15 Ángel Recio D	6.0	90'	–	–	1	57 (55%)	2
31 Rafa Garrido D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	61 (57%)	1
39 Adam Aznou D	5.8	44'	–	–	1	17 (13%)	2
1 Alfonso Herrero G	5.8	90'	–	–	–	35 (22%)	–
12 Jose Salinas D	5.7	46'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	2
3 Carlos Puga D	5.4	8'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–

Real Sociedad

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F	9.2	90'	2	–	5	59 (52%)	–
14 Takefusa Kubo M	8.5	71'	1	1	1	20 (18%)	2
11 Gonçalo Guedes F	7.6	29'	1	–	3	11 (10%)	–
9 Orri Steinn Óskarsson F	7.5	79'	1	–	4	13 (9%)	–
18 Carlos Soler M	7.0	90'	–	–	2	97 (89%)	1
6 Jon Martin D	6.9	90'	–	1	1	54 (51%)	3
17 Sergio Gómez F	6.9	19'	–	–	–	18 (18%)	1
22 Hector Fort D	6.8	61'	–	1	–	36 (36%)	1
4 Jon Gorrotxategi M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	73 (66%)	1
1 Álex Remiro G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	48 (32%)	–
12 Job Ochieng F	6.6	19'	–	–	1	9 (6%)	2
3 Aihen Muñoz D	6.5	71'	–	–	1	34 (28%)	3
29 Alex Marchal F	6.5	11'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	1
19 Mamadou Sarr D	6.4	90'	–	–	1	62 (62%)	1
5 Igor Zubeldia D	6.3	29'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	–
7 Ander Barrenetxea M	6.2	61'	–	–	2	23 (21%)	2

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Analizat tona

Real Sociedad ose barazim

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Malaga

LLWDL

Real Sociedad

DLWWW

Last 3 meetings Malaga · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In their upcoming La Liga clash, Malaga will face Real Sociedad, a matchup that typically highlights Sociedad's attacking prowess. Malaga's recent form shows a struggle in converting chances, with a goal conversion rate of just 8% over the last five matches. Conversely, Real Sociedad has been more effective, boasting an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Key players to watch include Sociedad's Alexander Isak, who has been pivotal in their offense. This match will be crucial for Malaga as they aim to improve their league standing against a formidable opponent.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

43%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Malaga

Adrián Niño Heredia 5 gls

Real Sociedad

L. Sučić 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Malaga vs Real Sociedad

2 Malaga Wins

1 Draws

0 Real Sociedad Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Apr 2018	Malaga	2 - 0	Real Sociedad
10 Dec 2017	Real Sociedad	0 - 2	Malaga
14 May 2017	Real Sociedad	2 - 2	Malaga

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Malaga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	H Racing Santander	L	1 - 2
31 Oct	A Real Betis	L	2 - 1
27 Oct	A Alcazar	W	0 - 3
23 Oct	A Alaves	D	1 - 1
18 Oct	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 5

Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Nov	H Lyon	D	1 - 1
01 Nov	A Athletic Club	L	2 - 1
25 Oct	H Levante	W	2 - 1
22 Oct	A Lillestrom	W	0 - 6
18 Oct	A Malaga	W	2 - 5

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	46	12	+34	30
2	Real Madrid	12	10	0	2	31	10	+21	30
3	Atletico Madrid	11	9	1	1	22	8	+14	28
4	Real Betis	11	7	2	2	18	15	+3	23
5	Real Sociedad	11	6	1	4	20	20	0	19
6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	17	19	-2	18
7	Athletic Club	11	4	4	3	15	11	+4	16
8	Deportivo La Coruna	12	3	6	3	15	14	+1	15
9	Racing Santander	12	4	2	6	17	30	-13	14
10	Alaves	12	3	4	5	15	17	-2	13
11	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15	15	0	12
12	Celta Vigo	11	2	6	3	10	10	0	12
13	Espanyol	12	3	3	6	13	14	-1	12
14	Rayo Vallecano	10	3	3	4	15	20	-5	12
15	Getafe	11	3	3	5	8	16	-8	12
16	Osasuna	12	3	3	6	12	23	-11	12
17	Elche	11	2	4	5	14	18	-4	10
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	16	21	-5	10
19	Valencia	12	2	3	7	8	20	-12	9
20	Malaga	12	0	5	7	9	23	-14	5

Real Sociedad

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: P. Matarazzo

1 Remiro

3 Muñoz

19 Sarr

6 Martín

22 Fort

7 Barrenetxea

18 Soler

4 Gorrotxategi

14 Kubo

9 Óskarsson

10 Oyarzabal

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Álex Remiro	G
22	Héctor Fort	D
6	Jon Martín	D
19	M. Sarr	D
3	Aihen Muñoz	D
14	T. Kubo	M
4	Jon Gorrotxategi	M
18	Carlos Soler	M
7	Barrenetxea	M
10	Mikel Oyarzabal	F
9	O. Óskarsson	F

Substitutes

11	Gonçalo Guedes	F
17	Sergio Gómez	F
28	A. Lebarbier	M
29	Alex Garcia	F
13	Unai Marrero	G
12	J. Ochieng	F
16	Jon Pacheco	D
24	L. Sučić	M
8	Beñat Turrientes	M
23	A. Zakharyan	M
5	Zubeldia	D
27	Gorka Carrera	F

Malaga

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Funes

1 Herrero

12 Salinas

15 Recio

20 Calero

31 Rafita

18 Martínez

8 Dotor

23 Merino

10 Larrubia

9 Chupe

21 Heredia

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Alfonso Herrero	G
31	Rafita	D
20	Fernando Calero	D
15	Ángel Recio	D
12	José Salinas	D
10	David Larrubia	M
23	Izan Merino	M
8	Carlos Dotor	M
18	Pablo Martínez	M
21	Adrián Niño Heredia	F
9	Chupe	F

Substitutes

6	Ramón Enríquez	M
7	H. Abaida	F
4	Einar Galilea	D
17	Eneko Jauregi	F
22	Dani Lorenzo	M
13	Carlos López	G
11	Joaquín Muñoz	F
5	Álex Pastor	D
3	Puga	D
14	Rafa Rodríguez	M
2	J. Cajuste	M
39	Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh	D