Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Napoved

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

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RB Leipzig

Away

Weserstadion, Bremen

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe RB Leipzig

19%

23%

58%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Werder Bremen proti RB Leipzig: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Werder Bremen na 19%, za RB Leipzig na 58%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 23%. Zadnja posodobitev: 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

RB Leipzig secured a hard-fought 2–1 victory at Werder Bremen in Bundesliga Matchday 28, with Antonio Nusa opening the scoring as early as the 15th minute to give the visitors a deserved half-time lead. Bremen, despite enjoying 55% possession and registering five shots on target, were unable to find a way through before the break.

Leipzig doubled their advantage shortly after the restart with a second goal in the 52nd minute, effectively putting the match beyond Bremen's reach. The hosts pulled one back in the 90th minute to set up a nervy finish, but it proved too little too late, with yellow cards for Marco Friedl and another player deep into stoppage time summing up a frustrating evening for Bremen. Our pre-match AI model had rated an RB Leipzig win as the most likely outcome at 58%, a call that proved correct.

The expected goals figures were remarkably level at 1.51 to 1.49, suggesting a closely contested affair on paper, but Leipzig's clinical early efficiency made the difference, as Nusa's influence — withdrawn in the 78th minute — shaped the result.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 15'

Antonio Nusa

HT 0–1

49' ⇄

⚽ 0–2 52'

⇄ 56'

⇄ Yukinari Sugawara

61' ⇄

Yellow Card

73' ▮

76' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Antonio Nusa

⇄ 78'

⇄ 86'

Yan Diomande

⇄ 86'

⇄ Assan Ouédraogo

90' ⚽ 1–2

▮ 90+2'

Yellow Card

Marco Friedl Yellow Card

90+8' ▮

FT 1–2

Werder Bremen

Match Stats

RB Leipzig

55% Ball Possession 45%

1.51 Expected Goals (xG) 1.49

13 Total Shots 7

5 Shots on Goal 2

5 Shots off Goal 3

3 Blocked Shots 2

9 Shots insidebox 4

4 Shots outsidebox 3

1 Corner Kicks 0

5 Offsides 1

13 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 4

558 Total passes 454

476 Passes accurate 362

85% Passes % 80%

0.43 goals_prevented 0.43

Werder Bremen

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Cameron Puertas M	7.5	90'	–	–	1	55 (50%)	5
29 Salim Musah F	7.3	14'	1	–	3	4 (4%)	–
5 Amos Pieper D	7.2	49'	–	–	–	36 (33%)	3
3 Yukinari Sugawara D	7.0	29'	–	–	–	23 (20%)	2
20 Romano Schmid M	6.9	90'	–	–	2	57 (41%)	–
2 Olivier Deman D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	53 (46%)	2
30 Mio Backhaus G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	32 (29%)	–
10 Leonardo Bittencourt M	6.7	76'	–	–	–	39 (30%)	2
24 Patrice Čović M	6.7	41'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	3
32 Marco Friedl D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	87 (76%)	2
14 Senne Lynen M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	73 (63%)	1
19 Jovan Milošević F	6.6	14'	–	1	1	5 (4%)	–
11 Justin Njinmah F	6.5	76'	–	–	2	14 (12%)	–
17 Marco Grüll M	6.3	61'	–	–	–	21 (18%)	2
7 Samuel Mbangula F	6.2	29'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
27 Felix Agu D	6.0	61'	–	–	–	33 (27%)	2

RB Leipzig

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Antonio Nusa F	8.5	78'	1	–	1	27 (21%)	1
23 Castello Lukeba D	7.2	56'	–	–	–	43 (40%)	–
40 Rômulo F	7.2	78'	1	–	1	20 (11%)	2
14 Christoph Baumgartner M	7.0	86'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	4
22 David Raum D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	48 (35%)	–
26 Maarten Vandevoordt G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	42 (25%)	–
4 Willi Orbán D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	64 (55%)	1
20 Assan Ouédraogo M	6.7	13'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
49 Yan Diomande F	6.7	86'	–	–	2	33 (27%)	1
17 Ridle Baku D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	48 (42%)	2
13 Nicolas Seiwald M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	41 (34%)	3
6 Ezechiel Banzuzi M	6.3	34'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	1
27 Tidiam Gomis F	6.3	12'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
24 Xaver Schlager M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	33 (26%)	2
11 Conrad Harder F	6.2	12'	–	–	1	5 (2%)	–
39 Benjamin Henrichs D	6.2	13'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe RB Leipzig

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Werder Bremen

WDWLW

RB Leipzig

LWLLW

Last 3 meetings Werder Bremen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Werder Bremen hosts RB Leipzig on April 4, 2026. Bremen has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per match this season, while Leipzig boasts one of the league's strongest attacks, averaging 2.4 goals per game. Leipzig's away record is solid, with a 65% win rate, contrasting with Bremen's home struggles, where they have only secured 30% of possible points. Expect Leipzig to dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities, potentially exploiting Bremen's vulnerabilities at the back. This match could be pivotal for Leipzig’s title aspirations as they look to maintain pressure on the league leaders.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

RB Leipzig goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	12	11	7	3	1
1	6	11	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Werder Bremen goals · most likely 0–1 (11.7%)

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Players in form

Werder Bremen

N. Füllkrug 3 gls

M. Grüll 2 gls

RB Leipzig

A. Nusa 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig

1 Werder Bremen Wins

1 Draws

1 RB Leipzig Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	Werder Bremen	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
23 Nov 2025	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Werder Bremen
10 May 2025	Werder Bremen	0 - 0	RB Leipzig

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Werder Bremen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H FC Augsburg	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A 1. FC Köln	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	A SC Freiburg	L	4 - 1
22 Aug	A Lüneburger SK Hansa	W	0 - 3

RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Hamburger SV	W	5 - 0
10 Sep	A Como	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0