FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia Napoved

FT
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UI napoved FC Nordsjaelland zmaga ali remi
66%
21%
13%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved FC Nordsjaelland proti CSKA Sofia: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za FC Nordsjaelland na 66%, za CSKA Sofia na 13%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 21%. Zadnja posodobitev: 22 Oct 2026, 18:43.

Match Report

FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia played out a dramatic 2–2 draw in their UEFA Europa Conference League league stage encounter, with the visitors taking an early lead through Leandro Godoy in the eighth minute. The Bulgarian side held that advantage into the break, leaving the Danish hosts with work to do in the second half.

Nordsjaelland came out with renewed purpose after the interval, and Ibrahim Adel proved the key figure, equalising in the 55th minute before adding a second just twelve minutes later to put the home side ahead. The match turned significantly in the 76th minute when Justin Janssen was dismissed with a second yellow card, leaving Nordsjaelland down to ten men for the closing stages. Despite the numerical disadvantage, it was CSKA Sofia who capitalised, with Godoy completing his brace in the 88th minute to earn the visitors a share of the spoils. The final whistle was accompanied by a flurry of bookings, with five yellow cards shown in stoppage time alone.

Nordsjaelland shaded possession at 55% and created the slightly better opportunities according to expected goals, though the result ultimately felt fair. Notably, our pre-match AI model had rated a Nordsjaelland win as the most likely outcome at 66%, a call that looked well-founded for much of the contest before late drama intervened.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 8'
Leandro Godoy assist: Stefano Sensi
▮ 20'
Dinis Almeida Yellow Card
Victor Nelsson ⇄ Tobias Salquist
30' ⇄
Yellow Card
36' ▮
Stephen Acquah Yellow Card
36' ▮
HT 0–1
Ibrahim Adel assist: Noah Markmann
55' ⚽ 1–1
Justin Janssen Yellow Card
59' ▮
Nicklas Røjkjær ⇄ Malte Heyde
61' ⇄
Villum Berthelsen
62' ⇄
⇄ 65'
P. Panayotov ⇄ Cătălin Itu
Ibrahim Adel assist: Alexander Lind
67' ⚽ 2–1
Justin Janssen Yellow Card
76' ▮
Justin Janssen Red Card
76' ▮
⇄ 77'
Dinis Almeida ⇄ I. Solet Bomawoko
⇄ 77'
M. Ebong ⇄ T. Ivanov
Ibrahim Adel ⇄ Mark Brink
81' ⇄
Juho Lähteenmäki ⇄ Markus Walker
81' ⇄
▮ 84'
T. Ivanov Yellow Card
⇄ 84'
Pastor ⇄ James Eto'o
⚽ 2–2 88'
Leandro Godoy
Andreas Hansen Yellow Card
90' ▮
▮ 90'
I. Solet Bomawoko Yellow Card
▮ 90'
Bruno Jordão Yellow Card
Noah Markmann Yellow Card
90+1' ▮
FT 2–2
FC Nordsjaelland

Match Stats

CSKA Sofia
55% Ball Possession 45%
1.18 Expected Goals (xG) 1.02
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Corner Kicks 2
5 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
437 Total passes 356
351 Passes accurate 288
80% Passes % 81%
0.63 goals_prevented 0.63
FC Nordsjaelland
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Ibrahim Adel F 10.0 81' 2 – 4 26 (19%) 1
13 Andreas Hansen G 7.3 84' – – – 32 (25%) –
18 Justin Janssen M 7.2 76' – – 1 53 (46%) 4
11 Alexander Lind F 7.2 84' – 1 1 17 (7%) –
23 Runar Robinsonn Norheim M 7.0 84' – – – 33 (24%) 1
21 Malte Heyde M 7.0 22' – – 1 16 (15%) 1
3 Tobias Salquist D 6.9 54' – – – 27 (22%) 1
5 Juho Lähteenmäki M 6.9 81' – – – 38 (28%) 2
8 Nicklas Røjkjær M 6.9 62' – – – 45 (38%) 1
4 Noah Markmann D 6.6 84' – 1 – 59 (52%) 1
40 Hjalte Boe Rasmussen M 6.5 22' – – 1 4 (2%) –
15 Stephen Acquah D 6.2 84' – – – 49 (42%) –
29 Villum Berthelsen F 6.2 62' – – – 20 (14%) –
25 Victor Nelsson D 5.9 30' – – – 15 (15%) 1
6 Mark Brink M — 3' – – – 3 (2%) –
28 Markus Walker D — 3' – – – – –
CSKA Sofia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Leandro Godoy F 8.2 84' 1 – 3 14 (11%) 1
21 F. Lapoukhov G 7.7 84' – – – 45 (32%) –
8 Stefano Sensi M 7.6 84' – 1 1 51 (41%) 4
6 Bruno Jordão M 7.2 84' – – 2 34 (28%) –
32 Facundo Rodríguez D 7.0 84' – – – 40 (36%) 1
17 Ángelo Martino D 6.7 84' – – 1 25 (19%) 1
67 Cătălin Itu M 6.6 19' – – – 9 (8%) 1
7 M. Ebong M 6.5 77' – – – 25 (21%) 1
4 Dinis Almeida D 6.5 77' – – – 43 (39%) –
28 I. Pittas F 6.2 84' – – 1 30 (24%) 1
30 P. Panayotov F 6.2 65' – – 1 3 (1%) 1
2 Pastor D 5.9 84' – – 1 30 (21%) –
14 T. Ivanov D — 7' – – – 6 (6%) –
94 I. Solet Bomawoko M — 7' – – 1 1 (1%) –
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Confidence Medium (66%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
FC Nordsjaelland zmaga ali remi
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FC Nordsjaelland
LLWDD
CSKA Sofia
LDWDW
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
66%
45%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
13%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC Nordsjaelland
N. Røjkjær 4 gls
CSKA Sofia

No scorer data.

AI match tools

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Head to Head: FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FC Nordsjaelland — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Monaco L 2 - 0
01 Nov H FC Midtjylland L 2 - 3
28 Oct A Esbjerg W 0 - 1
25 Oct A Silkeborg D 1 - 1
22 Oct H CSKA Sofia D 2 - 2

CSKA Sofia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Panathinaikos L 2 - 1
31 Oct H Slavia Sofia D 0 - 0
26 Oct H Ludogorets W 2 - 0
22 Oct A FC Nordsjaelland D 2 - 2
18 Oct A Nesebar W 0 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Lugano
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Panathinaikos
3 3 0 0 +6 9
3
Twente
3 3 0 0 +6 9
4
Monaco
3 3 0 0 +6 9
5
Brighton
3 2 1 0 +5 7
6
Brann
3 2 1 0 +4 7
7
FC Copenhagen
3 2 1 0 +4 7
8
Universitatea Craiova
3 2 1 0 +4 7
9
Mjallby AIF
3 2 1 0 +4 7
10
St. Truiden
3 2 1 0 +3 7
11
Ajax
3 2 0 1 +6 6
12
Trabzonspor
3 2 0 1 +3 6
13
HNK Hajduk Split
3 2 0 1 +1 6
14
SC Freiburg
3 2 0 1 -1 6
15
FK Crvena Zvezda
3 1 1 1 0 4
16
Atalanta
3 1 1 1 0 4
17
SC Braga
3 1 1 1 -1 4
18
Gent
3 1 1 1 -1 4
19
Riga
3 0 3 0 0 3
20
FC Thun
3 1 0 2 0 3
21
Borac Banja Luka
3 1 0 2 -1 3
22
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3 1 0 2 -3 3
23
FK Jablonec
3 0 2 1 -1 2
24
Aarhus
3 0 2 1 -1 2
25
FC Nordsjaelland
3 0 2 1 -2 2
26
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3 0 2 1 -2 2
27
Kairat Almaty
3 0 2 1 -4 2
28
CSKA Sofia
3 0 1 2 -2 1
29
FC Iberia 1999
3 0 1 2 -3 1
30
Pafos
3 0 1 2 -4 1
31
Getafe
3 0 1 2 -4 1
32
Heart Of Midlothian
3 0 1 2 -4 1
33
KuPS
3 0 1 2 -4 1
34
FC Midtjylland
3 0 1 2 -6 1
35
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3 0 0 3 -5 0
36
Kauno Žalgiris
3 0 0 3 -10 0

FC Nordsjaelland

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
13 Hansen
4 Markmann
25 Nelsson
15 Acquah
5 Lähteenmäki
8 Røjkjær
18 Janssen
23 Norheim
14 Adel
11 Lind
29 Berthelsen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Andreas Hansen G
15 Stephen Acquah D
25 Victor Nelsson D
4 Noah Markmann D
23 Runar Robinsonn Norheim M
18 Justin Janssen M
8 Nicklas Røjkjær M
5 Juho Lähteenmäki M
29 Villum Berthelsen F
11 Alexander Lind F
14 Ibrahim Adel F

Substitutes

3 Tobias Salquist D
21 Malte Heyde M
40 Hjalte Boe Rasmussen M
28 Markus Walker D
6 Mark Brink M
16 Jakob Busk G
22 Carljohan Eriksson G
2 Peter Ankersen D
35 Villads Rutkjær D
9 Ola Solbakken F
10 Prince Amoako Junior F
37 Lamine Sadio M

CSKA Sofia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
21 Lapoukhov
17 Martino
32 Rodríguez
4 Almeida
2 Pastor
8 Sensi
6 Jordão
7 Ebong
30 Panayotov
9 Godoy
28 Pittas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
21 Fedor Lapoukhov G
2 Pastor D
4 Dinis Almeida D
32 Facundo Rodríguez D
17 Ángelo Martino D
7 Max Ebong M
6 Bruno Jordão M
8 Stefano Sensi M
28 Ioannis Pittas F
9 Leandro Godoy F
30 Petko Panayotov F

Substitutes

67 Cătălin Itu M
14 Teodor Ivanov D
94 Isaac Solet M
25 Dimitar Evtimov G
31 Daniel Nikolov G
19 Andrey Yordanov D
91 Aleks Tunchev D
34 Vasil Kaymakanov F
99 James Eto'o M

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