Cagliari vs Atalanta Napoved

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 34
FT
Post on X
Unipol Domus, Cagliari
UI napoved Atalanta ali neodločeno
23%
29%
48%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Cagliari proti Atalanta: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Cagliari na 23%, za Atalanta na 48%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 29%. Zadnja posodobitev: 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Cagliari produced a remarkable comeback victory over Atalanta at the Unipodda, winning 3–2 in a breathless Serie A encounter. Paul Mendy set the tone with two goals inside the opening eight minutes, putting the hosts in an unlikely commanding position despite Atalanta dominating possession throughout the afternoon.

Atalanta hit back emphatically before the break, with Gianluca Scamacca scoring twice in the final five minutes of the first half to level matters at 2–2. The visitors appeared to have wrestled control of the game, a feeling seemingly confirmed when Mendy was substituted at half-time. However, Gennaro Borrelli had other ideas, netting just a minute into the second half to restore Cagliari's lead and ultimately secure all three points.

The statistics told a familiar story of Atalanta dominance — 73% possession, 12 total shots, and six on target — yet Cagliari's clinical edge in front of goal proved decisive, with their expected goals figure of 1.56 actually exceeding Atalanta's 1.18. Our pre-match AI model had favoured an Atalanta win at 48%, a call that did not hold up against Cagliari's ruthless early efficiency.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Paul Mendy assist: Michel Adopo
1' 1–0
Paul Mendy
8' 2–0
2–1 40'
Gianluca Scamacca
2–2 45'
Gianluca Scamacca assist: Giorgio Scalvini
HT 2–2
Paul Mendy ⇄ Gennaro Borrelli
46'
Gennaro Borrelli
47' 3–2
Alessandro Deiola ⇄ Ibrahim Sulemana
56'
Sebastiano Esposito ⇄ Marco Palestra
56'
56'
Raoul Bellanova ⇄ Nikola Krstović
56'
Davide Zappacosta ⇄ Nicola Zalewski
Juan Rodríguez ⇄ Alberto Dossena
73'
73'
M. de Roon ⇄ Éderson
73'
Sead Kolašinac ⇄ Odilon Kossounou
⇄ Andrea Belotti
77'
77'
Charles De Ketelaere ⇄ Lazar Samardžić
FT 3–2
Cagliari

Match Stats

Atalanta
27% Ball Possession 73%
1.56 Expected Goals (xG) 1.18
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 1
4 Corner Kicks 6
0 Offsides 3
8 Fouls 11
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
263 Total passes 737
177 Passes accurate 639
67% Passes % 87%
-0.43 goals_prevented -0.43
Cagliari
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
31 Paul Mendy F 8.3 45' 2 2 10 (6%)
10 Gianluca Gaetano M 7.6 90' 37 (27%) 4
29 Gennaro Borrelli F 7.3 32' 1 2 3 (2%)
22 Alberto Dossena D 7.2 17' 2 (2%)
2 Marco Palestra D 7.0 34' 8 (7%) 2
8 Michel Adopo D 6.9 90' 1 26 (20%) 3
90 Michael Folorunsho M 6.9 90' 20 (9%) 1
25 Ibrahim Sulemana M 6.9 34' 9 (7%)
15 Juan Rodríguez D 6.7 73' 20 (13%) 2
14 Alessandro Deiola M 6.7 56' 1 14 (10%)
1 Elia Caprile G 6.6 90' 28 (13%)
33 Adam Obert D 6.3 90' 15 (8%) 3
19 Andrea Belotti F 6.3 13' 1 1
26 Yerry Mina D 6.2 90' 23 (21%)
94 Sebastiano Esposito F 6.2 56' 1 24 (16%)
32 Zé Pedro D 5.9 90' 1 23 (16%)
Atalanta
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Gianluca Scamacca F 8.2 90' 2 4 24 (17%) 1
29 Marco Carnesecchi G 7.0 90' 25 (22%) 1
42 Giorgio Scalvini D 6.9 90' 1 91 (82%) 2
59 Nicola Zalewski M 6.9 34' 24 (19%) 1
10 Lazar Samardžić M 6.9 13' 10 (6%) 1
13 Éderson M 6.6 17' 21 (17%) 1
3 Odilon Kossounou D 6.6 17' 19 (17%) 1
19 Berat Djimsiti D 6.6 90' 1 93 (90%) 4
15 M. de Roon M 6.5 73' 81 (71%) 1
16 Raoul Bellanova M 6.5 56' 20 (19%)
23 Sead Kolašinac D 6.3 73' 84 (78%) 2
77 Davide Zappacosta M 6.3 56' 29 (26%) 1
18 Giacomo Raspadori F 6.3 90' 2 59 (50%)
17 Charles De Ketelaere F 6.2 77' 39 (27%)
8 Mario Pašalić M 6.2 90' 1 106 (88%)
90 Nikola Krstović F 5.9 34' 1 12 (10%)
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Atalanta ali neodločeno
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Cagliari
WWWLL
Atalanta
LLLWW
Last 3 meetings Cagliari · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Cagliari faces Atalanta in a crucial Serie A clash on April 26, 2026. Cagliari is currently fighting to avoid relegation, having secured only two wins in their last five matches, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 2 goals per game during this stretch. In contrast, Atalanta has been in strong form, boasting a potent attack with an average of 2.5 goals per game in their recent outings. Their offensive prowess, combined with Cagliari's struggles, suggests that Atalanta will look to dominate possession and exploit defensive gaps. This match could be pivotal for both teams' aspirations, with Cagliari needing points to solidify their survival hopes while Atalanta aims to maintain their push for European qualification.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Cagliari
D. Maldini 3 gls
Atalanta

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Cagliari vs Atalanta

1 Cagliari Wins
1 Draws
1 Atalanta Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 Sep 2026 Atalanta 1 - 2 Cagliari
13 Dec 2025 Atalanta 2 - 1 Cagliari
15 Feb 2025 Atalanta 0 - 0 Cagliari
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Cagliari — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Udinese W 0 - 1
12 Sep A Atalanta W 1 - 2
07 Sep H Lecce W 1 - 0
03 Sep H Hellas Verona L 1 - 2
30 Aug H Inter L 0 - 1

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Juventus L 2 - 0
12 Sep H Cagliari L 1 - 2
05 Sep A AS Roma L 2 - 1
31 Aug H Bologna W 1 - 0
27 Aug A Hapoel Tel Aviv W 0 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Cagliari

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Fabio Pisacane
1 Caprile
33 Obert
15 Rodriguez
26 Mina
32 Pedro
8 Adopo
90 Folorunsho
14 Deiola
10 Gaetano
31 Mendy
94 Esposito

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Caprile G
8 M. Adopo D
32 J. Pedro D
26 Y. Mina D
15 J. Rodriguez D
33 A. Obert D
10 G. Gaetano M
14 A. Deiola M
90 M. Folorunsho M
94 S. Esposito F
31 P. Mendy F

Substitutes

24 G. Ciocci G
12 A. Sherri G
19 A. Belotti F
22 A. Dossena D
28 G. Zappa D
25 I. Sulemana M
2 M. Palestra D
27 J. Liteta M
37 Y. Trepy F
29 G. Borrelli F
9 S. Kilicsoy F
18 O. Raterink D
20 A. Albarracin F

Atalanta

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Raffaele Palladino
29 Carnesecchi
23 Kolasinac
19 Djimsiti
42 Scalvini
77 Zappacosta
8 Pasalic
15 Roon
16 Bellanova
18 Raspadori
17 Ketelaere
9 Scamacca

Starting XI

# Player Pos
29 M. Carnesecchi G
42 G. Scalvini D
19 B. Djimsiti D
23 S. Kolasinac D
16 R. Bellanova M
15 M. De Roon M
8 M. Pasalic M
77 D. Zappacosta M
17 C. De Ketelaere F
18 G. Raspadori F
9 G. Scamacca F

Substitutes

57 M. Sportiello G
50 P. Pardel G
13 Ederson M
6 Y. Musah M
7 K. Sulemana F
40 R. Obric D
69 H. Ahanor D
5 M. Bakker D
90 N. Krstovic F
4 I. Hien D
3 O. Kossounou D
59 N. Zalewski M
10 L. Samardzic M

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