Netherlands vs Serbia Napoved

UEFA Nations League · League A - 4

04 Oct 2026, 18:45

Post on X

Serbia

Away

UI napoved Netherlands ali neodločeno

48%

22%

30%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Netherlands proti Serbia: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Netherlands na 48%, za Serbia na 30%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 22%. Zadnja posodobitev: 29 Sep 2026, 02:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.4%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Netherlands

WDDWW

Serbia

LLLDD

Last 1 meetings Netherlands · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Serbia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	2	1
1	10	11	5	1
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	7	3	1
4	4	3	2
5	1	1	1

↑ Netherlands goals · most likely 1–1 (11.4%)

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Players in form

Netherlands

M. Meerdink 2 gls

C. Gakpo 1 gls

Serbia

L. Jović 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Away Win

30%

Draw

22%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Away Win

30%

Draw

22%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

80% Home (No Draw) 20% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	3.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
1	9.9%	11.4%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.2%	10.1%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	7.5%	6.7%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.7%	3.4%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Netherlands	Draw	Serbia
Netherlands	38.5%	3.8%	1.3%
Draw	21.5%	14.8%	7.0%
Serbia	2.7%	3.2%	7.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Netherlands vs Serbia

1 Netherlands Wins

0 Draws

0 Serbia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Sep 2026	Serbia	1 - 2	Netherlands

Netherlands — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Sep	A Serbia	W	1 - 2
24 Sep	H Germany	D	1 - 1
30 Jun	H Morocco	D	1 - 1
25 Jun	A Tunisia	W	1 - 3
20 Jun	H Sweden	W	5 - 1

Serbia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Sep	H Netherlands	L	1 - 2
24 Sep	H Greece	L	1 - 2
05 Jun	A Mexico	L	4 - 1
25 Jun	A Denmark	D	0 - 0
20 Jun	A Slovenia	D	1 - 1

UEFA Nations League Standings

League A - Group A

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	2	2	0	2	0	+2	6
2	Belgium	2	1	1	2	1	+1	3
3	Italy	2	1	1	4	3	+1	3
4	Türkiye	2	0	2	1	5	-4	0

League A - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Greece	2	2	0	0	3	1	+2	6
2	Netherlands	2	1	1	0	3	2	+1	4
3	Germany	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
4	Serbia	2	0	0	2	2	4	-2	0

League A - Group C

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	1	1	0	3	2	+1	3
2	Croatia	1	1	0	2	1	+1	3
3	England	1	0	1	2	3	-1	0
4	Czechia	1	0	1	1	2	-1	0

League A - Group D

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	2	2	0	3	1	+2	6
2	Norway	2	1	1	4	4	0	3
3	Denmark	2	1	1	4	3	+1	3
4	Wales	2	0	2	0	3	-3	0

League B - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
2	Slovenia	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
3	Scotland	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
4	FYR Macedonia	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0

League B - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ukraine	2	1	1	0	1	0	+1	4
2	Northern Ireland	2	1	1	0	1	0	+1	4
3	Hungary	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1
4	Georgia	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1

League B - Group C

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Austria	2	2	0	6	2	+4	6
2	Kosovo	2	1	1	2	3	-1	3
3	Rep. Of Ireland	2	1	1	3	1	+2	3
4	Israel	2	0	2	1	6	-5	0

League B - Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sweden	2	2	0	0	5	2	+3	6
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	2	1	1	0	4	2	+2	4
3	Poland	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1
4	Romania	2	0	0	2	3	6	-3	0

League C - Group A

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Finland	1	1	0	7	0	+7	3
2	Albania	1	1	0	2	0	+2	3
3	Belarus	1	0	1	0	2	-2	0
4	San Marino	1	0	1	0	7	-7	0

League C - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Montenegro	2	2	0	0	5	3	+2	6
2	Armenia	2	1	0	1	4	3	+1	3
3	Cyprus	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
4	Latvia	2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1

League C - Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Slovakia	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
2	Kazakhstan	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
3	Faroe Islands	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
4	Moldova	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0

League C - Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Luxembourg	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
2	Estonia	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
3	Iceland	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
4	Bulgaria	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0

League D - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Malta	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
2	Gibraltar	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
3	Andorra	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1

League D - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lithuania	2	1	1	0	3	1	+2	4
2	Azerbaijan	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
3	Liechtenstein	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.