Sassuolo vs AC Milan Napoved

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

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AC Milan

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe AC Milan

21%

24%

55%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Sassuolo proti AC Milan: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Sassuolo na 21%, za AC Milan na 55%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 24%. Zadnja posodobitev: 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Sassuolo claimed a comfortable 2–0 Serie A victory over AC Milan, a result that will surprise many given the pre-match expectations — including our AI model, which had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 55%.

The match turned decisively in the opening stages. Domenico Berardi struck early in the fifth minute to give Sassuolo the lead, and Milan's afternoon unravelled further when Fikayo Tomori collected two yellow cards within 15 minutes of each other, receiving his second booking and subsequent red card on 24 minutes. That dismissal left Milan chasing the game with ten men for the majority of the contest. Armand Laurienté added a second goal just after the interval to put the result beyond doubt.

Despite enjoying 58% possession, Milan managed only one shot on target across the entire match compared to Sassuolo's four, with the hosts' expected goals figure of 1.58 reflecting their dominance. A flurry of substitutions from both sides in the second half failed to alter the outcome, and Sassuolo ran out deserving winners.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Domenico Berardi assist: Armand Laurienté

5' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 9'

Fikayo Tomori Yellow Card

▮ 24'

Fikayo Tomori Yellow Card

▮ 24'

Fikayo Tomori Red Card

Nemanja Matić Yellow Card

38' ▮

Jay Idzes ⇄ Woyo Coulibaly

40' ⇄

HT 1–0

Nemanja Matić ⇄ Luca Lipani

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Christopher Nkunku ⇄ Zachary Athekame

Armand Laurienté assist: Kristian Thorstvedt

47' ⚽ 2–0

Ulisses Garcia Yellow Card

57' ▮

Domenico Berardi ⇄ Cristian Volpato

59' ⇄

⇄ 59'

Alexis Saelemaekers ⇄ Ruben Loftus-Cheek

⇄ 59'

Youssouf Fofana ⇄ Christian Pulišić

⇄ 59'

Rafael Leão ⇄ Santiago Giménez

⇄ 66'

Ardon Jashari ⇄ Samuele Ricci

▮ 71'

Samuele Ricci Yellow Card

▮ 77'

Ruben Loftus-Cheek Yellow Card

M'Bala Nzola ⇄ Andrea Pinamonti

84' ⇄

Armand Laurienté ⇄ Alieu Fadera

84' ⇄

Cristian Volpato Yellow Card

89' ▮

Alieu Fadera Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 2–0

Sassuolo

Match Stats

AC Milan

58% Ball Possession 42%

1.58 Expected Goals (xG) 0.24

13 Total Shots 7

4 Shots on Goal 1

5 Shots off Goal 5

4 Blocked Shots 1

9 Shots insidebox 2

4 Shots outsidebox 5

2 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 1

16 Fouls 16

4 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

550 Total passes 392

510 Passes accurate 339

93% Passes % 86%

-0.72 goals_prevented -0.72

Sassuolo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
45 Armand Laurienté F	9.3	84'	1	1	1	35 (33%)	1
90 Ismael Koné M	7.5	90'	–	–	–	64 (61%)	2
6 Sebastian Walukiewicz D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	45 (44%)	–
10 Domenico Berardi F	7.5	59'	1	–	2	12 (8%)	–
80 Tarik Muharemović D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	69 (65%)	2
42 Kristian Thorstvedt M	7.3	90'	–	1	3	63 (60%)	3
23 Ulisses Garcia D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	65 (58%)	2
25 Woyo Coulibaly D	7.2	50'	–	–	–	37 (34%)	3
18 Nemanja Matić M	7.2	45'	–	–	–	46 (43%)	–
35 Luca Lipani M	7.2	45'	–	–	–	38 (37%)	2
20 Alieu Fadera F	6.9	10'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	2
13 Stefano Turati G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	–
8 M'Bala Nzola F	6.7	84'	–	–	3	14 (13%)	–
21 Jay Idzes D	6.6	40'	–	–	–	11 (11%)	–
99 Andrea Pinamonti F	6.6	10'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	1
7 Cristian Volpato M	6.5	31'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	–

AC Milan

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
2 Pervis Estupiñán M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	45 (41%)	1
31 Strahinja Pavlović D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	50 (49%)	–
12 Adrien Rabiot M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	39 (31%)	4
56 Alexis Saelemaekers M	6.7	59'	–	–	1	20 (17%)	3
4 Samuele Ricci M	6.7	24'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	–
46 Matteo Gabbia D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	43 (39%)	1
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek M	6.6	31'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	1
11 Christian Pulišić M	6.5	31'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–
19 Youssouf Fofana M	6.5	59'	–	–	–	31 (23%)	1
30 Ardon Jashari M	6.3	66'	–	–	1	45 (39%)	2
16 Mike Maignan G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–
10 Rafael Leão F	6.3	59'	–	–	1	15 (11%)	–
18 Christopher Nkunku F	6.3	45'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
24 Zachary Athekame D	6.3	45'	–	–	2	20 (16%)	1
7 Santiago Giménez F	6.2	31'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
23 Fikayo Tomori D	3.7	24'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	–

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe AC Milan

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Sassuolo

LWDDW

AC Milan

WLDDW

Last 3 meetings Sassuolo · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Sassuolo hosts AC Milan on May 3, 2026. Sassuolo has demonstrated a solid home record this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match, but they face a challenging opponent in AC Milan, who are currently in the title race, boasting a strong away record with an average of 2.1 goals per match. Milan's defense has been commendable, conceding only 0.9 goals per game, while Sassuolo's attack will need to break through this resilient backline. Key players to watch include Sassuolo's top scorer, who has been involved in 30% of their goals, against Milan's dynamic forward line that thrives on counter-attacks. This matchup promises to be pivotal for both teams as they vie for European qualification and league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AC Milan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	13	11	6	2	1
1	7	12	10	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Sassuolo goals · most likely 0–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

Sassuolo

Vasilije Adžić 3 gls

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Sassuolo vs AC Milan

0 Sassuolo Wins

2 Draws

1 AC Milan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Dec 2025	AC Milan	2 - 2	Sassuolo
14 Apr 2024	Sassuolo	3 - 3	AC Milan
30 Dec 2023	AC Milan	1 - 0	Sassuolo

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Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monza	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Juventus	W	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Bologna	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Torino	W	2 - 1

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Sassuolo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: F. Grosso

13 Turati

23 Garcia

80 Muharemovic

21 Idzes

6 Walukiewicz

42 Thorstvedt

18 Matic

90 Kone

45 Lauriente

8 Nzola

10 Berardi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	S. Turati	G
6	S. Walukiewicz	D
21	J. Idzes	D
80	T. Muharemovic	D
23	U. Garcia	D
90	I. Kone	M
18	N. Matic	M
42	K. Thorstvedt	M
10	D. Berardi	F
8	M. Nzola	F
45	A. Lauriente	F

Substitutes

49	A. Muric	G
12	G. Satalino	G
16	G. Zacchi	G
99	A. Pinamonti	F
24	L. Moro	F
25	W. Coulibaly	D
20	A. Fadera	F
7	C. Volpato	M
35	L. Lipani	M
66	Pedro Felipe	D
19	F. Romagna	D
3	J. Doig	D
40	A. Vranckx	M
44	E. Iannoni	M
33	C. Frangella	M

AC Milan

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Massimiliano Allegri

16 Maignan

31 Pavlovic

46 Gabbia

23 Tomori

2 Estupinan

12 Rabiot

30 Jashari

19 Fofana

56 Saelemaekers

10 Leao

18 Nkunku

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	M. Maignan	G
23	F. Tomori	D
46	M. Gabbia	D
31	S. Pavlovic	D
56	A. Saelemaekers	M
19	Y. Fofana	M
30	A. Jashari	M
12	A. Rabiot	M
2	P. Estupinan	M
18	C. Nkunku	F
10	R. Leao	F

Substitutes

1	P. Terracciano	G
37	M. Pittarella	G
8	R. Loftus-Cheek	M
4	S. Ricci	M
33	D. Bartesaghi	D
24	Z. Athekame	D
9	N. Fullkrug	F
11	C. Pulisic	M
7	S. Gimenez	F
5	K. De Winter	D