Gremio vs Palmeiras Napoved

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 28
FT
Post on X
Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Palmeiras
20%
27%
53%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Gremio proti Palmeiras: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Gremio na 20%, za Palmeiras na 53%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 27%. Zadnja posodobitev: 20 Sep 2026, 16:04.

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Timeline

▮ 33'
Agustín Giay Yellow Card
Erick Noriega Yellow Card
40' ▮
Erick Noriega ⇄ Danilo Barbosa
45' ⇄
HT 0–0
João Pedro Yellow Card
64' ▮
Carlos Vinícius Yellow Card
67' ▮
Cristian Pavón ⇄ José Enamorado
68' ⇄
Gustavo Martins Yellow Card
69' ▮
Francis Amuzu ⇄ Jovane Cabral
69' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Vitor Roque ⇄ Ramón Sosa
⇄ 72'
Jhon Arias ⇄ Felipe Anderson
▮ 73'
Alexander Barboza Yellow Card
Carlos Vinícius ⇄ Martin Braithwaite
74' ⇄
▮ 77'
Joaquín Piquerez Yellow Card
▮ 79'
Lucas Evangelista Yellow Card
⇄ 79'
Andreas Pereira ⇄ Mauricio
⇄ 79'
Joaquín Piquerez ⇄ Arthur Gabriel
João Pedro ⇄ Marcos Rocha
81' ⇄
▮ 88'
Ramón Sosa Yellow Card
⇄ 88'
Agustín Giay ⇄ Khellven
Pedro Gabriel Yellow Card
89' ▮
FT 0–0
Gremio

Match Stats

Palmeiras
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 31
4 Shots on Goal 10
2 Shots off Goal 13
1 Blocked Shots 8
5 Shots insidebox 19
2 Shots outsidebox 12
2 Corner Kicks 9
1 Offsides 1
19 Fouls 14
5 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
10 Goalkeeper Saves 4
236 Total passes 610
171 Passes accurate 535
14 Free Kicks 19
Gremio
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Weverton G 8.8 90' – – – 23 (11%) –
82 Wallace D 7.0 90' – – – 21 (18%) 3
7 Cristian Pavón F 6.9 68' – – 2 28 (18%) –
9 Francis Amuzu F 6.8 69' – – 1 14 (12%) 1
99 José Enamorado F 6.8 22' – – – 3 (1%) 1
2 Fabián Balbuena D 6.7 90' – – – 19 (16%) –
77 Jovane Cabral F 6.6 21' – – – 6 (2%) –
14 Marcos Rocha D 6.5 9' – – 1 5 (3%) –
15 Danilo Barbosa M 6.5 44' – – – 13 (10%) –
54 Pedro Gabriel M 6.4 90' – – 1 11 (10%) 3
8 Erick Noriega M 6.4 46' – – – 13 (12%) –
20 Mathias Villasanti M 6.3 90' – – – 30 (23%) 2
18 João Pedro M 6.2 81' – – – 16 (13%) –
95 Carlos Vinícius F 6.1 74' – – 1 9 (5%) –
22 Martin Braithwaite F 6.0 16' – – – 2 (1%) –
6 Gustavo Martins D 5.8 90' – – 1 23 (16%) 1
Palmeiras
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Carlos Miguel G 7.8 90' – – – 18 (15%) –
15 Gustavo Gómez D 7.4 90' – – 1 59 (51%) 1
11 Jhon Arias M 7.3 72' – – 2 53 (46%) –
42 José Manuel López M 7.2 90' – – 4 27 (21%) 1
17 Marlon Freitas M 7.2 90' – – 5 125 (114%) 3
30 Lucas Evangelista M 7.1 90' – – 3 87 (85%) 3
8 Andreas Pereira M 6.9 79' – – 1 42 (34%) 1
2 Alexander Barboza D 6.9 90' – – 3 57 (49%) 1
7 Felipe Anderson M 6.8 18' – – 1 8 (7%) –
22 Joaquín Piquerez D 6.7 79' – – 1 40 (37%) 2
18 Mauricio M 6.6 11' – – 2 12 (10%) 1
12 Khellven D 6.5 2' – – – 6 (6%) –
56 Arthur Gabriel D 6.5 11' – – – 8 (7%) –
9 Vitor Roque F 6.3 72' – – 4 11 (9%) 1
19 Ramón Sosa F 6.2 18' – – 3 1 –
4 Agustín Giay D 6.1 88' – – 1 56 (44%) –
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Palmeiras
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Gremio
DLWWW
Palmeiras
WWDWL
Last 3 meetings Gremio · 1W 0D 2L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
20%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
53%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Gremio
Carlos Vinícius 11 gls
Palmeiras
J. López 10 gls
Maurício 10 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Gremio vs Palmeiras

1 Gremio Wins
0 Draws
2 Palmeiras Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 Apr 2026 Palmeiras 2 - 1 Gremio
25 Nov 2025 Gremio 3 - 2 Palmeiras
26 Jul 2025 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Gremio
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Gremio — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Atletico-MG D 1 - 1
04 Nov A Flamengo L 3 - 1
01 Nov H Atletico-MG W 2 - 0
30 Oct H Atletico Paranaense W 2 - 0
26 Oct A Coritiba W 0 - 1

Palmeiras — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Remo W 6 - 1
01 Nov H Vasco DA Gama W 1 - 0
28 Oct A Santos D 0 - 0
24 Oct H RB Bragantino W 2 - 0
22 Oct H Fluminense L 0 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
34 23 7 4 +42 76
2
Palmeiras
34 21 10 3 +39 73
3
Cruzeiro
34 18 6 10 +7 60
4
Fluminense
34 16 9 9 +13 57
5
Atletico Paranaense
34 15 9 10 +8 54
6
Bahia
34 14 11 9 +5 53
7
Atletico-MG
34 14 8 12 +4 50
8
RB Bragantino
34 13 8 13 +5 47
9
Santos
34 12 11 11 +1 47
10
Sao Paulo
34 12 8 14 0 44
11
Botafogo
34 11 9 14 -7 42
12
Coritiba
34 11 9 14 -11 42
13
Vasco DA Gama
33 11 8 14 -7 41
14
Mirassol
34 10 10 14 -9 40
15
Vitoria
34 10 8 16 -16 38
16
Internacional
34 9 11 14 -4 38
17
Corinthians
34 9 10 15 -6 37
18
Gremio
34 9 10 15 -9 37
19
Remo
34 6 11 17 -20 29
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
33 4 9 20 -35 21

Palmeiras

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Abel Ferreira
1 Miguel
22 Piquerez
2 Barboza
15 Gómez
4 Giay
17 Freitas
30 Evangelista
42 López
8 Pereira
11 Arias
9 Roque

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Carlos Miguel G
4 A. Giay D
15 G. Gómez D
2 A. Barboza D
22 J. Piquerez D
30 Lucas Evangelista M
17 Marlon Freitas M
11 J. Arias M
8 Andreas Pereira M
42 J. López M
9 Vitor Roque F

Substitutes

3 Bruno Fuchs D
7 Felipe Anderson M
39 Heittor F
12 Khellven D
48 Larson M
50 Luis Felipe M
14 Marcelo Lomba G
32 E. Martínez M
18 Maurício M
19 R. Sosa F
56 Arthur D
43 Benedetti D

Gremio

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Renato Gaúcho
1 Weverton
82 Wallace
2 Balbuena
6 Martins
54 Gabriel
8 Noriega
20 Villasanti
18 Pedro
9 Amuzu
95 Vinícius
7 Pavón

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Weverton G
6 Gustavo Martins D
2 F. Balbuena D
82 Wallace D
18 João Pedro M
20 M. Villasanti M
8 E. Noriega M
54 Pedro Gabriel M
7 C. Pavón F
95 Carlos Vinícius F
9 F. Amuzu F

Substitutes

77 Jovane Cabral F
22 M. Braithwaite F
50 Bernardo Zortea M
15 Danilo Barbosa M
99 J. Enamorado F
12 Gabriel Grando G
10 F. Krovinović M
43 Luis Eduardo D
14 Marcos Rocha D
30 Matheus Nascimento F
11 Tetê F
3 Wagner Leonardo D

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