Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield Napoved

Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12

11 Oct 2026, 20:00

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Velez Sarsfield

Away

UI napoved Velez Sarsfield ali neodločeno

35%

27%

38%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Lanus proti Velez Sarsfield: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Lanus na 35%, za Velez Sarsfield na 38%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 27%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Lanus

WWWLD

Velez Sarsfield

WDWDD

Last 3 meetings Lanus · 1W 1D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

38%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Velez Sarsfield goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	11	7	3	1
1	10	13	8	3	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Lanus goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Players in form

Lanus

D. Aquino 6 gls

Velez Sarsfield

R. Martínez 8 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

35%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

29%

1.5

71%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

35%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

52% Away (No Draw) 48% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 35% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

29%

1.5

71%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

26%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	10.8%	6.9%	2.9%	0.9%
1	10.2%	12.9%	8.2%	3.5%	1.1%
2	6.1%	7.8%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%
3	2.4%	3.1%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lanus	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
Lanus	9.4%	7.4%	10.3%
Draw	15.2%	12.0%	16.7%
Velez Sarsfield	10.1%	7.9%	11.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield

1 Lanus Wins

1 Draws

1 Velez Sarsfield Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Velez Sarsfield	0 - 1	Lanus
30 Aug 2025	Velez Sarsfield	3 - 0	Lanus
21 Feb 2025	Lanus	0 - 0	Velez Sarsfield

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Lanus — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Estudiantes L.P.	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Deportivo Riestra	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H Defensa Y Justicia	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Boca Juniors	L	1 - 0
25 Aug	H Argentinos JRS	D	1 - 1

Velez Sarsfield — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Tigre	W	3 - 2
11 Sep	A Newells Old Boys	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Estudiantes L.P.	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Boca Juniors	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	A Deportivo Riestra	D	1 - 1

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	10	7	1	2	13	7	+6	22
2	Velez Sarsfield	10	5	5	0	15	9	+6	20
3	Defensa Y Justicia	10	5	3	2	13	11	+2	18
4	Gimnasia M.	10	5	2	3	14	9	+5	17
5	Boca Juniors	10	4	5	1	14	11	+3	17
6	Independiente	10	5	2	3	10	8	+2	17
7	Lanus	10	5	1	4	13	9	+4	16
8	Newells Old Boys	10	4	4	2	11	8	+3	16
9	Union Santa Fe	10	4	1	5	17	16	+1	13
10	San Lorenzo	10	3	2	5	4	8	-4	11
11	Estudiantes L.P.	10	3	1	6	10	11	-1	10
12	Deportivo Riestra	10	2	4	4	8	10	-2	10
13	Platense	10	2	3	5	9	15	-6	9
14	Talleres Cordoba	10	2	2	6	11	17	-6	8
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	2	2	6	7	13	-6	8

Clausura - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentinos JRS	10	5	3	2	13	9	+4	18
2	Rosario Central	10	5	3	2	11	8	+3	18
3	Independ. Rivadavia	10	5	2	3	14	13	+1	17
4	Gimnasia L.P.	10	5	2	3	15	15	0	17
5	Belgrano Cordoba	10	4	4	2	11	7	+4	16
6	Huracan	10	4	4	2	10	8	+2	16
7	Sarmiento Junin	10	5	1	4	17	16	+1	16
8	River Plate	10	4	1	5	13	12	+1	13
9	Atletico Tucuman	10	3	4	3	7	6	+1	13
10	Tigre	10	3	3	4	9	9	0	12
11	Barracas Central	10	3	3	4	5	7	-2	12
12	Banfield	10	2	3	5	11	16	-5	9
13	Aldosivi	10	2	2	6	12	16	-4	8
14	Racing Club	10	2	2	6	11	16	-5	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	10	1	3	6	5	13	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.