Estoril vs Casa Pia Napoved

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

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Casa Pia

Away

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Estoril

58%

24%

18%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Estoril proti Casa Pia: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Estoril na 58%, za Casa Pia na 18%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 24%. Zadnja posodobitev: 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Estoril

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Estoril

LLDLL

Casa Pia

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Estoril · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this Primeira Liga clash, Estoril hosts Casa Pia on March 7, 2026. Estoril's home advantage will be crucial, as they have historically performed well at their Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, securing 60% of their points at home this season. Casa Pia has been solid defensively, boasting one of the league's best defensive records, allowing only 25 goals in 25 matches. However, Estoril's attacking prowess, with an average of 1.5 goals per game at home, poses a significant threat. This match is likely to be tightly contested, with both teams vying for vital points to secure their respective league positions.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

18%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Casa Pia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	7	3	1
1	13	11	5	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	7	6	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Estoril goals · most likely 1–0 (13.4%)

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Players in form

Estoril

Y. Begraoui 20 gls

Casa Pia

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Estoril vs Casa Pia

1 Estoril Wins

1 Draws

1 Casa Pia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2026	Estoril	1 - 2	Casa Pia
03 Oct 2025	Casa Pia	2 - 2	Estoril
29 Apr 2025	Casa Pia	1 - 3	Estoril

Prikaži vseh 8 medsebojnih srečanj — Premium

Estoril — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Casa Pia	L	1 - 2
14 Sep	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Arouca	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Benfica	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Rio Ave	L	0 - 2

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Estoril	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Porto	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Moreirense	L	0 - 1
24 Aug	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	+48	88
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	+65	82
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	+49	80
4	SC Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	+28	59
5	Famalicao	34	15	11	8	42	29	+13	56
6	GIL Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	+9	50
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42
9	Vitória SC	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34
15	Estrela	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.