Lech Poznan vs Sunderland Napoved

UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3

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Sunderland

Away

Enea Stadion, Poznań

UI napoved Sunderland ali neodločeno

29%

25%

46%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Lech Poznan proti Sunderland: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Lech Poznan na 29%, za Sunderland na 46%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 25%. Zadnja posodobitev: 22 Oct 2026, 18:36.

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1st Half Over 0.5 73%

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Match Report

Sunderland took a stunning lead inside two minutes when Timur Tuterov struck to give the visitors an early advantage at Lech Poznan in their UEFA Europa League league stage encounter. The Black Cats held that slender lead into the break, with Kevin Danso picking up a yellow card late in the first half as the Polish side grew frustrated.

Lech pushed hard after the interval and their pressure told in the 70th minute when Leo Bengtsson equalised, restoring parity and sending the home crowd into life. Both sides made extensive changes in the second half, with Sunderland introducing Nilson Angulo, Habib Diarra, Granit Xhaka and Nordi Mukiele in a sweeping reshuffle, though neither team could find a winner despite a lively finish.

The statistics reflected Lech's dominance in terms of possession and territory — 57% of the ball, 25 total shots and an expected goals figure of 2.78 — yet Sunderland's resilience earned them a point on the road. The pre-match AI model had rated a Sunderland win as the most likely outcome at 46%, and while the visitors ultimately had to settle for a draw, they left Poland unbeaten.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 2'

Timur Tuterov assist: Nilson Angulo

▮ 41'

Kevin Danso Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Daniel Håkans ⇄ Luis Palma

62' ⇄

Pablo Rodríguez ⇄ Leo Bengtsson

62' ⇄

⇄ 63'

Nilson Angulo ⇄ Chris Rigg

⇄ 63'

Habib Diarra ⇄ Enzo Le Fée

⇄ 63'

Granit Xhaka ⇄ Noah Sadiki

⇄ 63'

Nordi Mukiele ⇄ Trai Hume

Leo Bengtsson

70' ⚽ 1–1

Patrik Wålemark ⇄ Gustav Berggren

82' ⇄

Radosław Murawski ⇄ Yannick Agnero

83' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Timur Tuterov ⇄ Reinildo Mandava

Mikael Ishak ⇄ Filip Jagiełło

87' ⇄

FT 1–1

Lech Poznan

Match Stats

Sunderland

43% Ball Possession 57%

2.51 Expected Goals (xG) 2.78

16 Total Shots 25

6 Shots on Goal 11

8 Shots off Goal 11

2 Blocked Shots 3

14 Shots insidebox 20

2 Shots outsidebox 5

3 Corner Kicks 6

1 Offsides 1

7 Fouls 13

0 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

11 Goalkeeper Saves 5

391 Total passes 506

309 Passes accurate 443

13 Free Kicks 7

Lech Poznan

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Mateusz Lis G	8.6	90'	–	–	–	65 (38%)	–
14 Leo Bengtsson M	7.6	28'	1	–	2	5 (4%)	–
10 Patrik Wålemark M	7.1	82'	–	–	5	10 (10%)	–
72 Mateusz Skrzypczak D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	67 (60%)	–
59 Terry Yegbe D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	68 (60%)	1
2 Joel Pereira D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	35 (24%)	3
21 Pablo Rodríguez M	6.6	62'	–	–	1	18 (14%)	1
77 Luis Palma M	6.5	28'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	1
7 Yannick Agnero F	6.5	7'	–	–	–	–	–
22 Radosław Murawski M	6.4	83'	–	–	–	33 (29%)	2
9 Mikael Ishak F	6.3	87'	–	–	2	18 (13%)	–
24 Filip Jagiełło M	6.3	3'	–	–	–	–	–
11 Daniel Håkans M	6.3	62'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	–
15 Michal Gurgul D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	33 (27%)	1
43 Antoni Kozubal M	6.1	90'	–	–	1	20 (15%)	–
5 Gustav Berggren M	5.9	8'	–	–	–	1	–

Sunderland

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
57 Timur Tuterov F	8.1	85'	1	–	1	13 (11%)	1
10 Nilson Angulo M	7.7	63'	–	1	1	28 (24%)	–
22 R. Roefs G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	30 (19%)	–
13 Luke O'Nien D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	76 (67%)	1
20 Nordi Mukiele D	7.0	63'	–	–	3	38 (32%)	1
28 Enzo Le Fée M	7.0	27'	–	–	2	18 (16%)	–
27 Noah Sadiki M	6.9	27'	–	–	–	22 (22%)	2
34 Granit Xhaka M	6.8	63'	–	–	2	54 (49%)	1
32 Trai Hume D	6.7	27'	–	–	–	13 (13%)	–
17 Reinildo Mandava D	6.6	5'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
29 Jules Ahoka M	6.6	90'	–	–	2	48 (43%)	2
19 Habib Diarra M	6.5	63'	–	–	4	16 (16%)	–
6 Dayann Methalie D	6.5	90'	–	–	2	37 (31%)	3
4 Kevin Danso D	6.4	90'	–	–	1	66 (60%)	–
11 Chris Rigg M	6.4	27'	–	–	1	8 (7%)	–
39 Malick Fofana M	6.3	90'	–	–	6	30 (25%)	1

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Sunderland ali neodločeno

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Lech Poznan

LWLWD

Sunderland

LLWDD

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

29%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

46%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Lech Poznan vs Sunderland

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Lech Poznan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Nov	A Benfica	L	3 - 1
31 Oct	H Wisla Krakow	W	3 - 1
28 Oct	A Siarka Tarnobrzeg	L	1 - 0
25 Oct	A Legia Warszawa	W	1 - 2
22 Oct	H Sunderland	D	1 - 1

Sunderland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Nov	H Dinamo Zagreb	L	0 - 2
31 Oct	A Coventry	L	3 - 1
28 Oct	H Brentford	W	3 - 2
25 Oct	H Leeds	D	0 - 0
22 Oct	A Lech Poznan	D	1 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	13	3	+10	12
2	Bournemouth	4	4	0	0	11	2	+9	12
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	4	0	0	11	3	+8	12
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	10	2	+8	10
5	Juventus	4	3	1	0	11	4	+7	10
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	4	1	+3	10
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	3	0	1	8	1	+7	9
8	Beşiktaş	4	2	1	1	11	8	+3	7
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	2	1	1	5	4	+1	7
10	Levski Sofia	4	2	1	1	4	3	+1	7
11	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	4	4	0	7
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	8	9	-1	7
13	Lyon	4	2	1	1	6	7	-1	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	7	4	+3	6
15	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	6	3	+3	6
16	OFI	4	2	0	2	5	4	+1	6
17	Rennes	4	1	3	0	4	3	+1	6
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	2	0	2	6	7	-1	6
19	Torreense	4	2	0	2	7	9	-2	6
20	Real Sociedad	4	1	2	1	9	4	+5	5
21	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	9	6	+3	5
22	Sparta Praha	4	1	1	2	6	6	0	4
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	6	6	0	4
24	Sturm Graz	4	1	1	2	3	6	-3	4
25	Celje	4	1	1	2	5	9	-4	4
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	1	1	2	3	8	-5	4
27	Celta Vigo	4	1	0	3	4	6	-2	3
28	AC Milan	4	1	0	3	4	7	-3	3
29	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	4	7	-3	3
30	Plzen	4	1	0	3	3	7	-4	3
31	Marseille	4	1	0	3	2	6	-4	3
32	Celtic	4	1	0	3	6	11	-5	3
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	0	1	3	1	8	-7	1
34	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	2	10	-8	1
35	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	2	12	-10	1
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0	0	4	4	14	-10	0