Leeds vs Manchester United Parashikim
Parashikimi Leeds vs Manchester United: Sportiko i jep Leeds 38% probabilitet fitese, Manchester United 33% dhe barazimit 28%. Përditësuar së fundmi 18 Oct 2026, 14:55.
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Match Report
Manchester United dominated possession at Elland Road, controlling 62% of the ball, but it was Leeds who struck first in what proved to be an entertaining Yorkshire derby. Bryan Mbeumo opened the scoring on 35 minutes with a composed finish, sending the home side into half-time trailing despite their territorial advantage. An early yellow card for Bruno Fernandes at 17 minutes added an edge to United's afternoon, while Lisandro Martínez was withdrawn at the break, suggesting a tactical or fitness concern.
Leeds drew level six minutes into the second half through Dominic Calvert-Lewin, cancelling out United's lead and shifting the momentum firmly toward the hosts. Despite United's possession superiority, Leeds generated the greater threat in open play, finishing with an expected goals figure of 0.93 against United's 1.00 — remarkably even given the territorial imbalance.
The closing stages grew fractious, with yellow cards for Ethan Ampadu and Andrey Santos deep into stoppage time. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Leeds win as the most likely outcome at 38%, and while United salvaged a point, the hosts will feel they did enough to deserve all three.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Leeds
Match Stats
Leeds
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin F | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 5 Tarik Muharemović D | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 87 (73%) | – |
| 30 Nico Elvedi D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 82 (75%) | – |
| 18 Anton Stach M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 30 (22%) | – |
| 1 James Trafford G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (37%) | – |
| 14 Lukas Nmecha F | 6.6 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 22 Ao Tanaka M | 6.5 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 53 (47%) | 2 |
| 24 James Justin D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (52%) | 2 |
| 3 Gabriel Gudmundsson M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | 1 |
| 4 Ethan Ampadu M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 72 (64%) | 2 |
| 19 Noah Okafor M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 2 Jayden Bogle M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (29%) | 2 |
| 8 Sean Longstaff M | 6.2 | 9' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
Manchester United
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Youri Tielemans M | 7.7 | 84' | – | 1 | 1 | 26 (20%) | 1 |
| 19 Bryan Mbeumo F | 7.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 5 Harry Maguire D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (31%) | 3 |
| 2 Diogo Dalot D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (30%) | 4 |
| 3 Noussair Mazraoui D | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 20 Carlos Baleba M | 6.6 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 26 (23%) | 1 |
| 7 Mason Mount M | 6.6 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 9 (9%) | 1 |
| 10 Matheus Cunha F | 6.5 | 6' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 1 Senne Lammens G | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (15%) | – |
| 15 Leny Yoro D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | 1 |
| 8 Bruno Fernandes M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 37 (23%) | 1 |
| 17 Andrey Santos M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (29%) | 1 |
| 16 Amad Diallo M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 24 (21%) | 6 |
| 6 Lisandro Martínez D | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 17 (12%) | – |
Zhblloko analizën e plotë të AI-t për Leeds vs Manchester United
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
D. Calvert-Lewin
3 gls
B. Mbeumo
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Leeds vs Manchester United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2026 | Manchester United | 1 - 2 | Leeds |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Leeds | 1 - 1 | Manchester United |
| 12 Feb 2023 | Leeds | 0 - 2 | Manchester United |
Leeds — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Tottenham | W | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Bournemouth | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Sunderland | D | 0 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H Manchester United | D | 1 - 1 |
| 10 Oct | A Arsenal | L | 2 - 1 |
Manchester United — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | H AS Roma | W | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Chelsea | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Bournemouth | L | 0 - 3 |
| 21 Oct | A Como | L | 4 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Leeds | D | 1 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Manchester United
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Carrick
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Lammens | G |
| 15 | L. Yoro | D |
| 5 | H. Maguire | D |
| 6 | Lisandro Martínez | D |
| 2 | Diogo Dalot | D |
| 17 | Andrey Santos | M |
| 20 | C. Baleba | M |
| 16 | A. Diallo | M |
| 18 | Y. Tielemans | M |
| 8 | Bruno Fernandes | M |
| 19 | B. Mbeumo | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | M. de Ligt | D |
| 3 | N. Mazraoui | D |
| 41 | H. Amass | D |
| 7 | M. Mount | M |
| 31 | S. Lacey | F |
| 10 | Matheus Cunha | F |
| 9 | M. Rashford | F |
| 12 | K. Darlow | G |
| 11 | J. Zirkzee | F |
Leeds
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: D. Farke
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Trafford | G |
| 24 | J. Justin | D |
| 30 | N. Elvedi | D |
| 5 | T. Muharemović | D |
| 2 | J. Bogle | M |
| 4 | E. Ampadu | M |
| 22 | A. Tanaka | M |
| 3 | G. Gudmundsson | M |
| 18 | A. Stach | M |
| 19 | N. Okafor | M |
| 9 | D. Calvert-Lewin | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | H. Wilson | F |
| 11 | B. Aaronson | M |
| 14 | L. Nmecha | F |
| 23 | J. Bahoya | F |
| 16 | M. Zetterer | G |
| 26 | M. Bard | D |
| 15 | J. Bijol | D |
| 44 | I. Gruev | M |
| 8 | S. Longstaff | M |