AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC Napoved
Napoved AC Milan proti Ferencvarosi TC: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za AC Milan na 62%, za Ferencvarosi TC na 16%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 21%. Zadnja posodobitev: 5 Nov 2026, 19:40.
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Match Report
AC Milan dominated possession at San Siro but were unable to convert their territorial advantage into goals, as the first half ended goalless despite the hosts controlling 70% of the ball. Ferencvaros, disciplined and compact, offered little in attack before the break but posed a consistent threat on the counter.
The second half told a very different story. Lenny Joseph broke the deadlock six minutes after the restart, and the Hungarian side's expected goals figure of 3.13 — dwarfing Milan's 1.03 — reflected how clinical they were on limited opportunities. Joseph doubled his tally on 66 minutes to put the result beyond doubt, completing a brace before being substituted moments later. Milan's evening worsened further when Yusuf Bamidele received a red card on 77 minutes following a VAR review that upgraded his initial booking.
The result was a significant upset in the Europa League league stage. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 62%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Ferencvaros claimed a composed and deserved victory.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AC Milan
Match Stats
AC Milan
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Lorenzo Torriani G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (33%) | – |
| 14 Luka Modrić M | 7.0 | 27' | – | – | – | 48 (45%) | – |
| 11 Christian Pulišić M | 6.9 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 31 (29%) | – |
| 42 Filippo Terracciano D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 72 (62%) | 2 |
| 13 Sankhoun Diawara D | 6.8 | 46' | – | – | – | 46 (41%) | 2 |
| 80 Yunus Musah M | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | 3 |
| 20 Omari Hutchinson M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 61 (54%) | – |
| 30 Ardon Jashari M | 6.6 | 63' | – | – | – | 58 (54%) | – |
| 9 Gonçalo Ramos F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 15 (15%) | – |
| 22 Diego Moreira F | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | 3 | 29 (27%) | – |
| 73 Francesco Camarda F | 6.4 | 23' | – | – | 2 | 1 | – |
| 5 Koni De Winter D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 85 (79%) | 1 |
| 34 Mario Gila Fuentes D | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | – | 44 (38%) | – |
| 12 Adrien Rabiot M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (45%) | 2 |
| 33 Davide Bartesaghi D | 6.1 | 67' | – | – | – | 37 (31%) | 1 |
| 70 Alphadjo Cissè M | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 14 (9%) | – |
Ferencvarosi TC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Kristoffer Zachariassen M | 8.6 | 86' | – | 2 | 2 | 25 (10%) | 3 |
| 75 Lenny Joseph F | 8.4 | 67' | 2 | – | 7 | 6 (4%) | 2 |
| 80 H. Maïga M | 7.3 | 4' | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| 28 Toon Raemaekers D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (31%) | 2 |
| 14 Attila Osváth D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (25%) | 3 |
| 20 Cadu D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | – |
| 4 Mariano Gómez D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (19%) | – |
| 22 M. Bero M | 6.9 | 67' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | 1 |
| 90 Dénes Dibusz G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (10%) | – |
| 10 Jonathan Levi F | 6.7 | 4' | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| 17 Marius Corbu M | 6.7 | 92' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 2 |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 7 Veljko Birmančević M | 6.5 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | 3 |
| 6 Ádám Nagy M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (26%) | 1 |
| 11 Yusuf Bamidele F | 5.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Odkleni celotno analizo AI za AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowLive insights
Min 76: Ferencvarosi TC leads 0-2. Win probability: 97.9%. Comeback chance: 2.1%.
Ferencvarosi TC now leads 0-2 with 95.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 55.4%.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Ferencvarosi TC win: 71.4%. BTTS: 48.6%.
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 78.6%. Over 1.5 remaining: 50%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
A. Cissè
3 gls
L. Joseph
4 gls
K. Zachariassen
3 gls
B. Yusuf
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
AC Milan — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Genoa | W | 0 - 2 |
| 05 Nov | H Ferencvarosi TC | L | 0 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Inter | W | 3 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Bologna | L | 2 - 4 |
| 25 Oct | A Udinese | W | 0 - 2 |
Ferencvarosi TC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A AC Milan | W | 0 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H Paks | W | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Bicskei | W | 1 - 4 |
| 25 Oct | H MTK Budapest | W | 5 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | H Torreense | W | 4 - 1 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bournemouth
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |
Beşiktaş
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Levski Sofia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |
Lyon
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |
Anderlecht
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |
OFI
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Rennes
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Torreense
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |
Real Sociedad
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |
Crystal Palace
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |
Sparta Praha
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |
Sturm Graz
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |
Celje
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |
Celta Vigo
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |
AC Milan
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |
Jagiellonia
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |
Plzen
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |
Marseille
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |
Celtic
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |
Lillestrom
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
AC Milan
Formation: 4-4-1-1
Coach: Ruben Amorim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 96 | L. Torriani | G |
| 42 | F. Terracciano | D |
| 5 | K. De Winter | D |
| 13 | S. Bocoum | D |
| 33 | D. Bartesaghi | D |
| 20 | O. Hutchinson | M |
| 30 | A. Jashari | M |
| 80 | Y. Musah | M |
| 70 | A. Cissè | M |
| 12 | A. Rabiot | M |
| 9 | Gonçalo Ramos | F |
Substitutes
| 41 | L. P. Bouyer | G |
| 35 | V. Vladimirov | D |
| 11 | C. Pulišić | M |
| 37 | M. Pittarella | G |
| 22 | Diego Moreira | F |
| 14 | L. Modrić | M |
| 34 | Mario Gila | D |
| 2 | P. Estupiñán | D |
| 28 | C. Comotto | M |
| 73 | F. Camarda | F |
Ferencvarosi TC
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: B. Borbely
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 90 | D. Dibusz | G |
| 14 | A. Osváth | D |
| 28 | T. Raemaekers | D |
| 4 | M. Gómez | D |
| 20 | Cadu | D |
| 6 | Á. Nagy | M |
| 17 | M. Corbu | M |
| 16 | K. Zachariassen | M |
| 22 | M. Bero | M |
| 7 | V. Birmančević | M |
| 75 | L. Joseph | F |
Substitutes
| 5 | G. Zohoré | D |
| 15 | D. Arzani | F |
| 18 | Á. Bagi | F |
| 11 | B. Yusuf | F |
| 8 | N. Keïta | M |
| 10 | J. Levi | F |
| 72 | Ádám Madarász | M |
| 80 | H. Maïga | M |
| 54 | O. Nagy | D |
| 88 | P. Rommens | M |
| 1 | Á. Varga | G |
| 68 | Z. Varga | F |