FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split Napoved

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UI napoved HNK Hajduk Split ali neodločeno
33%
27%
41%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved FC Thun proti HNK Hajduk Split: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za FC Thun na 33%, za HNK Hajduk Split na 41%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 27%. Zadnja posodobitev: 22 Oct 2026, 20:53.

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Match Report

HNK Hajduk Split claimed a narrow but deserved victory at FC Thun, securing all three points in this UEFA Europa Conference League league stage encounter. Dalisson de Almeida settled the contest early, netting in the 17th minute to give the Croatian side a lead they would carry into half-time and ultimately protect throughout.

The second half proved feisty, with four yellow cards distributed across both sides. Hajduk's Michele Šego had the opportunity to double the advantage from the penalty spot in the 67th minute but failed to convert, a miss that kept Thun's hopes alive. Both managers turned to their benches heavily in the final quarter, with five substitutions apiece reshaping the contest, though neither side could significantly alter the scoreline.

The statistics reflected a closely contested affair, with both teams registering identical expected goals figures of 1.28 and an even spread of shots, though Hajduk edged Thun on shots on target. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Hajduk Split win as the most likely outcome at 41%, a call that proved correct as the visitors held firm for a professional away performance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 17'
Dalisson de Almeida
HT 0–1
▮ 47'
Alberto del Moral Yellow Card
Justin Roth Yellow Card
56' ▮
▮ 64'
Dario Marešić Yellow Card
✗ 67'
Michele Šego Missed Penalty
Furkan Dursun ⇄ Noah Christoffersson
70' ⇄
Nico Maier ⇄ Nassim Zoukit
70' ⇄
⇄ 70'
Marin Šotiček ⇄ Dario Melnjak
Nils Reichmuth Yellow Card
73' ▮
Justin Roth ⇄ Dorian Derbaci
77' ⇄
Brighton Labeau ⇄ Riccardo Braschi
77' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Michele Šego ⇄ Marko Livaja
⇄ 78'
Alberto del Moral ⇄ L. Dendoncker
Nils Reichmuth ⇄ Simon Lengen
83' ⇄
⇄ 84'
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba ⇄ Carlos Martín
⇄ 84'
K. Fayad ⇄ Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
FT 0–1
FC Thun

Match Stats

HNK Hajduk Split
52% Ball Possession 48%
1.28 Expected Goals (xG) 1.28
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Corner Kicks 3
3 Offsides 3
23 Fouls 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
351 Total passes 340
241 Passes accurate 239
69% Passes % 70%
0.58 goals_prevented 0.58
FC Thun
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
70 Nils Reichmuth M 7.3 83' – – 1 24 (13%) 7
1 Niklas Steffen G 7.0 89' – – – 40 (28%) –
16 Justin Roth M 7.0 78' – – – 24 (20%) –
19 Jan Bamert D 6.9 89' – – – 51 (40%) –
47 Fabio Fehr D 6.7 89' – – 1 53 (25%) 6
30 Nico Maier M 6.7 70' – – – 13 (9%) 3
96 Brighton Labeau F 6.7 78' – – 2 20 (10%) –
23 Marco Bürki D 6.6 89' – – – 39 (30%) 2
9 Furkan Dursun F 6.5 70' – – 1 9 (5%) 2
14 Mattias Käit M 6.5 89' – – – 45 (37%) 1
21 Dorian Derbaci M 6.3 11' – – 1 – –
20 Riccardo Braschi F 6.3 11' – – – – –
2 O. Mambwa D 6.3 89' – – 1 20 (16%) 1
13 Nassim Zoukit M 6.2 19' – – – 11 (7%) –
26 Noah Christoffersson F 5.9 19' – – 1 2 (1%) –
80 Simon Lengen F — 6' – – – – –
HNK Hajduk Split
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
33 Toni Silić G 7.9 89' – – – 36 (23%) –
6 Dennis Hadžikadunić D 7.6 89' – – – 39 (34%) 3
20 Alberto del Moral M 7.3 78' – – – 35 (26%) 2
7 Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba M 7.3 85' – – – 17 (13%) 2
9 Dalisson de Almeida M 7.2 89' 1 – 2 19 (13%) –
8 K. Fayad M 7.2 85' – – 2 36 (32%) 4
22 Mathieu Acapandié D 7.0 89' – – – 48 (32%) 4
10 Marko Livaja F 6.9 11' – – 1 1 (1%) –
32 Šimun Hrgović D 6.7 89' – – 1 28 (13%) 1
18 L. Dendoncker M 6.7 11' – – – 6 (4%) –
23 Marin Šotiček M 6.6 71' – – 1 10 (7%) 2
11 Michele Šego F 6.6 78' – – 2 11 (6%) –
17 Dario Melnjak D 6.6 18' – – – 5 (4%) 1
15 Dario Marešić D 6.6 89' – – – 46 (30%) 4
5 Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D — 4' – – – 2 (1%) –
77 Carlos Martín F — 4' – – – 1 –
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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
HNK Hajduk Split ali neodločeno
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FC Thun
WWLLD
HNK Hajduk Split
LWDWW
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
41%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FC Thun — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Heart Of Midlothian W 3 - 1
01 Nov A Lausanne W 4 - 5
25 Oct H FC Lugano L 2 - 3
22 Oct H HNK Hajduk Split L 0 - 1
18 Oct A FC Schaffhausen D 2 - 2

HNK Hajduk Split — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Lincoln Red Imps FC L 1 - 0
31 Oct H HNK Gorica W 5 - 0
26 Oct A Istra 1961 D 2 - 2
22 Oct A FC Thun W 0 - 1
18 Oct H NK Varazdin W 1 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Lugano
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Panathinaikos
3 3 0 0 +6 9
3
Twente
3 3 0 0 +6 9
4
Monaco
3 3 0 0 +6 9
5
Brighton
3 2 1 0 +5 7
6
Brann
3 2 1 0 +4 7
7
FC Copenhagen
3 2 1 0 +4 7
8
Universitatea Craiova
3 2 1 0 +4 7
9
Mjallby AIF
3 2 1 0 +4 7
10
St. Truiden
3 2 1 0 +3 7
11
Ajax
3 2 0 1 +6 6
12
Trabzonspor
3 2 0 1 +3 6
13
HNK Hajduk Split
3 2 0 1 +1 6
14
SC Freiburg
3 2 0 1 -1 6
15
FK Crvena Zvezda
3 1 1 1 0 4
16
Atalanta
3 1 1 1 0 4
17
SC Braga
3 1 1 1 -1 4
18
Gent
3 1 1 1 -1 4
19
Riga
3 0 3 0 0 3
20
FC Thun
3 1 0 2 0 3
21
Borac Banja Luka
3 1 0 2 -1 3
22
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3 1 0 2 -3 3
23
FK Jablonec
3 0 2 1 -1 2
24
Aarhus
3 0 2 1 -1 2
25
FC Nordsjaelland
3 0 2 1 -2 2
26
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3 0 2 1 -2 2
27
Kairat Almaty
3 0 2 1 -4 2
28
CSKA Sofia
3 0 1 2 -2 1
29
FC Iberia 1999
3 0 1 2 -3 1
30
Pafos
3 0 1 2 -4 1
31
Getafe
3 0 1 2 -4 1
32
Heart Of Midlothian
3 0 1 2 -4 1
33
KuPS
3 0 1 2 -4 1
34
FC Midtjylland
3 0 1 2 -6 1
35
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3 0 0 3 -5 0
36
Kauno Žalgiris
3 0 0 3 -10 0

FC Thun

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Steffen
2 Mambwa
19 Bamert
23 Bürki
47 Fehr
30 Maier
14 Käit
16 Roth
70 Reichmuth
9 Dursun
96 Labeau

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Niklas Steffen G
47 Fabio Fehr D
23 Marco Bürki D
19 Jan Bamert D
2 Olivier Mambwa D
70 Nils Reichmuth M
16 Justin Roth M
14 Mattias Käit M
30 Nico Maier M
96 Brighton Labeau F
9 Furkan Dursun F

Substitutes

22 Dario Walti G
25 Tim Spycher G
5 Nicolas Bürgy D
18 Tom Strannegård M
37 Lucien Dähler D
54 Louis Passavant D
13 Nassim Zoukit M
21 Dorian Derbaci M
52 Adam Ilic M
20 Riccardo Braschi F
26 Noah Christoffersson F
80 Simon Lengen F

HNK Hajduk Split

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
33 Silić
32 Hrgović
15 Marešić
6 Hadžikadunić
22 Acapandié
20 Moral
8 Fayad
23 Šotiček
9 Almeida
7 Bamba
11 Šego

Starting XI

# Player Pos
33 Toni Silić G
22 Mathieu Acapandié D
6 Dennis Hadžikadunić D
15 Dario Marešić D
32 Šimun Hrgović D
8 Khalil Fayad M
20 Alberto del Moral M
7 Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba M
9 Dalisson de Almeida M
23 Marin Šotiček M
11 Michele Šego F

Substitutes

99 Davyd Fesyuk G
44 Dante Stipica G
3 Roko Gabrić D
5 Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D
14 Ron Raçi D
17 Dario Melnjak D
16 Anđelo Šutalo M
18 Leander Dendoncker M
26 Adam Huram M
19 Etnik Brruti M
77 Carlos Martín F
10 Marko Livaja F

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