Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg Napoved

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
FT
Post on X
Lotto Park, Bruxelles (Brussel)
UI napoved Anderlecht ali neodločeno
47%
25%
28%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Anderlecht proti Red Bull Salzburg: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Anderlecht na 47%, za Red Bull Salzburg na 28%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 25%. Zadnja posodobitev: 5 Nov 2026, 19:41.

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Match Report

Anderlecht secured a comfortable 2–0 victory over Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League league stage, with Ludwig Augustinsson opening the scoring on 20 minutes to give the hosts a deserved half-time lead. Despite Salzburg enjoying the majority of possession at 55%, Anderlecht were the more dangerous side throughout, generating an expected goals figure of 2.58 compared to just 0.59 for the visitors.

The second half brought further drama, as a Leandro Morgalla goal for Salzburg was ruled out by VAR on 76 minutes, keeping Anderlecht's lead intact. Marten Winkler then wrapped up the points with a late strike in the 90th minute, though he was immediately cautioned following his celebration. Salzburg's evening was further disrupted by Valentin Zabransky's yellow card on 66 minutes and a flurry of bookings across both sides.

The result was a disciplined, efficient performance from Anderlecht, who converted their chances clinically despite being second-best for possession. The outcome aligned with the pre-match AI model's assessment, which had rated an Anderlecht win as the most likely result at 47%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ludwig Augustinsson
20' ⚽ 1–0
Mario Stroeykens Yellow Card
28' ▮
▮ 35'
Edmund Baidoo Yellow Card
▮ 45'
Haris Tabaković Yellow Card
HT 1–0
⇄ 59'
Edmund Baidoo ⇄ Jesper Lindstrøm
Jayden Onia Seke ⇄ Oliver Antman
59' ⇄
▮ 66'
Valentin Zabransky Yellow Card
⇄ 66'
Yorbe Vertessen ⇄ Damir Redzic
⇄ 66'
Gaoussou Diakite ⇄ Soumaïla Diabaté
Danylo Sikan ⇄ Marten Winkler
73' ⇄
🖵 76'
Leandro Morgalla Goal cancelled
⇄ 77'
Abubakr Barry ⇄ Karim Konaté
Ali Maamar Yellow Card
78' ▮
Léo Pétrot Yellow Card
83' ▮
Mario Stroeykens ⇄ Marco Kana
86' ⇄
Mihajlo Cvetković ⇄ Tawfik Bentayeb
86' ⇄
Ali Maamar ⇄ Kaïs Barry
86' ⇄
Marten Winkler assist: Oliver Antman
90' ⚽ 2–0
Marten Winkler Yellow Card
90+6' ▮
FT 2–0
Anderlecht

Match Stats

Red Bull Salzburg
45% Ball Possession 55%
2.58 Expected Goals (xG) 0.59
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Corner Kicks 4
4 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
407 Total passes 503
342 Passes accurate 439
18 Free Kicks 12
Anderlecht
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Ludwig Augustinsson D 7.9 90' 1 – 2 41 (34%) 1
10 Marten Winkler F 7.7 17' 1 – 1 5 (3%) –
4 Giulian Biancone D 7.7 90' – – 1 54 (47%) 2
49 Jayden Onia Seke M 7.2 59' – – – 10 (9%) –
14 Danylo Sikan F 7.2 73' – – 1 20 (18%) 1
27 Léo Pétrot D 7.1 90' – – – 53 (46%) 1
50 Kaïs Barry D 7.0 4' – – – 5 (4%) –
26 Colin Coosemans G 6.9 90' – – – 34 (25%) –
11 Oliver Antman F 6.8 31' – 1 1 14 (13%) –
18 Lukáš Ambros F 6.8 90' – – 2 45 (34%) 2
29 Mario Stroeykens M 6.7 86' – – – 48 (45%) 1
79 Ali Maamar D 6.6 86' – – – 24 (18%) –
24 Enric Llansana M 6.5 90' – – – 35 (29%) 3
21 Tawfik Bentayeb F 6.5 4' – – 1 1 (1%) –
55 Marco Kana M 6.4 4' – – – 8 (7%) –
9 Mihajlo Cvetković F 6.3 86' – – 3 10 (9%) –
Red Bull Salzburg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
52 Christian Zawieschitzky G 7.3 90' – – – 24 (18%) –
35 Jesper Lindstrøm M 7.2 31' – – 1 10 (9%) –
15 Bartosz Mazurek M 6.7 90' – – 1 75 (67%) 2
32 Abubakr Barry M 6.5 77' – – – 57 (54%) 3
13 Frans Krätzig D 6.5 90' – – – 56 (50%) 2
23 Damir Redzic F 6.4 24' – – – 2 (2%) 1
21 Tim Drexler D 6.4 90' – – 1 80 (69%) 2
9 Haris Tabaković F 6.3 90' – – 1 12 (7%) 2
19 Karim Konaté F 6.3 13' – – 1 2 (1%) –
30 Gaoussou Diakite M 6.2 66' – – 2 25 (20%) 1
47 Valentin Zabransky D 6.2 90' – – – 89 (85%) –
39 Leandro Morgalla D 6.1 90' – – – 23 (17%) 4
11 Yorbe Vertessen M 6.0 66' – – – 19 (17%) 1
20 Edmund Baidoo M 6.0 59' – – – 18 (13%) 3
5 Soumaïla Diabaté M 5.9 24' – – 1 11 (10%) –
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Odkleni celotno analizo AI za Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg

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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Anderlecht ali neodločeno
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Anderlecht
DWWLW
Red Bull Salzburg
LWWWD

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Anderlecht now leads 2-0 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

90' Goal 85% sure

Anderlecht now leads 3-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Anderlecht leads 1-0. Win probability: 85.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 14.8%.

74' Goal 85% sure

Anderlecht now leads 2-0 with 98% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 44%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Anderlecht leads. Win probability: 75.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 79.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
47%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
28%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Anderlecht — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Club Brugge KV D 1 - 1
05 Nov H Red Bull Salzburg W 2 - 0
31 Oct H KVC Westerlo W 4 - 1
25 Oct A Gent L 4 - 0
22 Oct A Jagiellonia W 0 - 3

Red Bull Salzburg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Anderlecht L 2 - 0
01 Nov H Austria Lustenau W 5 - 1
28 Oct A Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz W 2 - 3
25 Oct A Lask Linz W 1 - 3
22 Oct A Celje D 2 - 2

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Anderlecht

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Vítor Bruno
26 Coosemans
6 Augustinsson
27 Pétrot
4 Biancone
79 Maamar
49 Seke
24 Llansana
29 Stroeykens
14 Sikan
9 Cvetković
18 Ambros

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 C. Coosemans G
79 A. Maamar D
4 G. Biancone D
27 L. Pétrot D
6 L. Augustinsson D
29 M. Stroeykens M
24 E. Llansana M
49 Jayden Onia Seke M
18 L. Ambros F
9 M. Cvetković F
14 D. Sikan F

Substitutes

8 R. Amané M
10 M. Winkler F
11 O. Antman F
50 K. Barry D
21 T. Bentayeb F
91 A. Bertaccini F
83 T. Degreef M
32 J. Heekeren G
55 M. Kana M
12 A. Omobamidele D
5 O. Reabciuk D
54 K. Sardella D

Red Bull Salzburg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: D. Röhl
52 Zawieschitzky
13 Krätzig
47 Zabransky
21 Drexler
39 Morgalla
15 Mazurek
32 Barry
11 Vertessen
30 Diakité
20 Baidoo
9 Tabaković

Starting XI

# Player Pos
52 Christian Zawieschitzky G
39 L. Morgalla D
21 T. Drexler D
47 Valentin Zabransky D
13 F. Krätzig D
32 A. Barry M
15 B. Mazurek M
20 E. Baidoo M
30 G. Diakité M
11 Y. Vertessen M
9 H. Tabaković F

Substitutes

7 U. Tohumcu M
41 Nikola Šarčević G
23 D. Redzic F
35 J. Lindstrøm M
22 S. Lainer D
19 K. Konaté F
1 C. Früchtl G
5 S. Diabaté M
91 A. Chase D
33 A. Camara M

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