Napoli vs Udinese Napoved

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 38
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UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Napoli
63%
21%
16%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Napoli proti Udinese: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Napoli na 63%, za Udinese na 16%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 21%. Zadnja posodobitev: 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Napoli secured a narrow but comfortable 1–0 victory over Udinese on the final day of the Serie A regular season, with Rasmus Højlund's 24th-minute strike proving the decisive moment. The goal came against the run of early play, shortly after Udinese had been forced into a substitution, and gave Napoli a lead they would not relinquish heading into the break.

The second half saw Udinese's task grow considerably harder when Christian Kabasele was shown a red card on 64 minutes following a VAR review, reducing the visitors to ten men. Despite making a series of changes on both sides, Udinese could not find a way through a disciplined Napoli backline, and their expected goals figure of just 0.37 reflected how little they genuinely threatened.

Napoli dominated possession at 67% and registered 14 total shots to Udinese's ten, with their 1.76 xG underscoring a controlled if not emphatic performance. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Napoli win as the most likely outcome at 63%, a call that proved correct as the hosts closed out the season with three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Alisson Santos ⇄ Kevin De Bruyne
10' ⇄
Rasmus Højlund assist: Kevin De Bruyne
24' ⚽ 1–0
Stanislav Lobotka ⇄ Billy Gilmour
37' ⇄
HT 1–0
Mathías Olivera ⇄ Juan Jesus
46' ⇄
▮ 51'
Jesper Karlström Yellow Card
⇄ 54'
Jakub Piotrowski ⇄ Idrissa Gueye
⇄ 59'
Jesper Karlström ⇄ Adam Buksa
⇄ 59'
Thomas Kristensen ⇄ Nicolò Bertola
▮ 64'
Christian Kabasele Red Card
🖵 64'
Christian Kabasele Card upgrade
Alex Meret ⇄ Nikita Contini
80' ⇄
Matteo Politano ⇄ Pasquale Mazzocchi
80' ⇄
⇄ 80'
Jordan Zemura ⇄ Branimir Mlačić
⇄ 80'
Keinan Davis ⇄ Oier Zarraga
▮ 81'
Adam Buksa Yellow Card
▮ 90'
Lennon Miller Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Napoli

Match Stats

Udinese
67% Ball Possession 33%
1.76 Expected Goals (xG) 0.37
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 6
7 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Corner Kicks 3
4 Offsides 0
3 Fouls 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
700 Total passes 332
647 Passes accurate 267
92% Passes % 80%
0.68 goals_prevented 0.68
Napoli
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Rasmus Højlund F 8.3 90' 1 – 2 9 (9%) –
5 Juan Jesus D 8.2 45' – – – 40 (37%) 3
1 Alex Meret G 7.5 80' – – – 31 (30%) –
13 Amir Rrahmani D 7.5 90' – – 1 92 (84%) –
8 Scott McTominay M 7.3 90' – – 2 67 (64%) –
17 Mathías Olivera D 7.2 45' – – – 46 (45%) –
6 Billy Gilmour M 7.2 53' – – – 79 (74%) 2
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D 7.2 90' – – – 77 (72%) 1
21 Matteo Politano M 7.0 80' – – 2 37 (29%) –
11 Kevin De Bruyne M 6.9 80' – 1 1 70 (60%) 2
3 Miguel Gutiérrez M 6.9 90' – – 1 58 (54%) –
68 Stanislav Lobotka M 6.9 37' – – – 37 (36%) –
27 Alisson Santos F 6.9 10' – – 1 4 (3%) –
20 Eljif Elmas F 6.9 90' – – 1 43 (41%) –
14 Nikita Contini G 6.7 10' – – – 3 (2%) –
30 Pasquale Mazzocchi D 6.6 10' – – – 7 (7%) –
Udinese
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
40 Maduka Okoye G 7.9 90' – – – 30 (19%) –
38 Lennon Miller M 7.0 90' – – – 33 (26%) 2
13 Nicolò Bertola D 7.0 31' – – – 10 (8%) 3
8 Jesper Karlström M 6.7 59' – – 1 25 (22%) 2
14 Arthur Atta F 6.7 90' – – 1 37 (30%) 2
6 Oier Zarraga M 6.7 10' – – – 2 (2%) –
33 Jordan Zemura M 6.7 80' – – – 25 (23%) 2
28 Oumar Solet D 6.6 90' – – – 59 (55%) 2
19 Kingsley Ehizibue M 6.6 90' – – 1 23 (16%) –
22 Branimir Mlačić D 6.6 10' – – – 5 (5%) –
24 Jakub Piotrowski F 6.3 54' – – – 13 (9%) –
7 Idrissa Gueye F 6.3 36' – – 1 3 (2%) –
18 Adam Buksa F 6.3 31' – – – 4 (2%) –
31 Thomas Kristensen D 6.2 59' – – – 31 (23%) –
9 Keinan Davis F 6.0 80' – – – 18 (12%) –
27 Christian Kabasele D 5.9 64' – – – 14 (13%) 1
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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Napoli
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Napoli
DWLLL
Udinese
LLLWW
Last 3 meetings Napoli · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Napoli hosts Udinese on May 24, 2026. Napoli has been strong at home, boasting a high win rate, particularly benefiting from their dynamic attacking play led by key forwards. As of the latest data, they rank among the top teams in goals scored per match, showcasing a potent offense.

Conversely, Udinese has struggled against top-tier teams and tends to concede more goals away from home. Their defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by Napoli's pace and creativity. Given the current form and historical head-to-head results favoring Napoli, they will likely enter this match as favorites. Expect Napoli to leverage home advantage to secure crucial points in their title pursuit.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Napoli

No scorer data.

Udinese
H. Kamara 2 gls
J. Ekkelenkamp 2 gls

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Head to Head: Napoli vs Udinese

1 Napoli Wins
1 Draws
1 Udinese Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Dec 2025 Udinese 1 - 0 Napoli
09 Feb 2025 Napoli 1 - 1 Udinese
14 Dec 2024 Udinese 1 - 3 Napoli
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Napoli — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Fiorentina D 1 - 1
13 Sep H Bologna W 1 - 0
09 Sep H Arsenal L 0 - 1
05 Sep A Inter L 3 - 2
30 Aug H Como L 1 - 2

Udinese — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Cagliari L 0 - 1
14 Sep A Inter L 5 - 3
07 Sep H Lazio L 1 - 2
02 Sep H Venezia W 2 - 1
29 Aug A Monza W 2 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Napoli

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Antonio Conte
1 Meret
17 Olivera
13 Rrahmani
22 Lorenzo
3 Gutierrez
8 McTominay
68 Lobotka
21 Politano
27 Santos
19 Hojlund
20 Elmas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 A. Rrahmani D
17 M. Olivera D
21 M. Politano M
68 S. Lobotka M
8 S. McTominay M
3 M. Gutierrez M
20 E. Elmas F
19 R. Hojlund F
27 Alisson Santos F

Substitutes

32 V. Milinkovic-Savic G
14 N. Contini G
11 K. De Bruyne M
5 Juan Jesus D
30 P. Mazzocchi D
31 S. Beukema D
26 A. Vergara M
23 Giovane F
99 F. Anguissa M
6 B. Gilmour M

Udinese

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Kosta Runjaic
40 Okoye
28 Solet
27 Kabasele
31 Kristensen
33 Zemura
38 Miller
8 Karlstrom
19 Ehizibue
14 Atta
24 Piotrowski
9 Davis

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 M. Okoye G
31 T. Kristensen D
27 C. Kabasele D
28 O. Solet D
19 K. Ehizibue M
8 J. Karlstrom M
38 L. Miller M
33 J. Zemura M
24 J. Piotrowski F
14 A. Atta F
9 K. Davis F

Substitutes

93 D. Padelli G
90 R. Sava G
1 A. Nunziante G
18 A. Buksa F
15 V. Bayo F
22 B. Mlacic D
6 O. Zarraga M
13 N. Bertola D
7 I. Gueye F
29 A. Camara M

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