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Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Parashikim

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Home
2 : 2
HT 0 - 0
Villarreal

Villarreal

Away
Parashikim AI Atletico Madrid ose barazim
48%
27%
25%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal: Sportiko i jep Atletico Madrid 48% probabilitet fitese, Villarreal 25% dhe barazimit 27%. Përditësuar së fundmi 23 Aug 2026, 17:07.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
  • Mysafiri shënon 70%
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Match Report

Atletico Madrid and Villarreal played out a dramatic 2–2 draw at the Metropolitano, with all the action coming in a frantic second half after a goalless first period. Marc Pubill broke the deadlock on 59 minutes to give Villarreal the lead, before Gerard Moreno converted a penalty seven minutes later to level matters, a goal that also prompted a flurry of substitutions from both sides.

The match turned significantly on 76 minutes when Atletico's Robin Le Normand was shown a red card, leaving the hosts a man down. Villarreal capitalised almost immediately through a Georges Mikautadze penalty on 78 minutes, putting them ahead once more. However, Giuliano Simeone rescued a point for Atletico with an equaliser on 85 minutes, capping a remarkable comeback under difficult circumstances.

Despite the share of the spoils, the underlying numbers told an interesting story — Villarreal generated an expected goals figure of 3.14 compared to Atletico's 0.65, suggesting the hosts were fortunate to avoid defeat. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atletico win as the most likely outcome at 48%, though ultimately neither side managed to claim all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
Rodrigo Mendoza ⇄ Alex Baena
46' ⇄
▮ 50'
Santiago Mouriño Yellow Card
Alex Baena Yellow Card
54' ▮
Marc Pubill assist: Giuliano Simeone
59' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 61'
Alberto Moleiro ⇄ Gerard Moreno
⇄ 61'
Ayoze Pérez ⇄ Tajon Buchanan
⚽ 1–1 66'
Gerard Moreno Penalty
Koke ⇄ Marcos Llorente
66' ⇄
Marc Pubill ⇄ Julián Alvarez
66' ⇄
Kang-in Lee ⇄ Pablo Barrios
66' ⇄
Yellow Card
76' ▮
Robin Le Normand Red Card
76' ▮
Morten Hjulmand Yellow Card
76' ▮
⚽ 1–2 78'
Georges Mikautadze Penalty
Ademola Lookman ⇄ José María Giménez
79' ⇄
⇄ 79'
Nicolas Pépé ⇄ Carlos Maciá
⇄ 79'
Georges Mikautadze ⇄ Ilias Akhomach
Giuliano Simeone assist: Alex Baena
85' ⚽ 2–2
⇄ 85'
Santi Comesaña ⇄ Tani Oluwaseyi
José María Giménez Yellow Card
90+1' ▮
FT 2–2
Atletico Madrid

Match Stats

Villarreal
52% Ball Possession 48%
0.65 Expected Goals (xG) 3.14
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 3
9 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 8
12 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
444 Total passes 433
399 Passes accurate 382
90% Passes % 88%
-0.13 goals_prevented -0.13
Atletico Madrid
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Marc Pubill D 8.2 66' 1 – 1 32 (28%) 1
6 Koke M 7.9 66' – – – 44 (39%) 4
13 Jan Oblak G 7.9 88' – – – 24 (22%) –
20 Giuliano Simeone M 7.6 88' 1 1 2 30 (25%) 5
11 Ademola Lookman F 7.2 79' – – – 13 (12%) 1
7 Kang-in Lee F 6.9 66' – – 3 31 (25%) 2
17 Dávid Hancko D 6.9 88' – – – 60 (53%) –
8 Pablo Barrios M 6.9 22' – – – 16 (14%) 1
14 Marcos Llorente M 6.7 22' – – – 14 (14%) 2
23 Morten Hjulmand M 6.6 88' – – 1 57 (56%) 3
22 Alejandro Grimaldo D 6.3 88' – – 1 39 (36%) 4
10 Alex Baena M 6.3 43' – 1 – 19 (14%) –
2 José María Giménez D 6.3 9' – – – 10 (10%) –
19 Julián Alvarez F 6.3 22' – – – 4 (4%) –
4 Rodrigo Mendoza M 6.3 45' – – 1 16 (14%) 1
24 Robin Le Normand D 5.9 76' – – – 35 (33%) 1
Villarreal
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Georges Mikautadze F 7.7 79' 1 – 4 21 (17%) –
7 Gerard Moreno F 7.2 27' 1 – 1 8 (6%) –
17 Tajon Buchanan F 7.0 27' – – – 6 (5%) –
19 Nicolas Pépé M 6.9 79' – – 1 31 (30%) –
18 Pape Gueye M 6.9 88' – – 1 62 (55%) 1
22 Ayoze Pérez F 6.9 61' – – 1 25 (20%) –
11 Ilias Akhomach F 6.7 9' – – – – –
8 Juan Foyth D 6.7 88' – – – 57 (52%) –
12 Renato Veiga D 6.6 88' – – – 50 (44%) –
10 Alberto Moleiro M 6.6 61' – – – 28 (25%) 3
15 Santiago Mouriño D 6.5 88' – – – 32 (30%) 4
26 Carlos Maciá M 6.5 9' – – – 2 (2%) –
14 Santi Comesaña M 6.3 85' – – – 51 (44%) –
1 Luiz Júnior G 6.2 88' – – – 25 (24%) –
20 Carlos Romero D 6.0 88' – – – 34 (27%) 2
21 Tani Oluwaseyi F — 3' – – – 1 (1%) –
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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Atletico Madrid ose barazim
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Atletico Madrid
WWWLL
Villarreal
WWLLL
Last 3 meetings Atletico Madrid · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Atletico Madrid will face Villarreal in a La Liga clash on August 23, 2026. Atletico possesses a strong defensive record, having conceded only 30 goals in the previous season, while Villarreal's attack struggled, finishing with a goal tally significantly lower than the league average. Key players like Antoine Griezmann and Álvaro Morata could exploit Villarreal's defensive vulnerabilities, while Villarreal will rely on their midfield creativity to break down Atletico's organized defense. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they look to secure early points in the league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
48%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
25%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Atletico Madrid
Álex Baena 4 gls
J. David 3 gls
Villarreal
P. Gueye 3 gls
Alberto Moleiro 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal

1 Atletico Madrid Wins
1 Draws
1 Villarreal Wins
Date Home Score Away
24 May 2026 Villarreal 5 - 1 Atletico Madrid
13 Sep 2025 Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Villarreal
25 Jan 2025 Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Villarreal
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Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Real Madrid W 2 - 1
16 Sep H Osasuna W 4 - 0
13 Sep A Real Sociedad W 0 - 3
09 Sep A Liverpool L 2 - 1
05 Sep A Athletic Club L 3 - 0

Villarreal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Levante W 3 - 1
17 Sep A Malaga W 1 - 3
14 Sep H Real Betis L 1 - 2
08 Sep A Borussia Dortmund L 3 - 2
05 Sep H Deportivo La Coruna L 2 - 3

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Atletico Madrid

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: D. Simeone
13 Oblak
22 Grimaldo
17 Hancko
24 Normand
18 Pubill
4 Mendoza
23 Hjulmand
6 Koke
20 Simeone
7 Lee
11 Lookman

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Jan Oblak G
18 Marc Pubill D
24 Robin Le Normand D
17 Dávid Hancko D
22 Alejandro Grimaldo D
20 Giuliano Simeone M
6 Koke M
23 Morten Hjulmand M
4 Rodrigo Mendoza M
11 Ademola Lookman F
7 Kang-in Lee F

Substitutes

10 Alex Baena M
1 Juan Musso G
14 Marcos Llorente M
2 José María Giménez D
30 Dani Martinez D
27 Jorge Domínguez D
8 Pablo Barrios M
5 Johnny Cardoso M
16 Arnau Ortiz F
46 Jorge Castillo M
19 Julián Alvarez F
12 Carlos Martín F

Villarreal

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Inigo Perez
1 Júnior
20 Romero
12 Veiga
8 Foyth
15 Mouriño
10 Moleiro
18 Gueye
14 Comesaña
19 Pépé
9 Mikautadze
22 Pérez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Luiz Júnior G
15 Santiago Mouriño D
8 Juan Foyth D
12 Renato Veiga D
20 Carlos Romero D
19 Nicolas Pépé M
14 Santi Comesaña M
18 Pape Gueye M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
22 Ayoze Pérez F
9 Georges Mikautadze F

Substitutes

17 Tajon Buchanan F
7 Gerard Moreno F
25 Péter Gulácsi G
6 Pau Navarro D
3 Alexander Freeman D
23 Sergi Cardona D
2 Logan Costa D
30 Cheikh Tidiane Thiam M
27 Nizar El Jmili F
26 Carlos Maciá M
11 Ilias Akhomach F
21 Tani Oluwaseyi F

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