Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama Napoved

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

29 Jul 2026, 20:00

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Vasco DA Gama

Away

UI napoved Vasco DA Gama ali neodločeno

25%

33%

42%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Chapecoense-sc proti Vasco DA Gama: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Chapecoense-sc na 25%, za Vasco DA Gama na 42%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 33%. Zadnja posodobitev: 24 Jul 2026, 06:03.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:0 · 24%

Both teams to score

26%

Over 2.5 goals

19%

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Chapecoense-sc

DLWLW

Vasco DA Gama

WWWDL

Last 3 meetings Chapecoense-sc · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Chapecoense and Vasco da Gama will face off in a Serie A clash on July 29, 2026. Historically, Chapecoense has struggled against top-tier teams, while Vasco da Gama boasts a stronger squad depth and more consistent performances in recent seasons. Key players to watch include Chapecoense's forward line, which has shown flashes of brilliance, and Vasco's midfield that excels in possession and distribution. Tactical adjustments will be crucial, particularly for Chapecoense to counter Vasco's attacking threats. This match could have significant implications for both teams in their quest for league stability.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

25%

10%

Draw

33%

45%

Away

42%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vasco DA Gama goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	24	21	11	4	1
1	10	13	6	2
2	3	3	1
3
4
5

↑ Chapecoense-sc goals · most likely 0–0 (24.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

33%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

74% BTTS No 26% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

98%

4.5

100%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

33%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

72% Away (No Draw) 28% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Away Scores More 38% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

98%

4.5

100%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

74% BTTS No 26% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

55% Even Total Goals 45% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	24.0%	20.6%	10.8%	3.5%	0.9%
1	10.0%	12.7%	5.5%	1.8%	0.4%
2	2.9%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
3	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

87%

1.5

13%

98%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

55%

32%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

42%

35%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Chapecoense-sc	Draw	Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc	9.1%	3.2%	1.2%
Draw	8.6%	30.6%	21.6%
Vasco DA Gama	0.4%	2.6%	22.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

60%

31%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama

0 Chapecoense-sc Wins

2 Draws

1 Vasco DA Gama Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Feb 2026	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 1	Chapecoense-sc
08 Dec 2019	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 1	Chapecoense-sc
14 Sep 2019	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 2	Vasco DA Gama

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Chapecoense-sc — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Atletico-MG	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Internacional	L	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Corinthians	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Gremio	L	3 - 1
23 Aug	H Sao Paulo	W	1 - 0

Vasco DA Gama — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Coritiba	W	5 - 0
15 Sep	H Santa Fe	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Gremio	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Santa Fe	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	A Fluminense	L	1 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.