Barcelona vs Aston Villa Napoved

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
FT
Post on X
Camp Nou, Barcelona
UI napoved Barcelona zmaga ali remi
69%
16%
14%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Barcelona proti Aston Villa: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Barcelona na 69%, za Aston Villa na 14%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 16%. Zadnja posodobitev: 3 Nov 2026, 21:55.

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Match Report

Barcelona were dominant from the outset at the Estadi Olímpic, with Lamine Yamal breaking the deadlock as early as the seventh minute to set the tone for a commanding Champions League victory. Villa struggled to contain the hosts' attacking threat, and a flurry of yellow cards before half-time — shown to Maatsen, Buendía, Jackson, and Raphinha — reflected the mounting tension. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Barcelona win most likely at 69%, and the match quickly bore that out.

The second half brought further misery for Aston Villa as Raphinha took centre stage, netting twice in quick succession in the 52nd and 64th minutes to put the result beyond doubt. The Brazilian's double capped a fine individual display before he was withdrawn as part of a wave of substitutions from both sides.

The underlying numbers told the full story of Barcelona's control: they registered eight shots on target to Villa's one, and their expected goals figure of 2.00 comfortably outstripped the visitors' 0.77, making the 3–0 scoreline a fair reflection of proceedings.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Lamine Yamal
7' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 11'
Ian Maatsen Yellow Card
▮ 31'
Emiliano Buendía Yellow Card
▮ 45'
Nicolas Jackson Yellow Card
Raphinha Yellow Card
45' ▮
Rodri ⇄ Marc Bernal
45' ⇄
HT 1–0
Raphinha assist: Fermín López
52' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 62'
Emiliano Buendía ⇄ Ibrahim Mbaye
⇄ 62'
Johan Manzambi ⇄ Leon Goretzka
⇄ 62'
João Gomes ⇄ Ross Barkley
Raphinha assist: João Cancelo
64' ⚽ 3–0
Pedri ⇄ F. de Jong
70' ⇄
Fermín López ⇄ Pablo Gavi
70' ⇄
Raphinha ⇄ Gabriel Jesus
70' ⇄
⇄ 77'
Nicolas Jackson ⇄ Tammy Abraham
⇄ 77'
John McGinn ⇄ Alysson
Brian Fariñas ⇄ Alejandro Balde
82' ⇄
FT 3–0
Barcelona

Match Stats

Aston Villa
65% Ball Possession 35%
2 Expected Goals (xG) 0.77
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 2
14 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 0
4 Corner Kicks 8
1 Offsides 3
14 Fouls 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
602 Total passes 323
552 Passes accurate 259
7 Free Kicks 14
Barcelona
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Raphinha F 8.8 70' 2 – 2 21 (18%) –
2 João Cancelo D 8.0 90' – 1 1 52 (50%) 1
10 Lamine Yamal M 7.8 90' 1 – 5 35 (25%) 2
7 Fermín López M 7.7 70' – 1 4 36 (32%) 3
16 Rodri M 7.6 46' – – – 50 (46%) 1
5 Pau Cubarsí D 7.5 90' – – – 93 (87%) –
18 Gerard Martín D 7.5 90' – – – 74 (72%) 1
1 Joan García G 7.4 90' – – – 19 (19%) 1
22 Marc Bernal M 7.2 44' – – – 30 (28%) 3
4 Brian Fariñas D 7.2 82' – – – 62 (60%) 1
8 Pedri M 7.1 70' – – – 43 (39%) –
3 Alejandro Balde D 7.0 8' – – – 6 (5%) 1
6 Pablo Gavi M 6.9 20' – – – 14 (13%) 1
21 F. de Jong M 6.8 20' – – – 16 (15%) –
9 Gabriel Jesus F 6.8 20' – – – 8 (7%) 1
17 Anthony Gordon M 6.7 90' – – 3 36 (30%) 1
Aston Villa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Zion Suzuki G 6.8 90' – – – 36 (27%) –
19 Ibrahim Mbaye F 6.7 28' – – 1 7 (6%) –
18 Tammy Abraham F 6.5 13' – – 1 2 –
14 Pau Torres D 6.4 90' – – – 46 (41%) 1
47 Alysson F 6.4 13' – – – 4 (4%) 1
3 Victor Lindelöf D 6.3 90' – – – 37 (35%) 1
11 Nicolas Jackson F 6.3 77' – – 1 11 (9%) –
10 Emiliano Buendía M 6.2 62' – – – 9 (6%) 5
8 Boubacar Kamara M 6.2 90' – – – 25 (22%) 4
2 Matty Cash D 6.1 90' – – 1 37 (29%) 1
35 João Gomes M 6.1 62' – – 1 17 (14%) 4
27 Leon Goretzka M 6.0 28' – – 1 11 (10%) –
6 Ross Barkley M 5.8 28' – – 1 8 (5%) –
22 Ian Maatsen D 5.8 90' – – – 40 (30%) 1
44 Johan Manzambi M 5.7 62' – – 2 10 (7%) –
7 John McGinn M 5.1 77' – – – 20 (11%) –
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Confidence Medium (69%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Barcelona zmaga ali remi
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Barcelona
WWLLW
Aston Villa
LDLWW

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Barcelona leads 3-0. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.

65' Goal 85% sure

Barcelona now leads 3-0 with 99.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 62%.

53' Goal 85% sure

Barcelona now leads 2-0 with 93.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.6%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Barcelona leads. Win probability: 76.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 81.7%.

8' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Barcelona win: 74.5%. BTTS: 73.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
69%
10%
Draw
16%
45%
Away
14%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Barcelona
Raphinha 4 gls
Lamine Yamal 3 gls
Aston Villa

No scorer data.

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Barcelona vs Aston Villa

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Barcelona — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov H Aston Villa W 3 - 0
31 Oct H Alaves W 6 - 1
25 Oct H Real Madrid L 1 - 2
20 Oct A Paris Saint Germain L 4 - 2
17 Oct A Real Betis W 2 - 5

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov A Barcelona L 3 - 0
31 Oct H Fulham D 1 - 1
28 Oct A Bournemouth L 3 - 0
24 Oct H Manchester City W 2 - 1
21 Oct H Viking W 3 - 1

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
4 4 0 0 +15 12
2
Real Madrid
4 4 0 0 +6 12
3
Arsenal
4 3 1 0 +5 10
4
Como
4 3 0 1 +13 9
5
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 +8 9
6
Aston Villa
4 3 0 1 +6 9
7
Manchester City
4 3 0 1 +5 9
8
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 +4 9
9
Club Brugge KV
4 3 0 1 +4 9
10
Sporting CP
4 3 0 1 +4 9
11
Real Betis
4 3 0 1 +2 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 +2 9
13
Bayern München
4 2 2 0 +7 8
14
VfB Stuttgart
4 2 1 1 +3 7
15
Inter
4 2 0 2 +2 6
16
Lask Linz
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Manchester United
4 2 0 2 0 6
18
Galatasaray
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Fenerbahçe
4 1 2 1 -5 5
20
AS Roma
4 1 1 2 +2 4
21
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 1 1 2 0 4
22
Viking
4 1 1 2 -1 4
23
Atletico Madrid
4 1 1 2 -1 4
24
PSV Eindhoven
4 1 1 2 -1 4
25
Bodo/Glimt
4 1 1 2 -5 4
26
FC Porto
4 1 0 3 -1 3
27
Napoli
4 1 0 3 -5 3
28
Villarreal
4 1 0 3 -6 3
29
AEK Athens FC
4 1 0 3 -6 3
30
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 -6 3
31
Sabah FA
4 1 0 3 -6 3
32
Feyenoord
4 1 0 3 -7 3
33
Lens
4 1 0 3 -12 3
34
Slavia Praha
4 0 1 3 -4 1
35
Lille
4 0 1 3 -6 1
36
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 -16 0

Aston Villa

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Unai Emery
1 Suzuki
22 Maatsen
14 Torres
3 Lindelöf
2 Cash
8 Kamara
35 Gomes
10 Buendía
44 Manzambi
7 McGinn
11 Jackson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Z. Suzuki G
2 M. Cash D
3 V. Lindelöf D
14 Pau Torres D
22 I. Maatsen D
35 João Gomes M
8 B. Kamara M
7 J. McGinn M
44 J. Manzambi M
10 E. Buendía M
11 N. Jackson F

Substitutes

47 Alysson Edward F
42 J. Wright G
6 R. Barkley M
40 M. Bizot G
17 A. Garnacho F
27 L. Goretzka M
4 T. Harwood-Bellis D
53 George Hemmings M
19 I. Mbaye F
5 T. Mings D
18 T. Abraham F

Barcelona

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: H. Flick
1 García
2 Cancelo
18 Martín
5 Paredes
4 Farinas
8 Pedri
16 Rodri
17 Gordon
7 Fermín
10 Yamal
11 Raphinha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Joan García G
4 B. Farinas D
5 Pau Cubarsí Paredes D
18 Gerard Martín D
2 João Cancelo D
16 Rodri M
8 Pedri M
10 Lamine Yamal M
7 Fermín M
17 A. Gordon M
11 Raphinha F

Substitutes

14 K. Adeyemi F
3 Alejandro Balde D
22 Marc Bernal M
41 A. Campos D
32 O. Goren M
25 D. Livaković G
6 Gavi M
29 H. Abdelkarim F
13 W. Szczęsny G
40 Guillem Víctor D
9 Gabriel Jesus F
21 F. de Jong M

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