FC Thun vs FC Luzern Napoved

Super League · Regular Season - 27

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FC Luzern

Away

Stockhorn Arena, Thun

UI napoved FC Thun zmaga ali remi

66%

18%

17%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved FC Thun proti FC Luzern: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za FC Thun na 66%, za FC Luzern na 17%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 18%. Zadnja posodobitev: 13 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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Confidence Medium (66%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

FC Thun zmaga ali remi

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FC Thun

WLLLD

FC Luzern

WLDWD

Last 3 meetings FC Thun · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League match on February 28, 2026, FC Thun will host FC Luzern. Historically, Thun has struggled against Luzern, winning just 30% of their last ten encounters. Thun currently sits mid-table, showing inconsistency with a 1.2 goals per match average, while Luzern has displayed stronger form, averaging 1.5 goals per game and remaining in contention for European qualification. Home advantage could play a crucial role, but Luzern's superior attacking stats and recent form suggest they will be the favorites. A closely contested match is expected, with both teams looking to secure vital points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

66%

45%

Draw

18%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Luzern goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2	3	2	1
1	6	7	4	2	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	7	8	5	2	1
4	4	6	4	1
5	2	3	2	1

↑ FC Thun goals · most likely 2–1 (9.3%)

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Players in form

FC Thun

E. Rastoder 16 gls

L. Bertone 11 gls

C. Ibayi 10 gls

FC Luzern

M. Di Giusto 12 gls

O. Kabwit 11 gls

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Head to Head: FC Thun vs FC Luzern

3 FC Thun Wins

0 Draws

0 FC Luzern Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Jul 2026	FC Luzern	1 - 3	FC Thun
06 Dec 2025	FC Thun	4 - 1	FC Luzern
09 Aug 2025	FC Luzern	1 - 2	FC Thun

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FC Thun — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Vaduz	W	1 - 2
16 Sep	H Servette FC	L	2 - 4
12 Sep	H Grasshoppers	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Sion	L	3 - 2
02 Sep	H Lausanne	D	0 - 0

FC Luzern — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Grasshoppers	W	5 - 1
13 Sep	H FC Basel 1893	L	2 - 4
05 Sep	A BSC Young Boys	D	3 - 3
02 Sep	H FC Vaduz	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Servette FC	D	1 - 1

Super League Standings

Super League , Championship Round

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Thun	38	24	3	11	80	52	+28	75
2	FC ST. Gallen	38	20	10	8	72	47	+25	70
3	FC Lugano	38	19	10	9	59	42	+17	67
4	FC Sion	38	16	15	7	63	40	+23	63
5	FC Basel 1893	38	16	8	14	55	58	-3	56
6	BSC Young Boys	38	15	10	13	80	69	+11	55

Super League , Relegation Round

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Luzern	38	14	11	13	76	66	+10	53
2	Servette FC	38	13	14	11	71	63	+8	53
3	Lausanne	38	11	9	18	53	67	-14	42
4	FC Zurich	38	11	5	22	49	72	-23	38
5	Grasshoppers	38	8	9	21	48	74	-26	33
6	FC Winterthur	38	5	8	25	44	100	-56	23

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.