Real vs Academica Napoved

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

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Real

Home

1 : 4

HT 0 - 2

Academica

Away

UI napoved Preblizu za napoved

43%

28%

29%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Real proti Academica: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Real na 43%, za Academica na 29%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 18 Sep 2026, 21:27.

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1st Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 8'

⚽ 0–2 34'

HT 0–2

52' ⚽ 1–2

⚽ 1–3 58'

⚽ 1–4 90+3'

FT 1–4

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Preblizu za napoved

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Real

LDWWW

Academica

WLLLW

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Academica now leads 1-4 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Academica leads 1-3. Win probability: 97.5%. Comeback chance: 2.5%.

59' Goal 85% sure

Academica now leads 1-3 with 92.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 62.1%.

52' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Academica win: 67.7%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. Academica leads. Win probability: 88%. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

29%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Academica goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	7	13	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ Real goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	5.6%	4.6%	2.0%	0.6%
1	7.4%	13.0%	7.4%	3.2%	1.0%
2	7.2%	9.3%	6.0%	2.6%	0.8%
3	3.9%	5.0%	3.2%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.6%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Real	Draw	Academica
Real	27.9%	4.9%	2.1%
Draw	14.5%	16.4%	11.1%
Academica	2.3%	4.3%	16.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Real vs Academica

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Real — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Academica	L	1 - 4
13 Sep	H Lajense	D	5 - 5
12 Sep	H FBC Riograndense RS	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	A Amora	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A 1º Dezembro	W	0 - 1

Academica — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Real	W	1 - 4
11 Sep	H Benfica B	L	0 - 3
05 Sep	A Penafiel	L	4 - 1
29 Aug	H Lusitânia Lourosa	L	0 - 2
21 Aug	A Tondela	W	0 - 2

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.