AVS vs Estrela Napoved

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24

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Estrela

Away

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves

UI napoved Estrela ali neodločeno

32%

36%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved AVS proti Estrela: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za AVS na 32%, za Estrela na 36%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 32%. Zadnja posodobitev: 13 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Estrela ali neodločeno

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AVS

WDLWD

Estrela

LDWDW

Last 3 meetings AVS · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash on February 28, 2026, AVS will host Estrela with both teams looking to secure vital points. AVS has shown a solid home record, leveraging their strong defensive setup, which has resulted in a lower average goals conceded per match. In contrast, Estrela has struggled on the road, often failing to convert chances, evident in their lower expected goals (xG) stats away from home. This matchup could hinge on AVS's ability to capitalize on Estrela's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their defensive solidity. Expect a closely contested game, likely influenced by set-pieces and counter-attacks.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

36%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estrela goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15	15	7	2	1
1	14	13	7	2	1
2	6	6	3	1
3	2	2	1
4
5

↑ AVS goals · most likely 0–0 (15.1%)

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Head to Head: AVS vs Estrela

1 AVS Wins

1 Draws

1 Estrela Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Sep 2025	Estrela	3 - 0	AVS
11 May 2025	Estrela	0 - 1	AVS
28 Dec 2024	AVS	1 - 1	Estrela

AVS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Sintrense	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H Farense	D	0 - 0
07 Sep	A Lusitânia Lourosa	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Feirense	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	A Chaves	D	2 - 2

Estrela — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Academico Viseu	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Rio Ave	D	3 - 3
10 Sep	H SC Braga	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Famalicao	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Nacional	W	2 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	+48	88
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	+65	82
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	+49	80
4	SC Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	+28	59
5	Famalicao	34	15	11	8	42	29	+13	56
6	GIL Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	+9	50
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42
9	Vitória SC	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34
15	Estrela	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.