SJK vs KuPS Parashikim

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 16

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KuPS

Away

OmaSP Stadion, Seinäjoki

Parashikim AI KuPS të fitojë ose barazojë

21%

74%

Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi SJK vs KuPS: Sportiko i jep SJK 5% probabilitet fitese, KuPS 74% dhe barazimit 21%. Përditësuar së fundmi 20 Jul 2026, 15:42.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 24'

⚽ 0–2 31'

J. Luyeye-Lutumba

▮ 42'

N. Kujasalo Yellow Card

E. Mömmö Yellow Card

44' ▮

HT 0–2

⇄ J. Streng

46' ⇄

M. Arsalo

46' ⇄

K. Paananen

58' ⇄

⇄ 62'

S. Heiskanen ⇄ K. Adams

⇄ 62'

A. Heinonen ⇄ G. Engvall

⇄ 70'

⇄ V. Gasc

⇄ 70'

▮ 74'

G. Engvall Yellow Card

A. Wilson

74' ⇄

E. Mastokangas ⇄ V. Hänninen

74' ⇄

⇄ 81'

N. Kujasalo ⇄ P. Pennanen

▮ 86'

P. Pennanen Yellow Card

FT 0–2

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Confidence High (74%)

At a glance

Analizat tona

KuPS të fitojë ose barazojë

Most likely score

0:1 · 20.6%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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SJK

WDDDL

KuPS

WDDLW

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga clash, SJK hosts KuPS on July 18, 2026. Historically, SJK has shown a solid home record, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, with an average of 1.8 goals per game at home this season. KuPS, known for their strong defensive setup, will need to disrupt SJK’s rhythm while also maximizing their counter-attacking opportunities. Both teams are vying for crucial points, making this a key fixture in the league standings. The tactical battle will likely hinge on SJK's ability to break down KuPS's defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

74%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

KuPS goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	21	20	12	6	2
1	3	8	6	4	2	1
2	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ SJK goals · most likely 0–1 (20.6%)

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Players in form

SJK

E. Mastokangas 2 gls

KuPS

J. Moreno 5 gls

J. Luyeye-Lutumba 3 gls

B. Armah 3 gls

P. Pennanen 2 gls

G. Engvall 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

74%

Draw

21%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

74%

Draw

21%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

94% Away (No Draw) 6% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

74% Away Scores More 21% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

23%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.6%	20.6%	19.8%	12.1%	5.6%
1	2.8%	7.8%	6.3%	3.9%	1.8%
2	0.6%	1.1%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

36%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

35%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SJK	Draw	KuPS
SJK	2.5%	1.7%	1.2%
Draw	2.5%	16.4%	24.6%
KuPS	0.2%	1.8%	49.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

73%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: SJK vs KuPS

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

SJK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Mariehamn	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A FF Jaro	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Turku PS	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A AC Oulu	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H Lahti	L	1 - 2

KuPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VPS	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	0 - 0
08 Sep	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
27 Aug	H Shamrock Rovers	W	1 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

KuPS

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Miika Nuutinen

12 Riihimäki

3 Heiskanen

23 Lötjönen

33 Hämäläinen

29 Puukko

22 Touray

16 Jyry

13 Kujasalo

17 Heinonen

11 Moreno

21 Luyeye-Lutumba

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Hemmo Riihimäki	G
29	Akseli Puukko	D
33	Taneli Hämäläinen	D
23	Arttu Lötjönen	D
3	Saku Heiskanen	D
13	Niilo Kujasalo	M
16	Tommi Jyry	M
22	Saikou Touray	M
21	Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba	F
11	Jaime Moreno	F
17	Arttu Heinonen	F

Substitutes

4	Kasim Adams	D
9	Gustav Engvall	F
6	Saku Savolainen	D
10	Valentín Gasc	M
8	Petteri Pennanen	M
37	Kasperi Silen	G
25	Clinton Antwi	D
24	Bob Nii Armah	D
20	Piotr Parzyszek	F

SJK

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Jarkko Wiss

1 Paunio

15 Mömmö

5 Väistö

4 Pires

6 Yussif

23 Wilson

18 Arsalo

8 Bostrom

19 Mastokangas

10 Paananen

47 Suso

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Roope Paunio	G
6	Salim Giabo Yussif	D
4	Kelvin Pires	D
5	Oskari Väistö	D
15	Eetu Mömmö	D
8	Aapo Bostrom	M
18	Markus Arsalo	M
23	Armaan Wilson	M
47	Muhammed Suso	F
10	Kasper Paananen	F
19	Elias Mastokangas	F

Substitutes

7	Kelwin Souza do Nascimento	F
9	Jeremiah Streng	F
51	Aziz Cisse	-
17	Vertti Hänninen	M
42	Caio Araújo	M
60	Samuel Friday James	G
26	Jaakko Moisio	D
3	Koble Yao	D
43	Souleymane Bagayogo	D