Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan Napoved

Super League · Regular Season - 18

11 Jul 2026, 11:35

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Beijing Guoan

Away

Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai

UI napoved Preblizu za napoved

31%

35%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Shanghai Shenhua proti Beijing Guoan: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Shanghai Shenhua na 31%, za Beijing Guoan na 35%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 35%. Zadnja posodobitev: 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:0 · 15.9%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

31%

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Shanghai Shenhua

WWLLW

Beijing Guoan

WDWDD

Last 1 meetings Shanghai Shenhua · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League clash, Shanghai Shenhua faces Beijing Guoan, both teams vying for crucial points in the league standings. Shanghai Shenhua has demonstrated stronger offensive capabilities this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Beijing Guoan has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. Additionally, Shenhua's recent form shows three wins in their last five matches, contrasting with Guoan's mixed results. Key players to watch include Shenhua's leading scorer, who has netted six goals this season, and Guoan's playmaker, who is pivotal in creating chances. This matchup will be critical for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

31%

10%

Draw

35%

45%

Away

35%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Beijing Guoan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	16	13	7	2	1
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	6	6	3	1
3	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Shanghai Shenhua goals · most likely 0–0 (15.9%)

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Players in form

Shanghai Shenhua

Rafael Ratão 10 gls

M. Gueye 5 gls

Beijing Guoan

Zhang Yuning 7 gls

Fábio Abreu 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Draw

35%

Away Win

35%

Home Win

31%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

40%

1.5

60%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Match Result

Draw

35%

Away Win

35%

Home Win

31%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

14% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Equal Goals 35% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

40%

1.5

60%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

55% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.9%	12.6%	7.3%	2.5%	0.6%
1	11.5%	15.3%	6.9%	2.3%	0.6%
2	6.2%	6.4%	3.2%	1.1%	0.3%
3	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

43%

34%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua	17.3%	4.0%	1.3%
Draw	13.1%	24.5%	14.4%
Beijing Guoan	1.3%	4.1%	20.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan

0 Shanghai Shenhua Wins

1 Draws

0 Beijing Guoan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Beijing Guoan	1 - 1	Shanghai Shenhua

Shanghai Shenhua — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H Tampines Rovers	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Chongqing Tongliang Long	W	1 - 3
01 Sep	A Dalian Zhixing	L	1 - 0
28 Aug	H Shandong Luneng	L	2 - 3
22 Aug	A Chengdu Better City	W	4 - 5

Beijing Guoan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
15 Sep	H Pohang Steelers	W	3 - 1
05 Sep	A SHANGHAI SIPG	D	0 - 0
01 Sep	H Rizhao Yuqi	W	3 - 1
28 Aug	A Dalian Zhixing	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Yunnan Yukun	D	3 - 3

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	19	13	4	2	39	18	+21	43
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	20	7	8	5	23	22	+1	29
3	Dalian Zhixing	18	9	1	8	28	32	-4	28
4	Qingdao Youth Island	20	6	10	4	24	29	-5	28
5	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	4	8	36	35	+1	25
6	Shandong Luneng	19	9	3	7	35	34	+1	24
7	Beijing Guoan	18	7	6	5	30	24	+6	22
8	Hangzhou Greentown	19	7	5	7	27	32	-5	21
9	Shenyang Urban	19	6	3	10	25	31	-6	21
10	Sichuan Jiuniu	19	6	2	11	25	33	-8	20
11	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	+5	19
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	19	6	6	7	30	26	+4	19
13	Henan Jianye	18	7	3	8	23	23	0	18
14	Tianjin Teda	19	6	6	7	26	22	+4	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	-7	14
16	Qingdao Jonoon	20	6	3	11	30	38	-8	14

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.