VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV Napoved

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29
FT
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MHPArena, Stuttgart
UI napoved VfB Stuttgart zmaga ali remi
67%
20%
13%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved VfB Stuttgart proti Hamburger SV: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za VfB Stuttgart na 67%, za Hamburger SV na 13%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 20%. Zadnja posodobitev: 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

VfB Stuttgart delivered a commanding performance at home, easing past Hamburger SV 4–0 in Bundesliga Matchday 29. Angelo Stiller opened the scoring in the 21st minute, and Chris Führich doubled the advantage just eleven minutes later, sending Stuttgart into the break in full control at 2–0. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Stuttgart win as most likely at 67%, and the hosts wasted little time validating that assessment.

The second half brought more of the same. Maximilian Mittelstädt extended the lead shortly after the restart, and although a VAR check cancelled an Ermedin Demirović effort in the 67th minute, Stuttgart's dominance was never in doubt. A late VAR review confirmed a penalty in the 81st minute, and substitute Bilal El Khannouss converted to complete the rout four minutes later.

The statistics underlined Stuttgart's superiority throughout — 65% possession, 23 total shots to Hamburg's nine, and an expected goals figure of 3.48 against just 0.71 for the visitors. It was a thoroughly professional display that leaves HSV with plenty to reflect on.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Angelo Stiller assist: Jamie Leweling
21' ⚽ 1–0
Chema Andrés Yellow Card
24' ▮
Chris Führich assist: Ermedin Demirović
32' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
Maximilian Mittelstädt assist: Chris Führich
56' ⚽ 3–0
⇄ 60'
Rayan Philippe ⇄ Otto Stange
⇄ 60'
Albert Grønbæk ⇄ Robert Glatzel
Ermedin Demirović Goal cancelled
67' 🖵
Chema Andrés ⇄ Nikolas Nartey
70' ⇄
Ermedin Demirović ⇄ Tiago Tomás
70' ⇄
Chris Führich ⇄ Bilal El Khannouss
70' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Fabio Baldé ⇄ Giorgi Gocholeishvili
⇄ 72'
Daniel Elfadli
Deniz Undav Yellow Card
80' ▮
▮ 80'
Yellow Card
Tiago Tomás Penalty confirmed
81' 🖵
Bilal El Khannouss assist: Tiago Tomás
86' ⚽ 4–0
Lorenz Assignon ⇄ Josha Vagnoman
88' ⇄
Deniz Undav ⇄ Jeremy Arevalo
88' ⇄
FT 4–0
VfB Stuttgart

Match Stats

Hamburger SV
65% Ball Possession 35%
3.48 Expected Goals (xG) 0.71
23 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 0
16 Shots insidebox 4
7 Shots outsidebox 5
8 Corner Kicks 2
5 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 7
541 Total passes 293
457 Passes accurate 220
84% Passes % 75%
-0.91 goals_prevented -0.91
VfB Stuttgart
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Maximilian Mittelstädt D 9.9 90' 1 – 3 63 (55%) 4
10 Chris Führich M 8.7 70' 1 1 4 34 (28%) –
11 Bilal El Khannouss M 8.2 20' 1 – 1 12 (10%) 1
24 Jeff Chabot D 8.2 90' – – 1 72 (66%) 2
6 Angelo Stiller M 8.0 90' 1 – 1 79 (70%) 2
3 Ramon Hendriks D 7.5 90' – – – 58 (52%) 1
33 Alexander Nübel G 7.3 90' – – – 34 (21%) –
18 Jamie Leweling M 7.3 90' – 1 – 27 (24%) –
30 Chema Andrés M 7.3 70' – – 1 35 (29%) –
8 Tiago Tomás F 7.3 20' – 1 – 5 (5%) 1
26 Deniz Undav M 7.2 88' – – 4 40 (29%) –
28 Nikolas Nartey M 7.0 20' – – – 16 (15%) –
9 Ermedin Demirović F 6.9 70' – 1 1 16 (14%) –
22 Lorenz Assignon D 6.9 88' – – – 41 (34%) 1
25 Jeremy Arevalo F — 2' – – – 4 (2%) –
4 Josha Vagnoman D — 2' – – – 5 (3%) 1
Hamburger SV
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Fábio Vieira F 7.2 90' – – 1 29 (28%) –
25 Jordan Torunarigha D 6.7 90' – – – 24 (18%) 1
49 Otto Stange F 6.7 30' – – 1 5 (3%) –
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G 6.5 90' – – – 57 (33%) –
11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 6.5 90' – – 4 13 (9%) –
14 Rayan Philippe F 6.5 60' – – 1 5 (2%) 2
16 Giorgi Gocholeishvili D 6.5 18' – – – 7 (7%) –
24 Nicolás Capaldo M 6.5 18' – – – 7 (7%) –
2 William Mikelbrencis M 6.3 90' – – – 19 (14%) 4
23 Albert Grønbæk M 6.3 60' – – – 15 (11%) 1
8 Daniel Elfadli D 6.3 72' – – – 22 (19%) 2
9 Robert Glatzel F 6.2 30' – – 1 4 (1%) –
45 Fabio Baldé M 6.2 72' – – 1 17 (14%) 2
21 Nicolai Remberg M 6.2 90' – – – 38 (29%) –
17 Warmed Omari D 5.9 90' – – – 31 (25%) 1
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
VfB Stuttgart zmaga ali remi
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VfB Stuttgart
LLWWL
Hamburger SV
WLLLW
Last 3 meetings VfB Stuttgart · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, VfB Stuttgart hosts Hamburger SV on April 11, 2026. Stuttgart has shown a strong home record this season, with an average of 2.1 goals scored per game, while their defense concedes only 1.0 goals per match. Conversely, Hamburger SV has struggled on the road, averaging just 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded per game away from home. With Stuttgart's potent attack and solid defensive organization, they are favored to secure a crucial three points in this encounter. Additionally, the home crowd could provide a significant advantage, amplifying Stuttgart's chances of maintaining their top-half position in the league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

VfB Stuttgart
J. Vagnoman 2 gls
Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV

2 VfB Stuttgart Wins
0 Draws
1 Hamburger SV Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Nov 2025 Hamburger SV 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart
05 Jun 2023 Hamburger SV 1 - 3 VfB Stuttgart
01 Jun 2023 VfB Stuttgart 3 - 0 Hamburger SV
Prikaži vseh 10 medsebojnih srečanj — Premium

VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Borussia Dortmund L 0 - 1
12 Sep A 1899 Hoffenheim L 2 - 1
09 Sep H Viking W 3 - 1
04 Sep H 1. FC Köln W 4 - 1
28 Aug A Bayern München L 5 - 1

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H 1. FC Köln W 2 - 1
13 Sep A RB Leipzig L 5 - 0
06 Sep H FSV Mainz 05 L 0 - 5
29 Aug A Borussia Dortmund L 2 - 0
24 Aug A Verl W 0 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund
4 4 0 0 +7 12
2
Bayern München
4 3 1 0 +12 10
3
SC Freiburg
4 3 1 0 +9 10
4
FC Augsburg
4 2 1 1 +5 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 1 1 +5 7
6
FSV Mainz 05
4 2 1 1 +4 7
7
SV Elversberg
4 2 1 1 +1 7
8
Werder Bremen
4 2 1 1 0 7
9
RB Leipzig
4 2 0 2 +4 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 2 1 -1 5
11
FC Schalke 04
4 1 2 1 -1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07
4 1 1 2 -2 4
13
1. FC Köln
4 1 1 2 -3 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 0 3 -3 3
15
VfB Stuttgart
4 1 0 3 -3 3
16
Hamburger SV
4 1 0 3 -11 3
17
Union Berlin
4 0 1 3 -13 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0 4 -10 0

VfB Stuttgart

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Hoeneb
33 Nubel
7 Mittelstadt
24 Chabot
3 Hendriks
22 Assignon
6 Stiller
30 Andres
10 Fuhrich
26 Undav
18 Leweling
9 Demirovic

Starting XI

# Player Pos
33 A. Nubel G
22 L. Assignon D
3 R. Hendriks D
24 J. Chabot D
7 M. Mittelstadt D
30 C. Andres M
6 A. Stiller M
18 J. Leweling M
26 D. Undav M
10 C. Fuhrich M
9 E. Demirovic F

Substitutes

1 F. Bredlow G
23 D. Zagadou D
28 N. Nartey M
4 J. Vagnoman D
8 T. Tomas F
14 L. Jaquez D
11 B. El Khannouss M
29 F. Jeltsch D
25 Jeremy Arevalo F

Hamburger SV

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: M. Polzin
1 Fernandes
8 Elfadli
25 Torunarigha
17 Omari
45 Balde
21 Remberg
23 Gronbaek
2 Mikelbrencis
20 Vieira
14 Philippe
11 Konigsdorffer

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 D. Heuer Fernandes G
17 W. Omari D
25 J. Torunarigha D
8 D. Elfadli D
2 W. Mikelbrencis M
23 A. Gronbaek M
21 N. Remberg M
45 F. Balde M
20 F. Vieira F
11 R. Konigsdorffer F
14 R. Philippe F

Substitutes

40 H. Hermann G
19 D. Downs F
49 O. Stange F
9 R. Glatzel F
16 G. Gocholeishvili D
3 N. Katterbach D
24 N. Capaldo M
27 P. Otele F
43 S. Nandja D

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