Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC Napoved

UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 1

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Ferencvarosi TC

Away

Celtic Park, Glasgow

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Celtic

54%

25%

22%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Celtic proti Ferencvarosi TC: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Celtic na 54%, za Ferencvarosi TC na 22%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 25%. Zadnja posodobitev: 17 Sep 2026, 20:52.

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1st Half Over 0.5 75%

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Match Report

Celtic suffered a damaging Europa League opener at Parkhead, falling 3-1 to Ferencvarosi TC despite dominating possession. The Hungarian side struck first through Yusuf Bamidele on 20 minutes before Mika Baur doubled their advantage just before the break. Kristoffer Zachariassen then added a third in first-half stoppage time, leaving Celtic with a mountain to climb — a result that defied the pre-match AI model, which had rated a Celtic win as the most likely outcome at 54%.

Celtic pulled one back almost immediately after the restart through Daniel Arzani in the 47th minute, briefly offering hope of a comeback. However, Ferencvarosi held firm throughout the second half, defending resolutely despite Celtic's sustained pressure.

The stats told a story of Celtic dominance without reward — 63% possession, 11 corner kicks and 16 total shots compared to the visitors' 14 — yet Ferencvarosi's clinical edge proved decisive, converting six shots on goal to Celtic's four. Both sides picked up late yellow cards as tensions rose. It was a sobering start to Celtic's European campaign.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 20'

Yusuf Bamidele assist: Kristoffer Zachariassen

Mika Baur assist: Kieran Tierney

44' ⚽ 1–1

Oliver Sørensen ⇄ Kasper Høgh

45' ⇄

⇄ 45'

Olivér Nagy ⇄ Attila Osváth

⚽ 1–2 45+1'

Kristoffer Zachariassen assist: Yusuf Bamidele

HT 1–2

⚽ 1–3 47'

Daniel Arzani assist: Yusuf Bamidele

James Forrest ⇄ Sebastian Tounekti

57' ⇄

Haissem Hassan ⇄ Benjamin Nygren

57' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Yusuf Bamidele ⇄ Jonathan Levi

⇄ 66'

Daniel Arzani ⇄ Callum O'Dowda

Mika Baur ⇄ Luke McCowan

66' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Ádám Bagi ⇄ Krisztián Lisztes

Colby Donovan ⇄ Tony Ralston

80' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Mariano Gómez ⇄ Nathan Zohoré

▮ 86'

Jonathan Levi Yellow Card

▮ 87'

Attila Osváth Yellow Card

FT 1–3

Celtic

Match Stats

Ferencvarosi TC

63% Ball Possession 37%

16 Total Shots 14

4 Shots on Goal 6

4 Shots off Goal 5

8 Blocked Shots 3

10 Shots insidebox 8

5 Shots outsidebox 6

11 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 1

18 Fouls 14

0 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

596 Total passes 358

533 Passes accurate 287

12 Free Kicks 18

Celtic

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Mika Baur M	7.8	66'	1	–	2	37 (32%)	–
63 Kieran Tierney D	6.9	90'	–	1	1	69 (56%)	5
9 Kasper Høgh F	6.8	44'	–	–	–	14 (9%)	–
17 Sebastian Tounekti F	6.7	33'	–	–	1	18 (12%)	–
20 Cameron Carter-Vickers D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	82 (74%)	2
42 Callum McGregor M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	62 (62%)	1
49 James Forrest M	6.5	57'	–	–	3	20 (19%)	1
8 Benjamin Nygren F	6.4	33'	–	–	3	28 (23%)	–
11 Camilo Durán F	6.4	90'	–	–	3	11 (9%)	–
5 Liam Scales D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	100 (94%)	1
51 Colby Donovan D	6.2	80'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	4
56 Tony Ralston D	6.1	10'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	2
18 Oliver Sørensen M	6.0	46'	–	–	–	14 (14%)	2
23 Haissem Hassan M	5.9	57'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–
14 Luke McCowan M	5.9	24'	–	–	1	18 (16%)	–
1 Viljami Sinisalo G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	62 (59%)	–

Ferencvarosi TC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Yusuf Bamidele M	9.1	66'	1	2	2	18 (13%)	–
16 Kristoffer Zachariassen M	8.3	90'	1	1	4	26 (21%)	1
15 Daniel Arzani M	7.9	66'	1	–	3	34 (29%)	–
76 Krisztián Lisztes F	6.9	19'	–	–	1	6 (3%)	–
20 Cadu D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	49 (39%)	1
28 Toon Raemaekers D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	47 (41%)	1
4 Mariano Gómez D	6.6	81'	–	–	1	31 (28%)	–
1 Ádám Varga G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	–
6 Ádám Nagy M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	38 (30%)	1
10 Jonathan Levi F	6.4	24'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	2
54 Olivér Nagy D	6.3	46'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	2
5 Nathan Zohoré D	6.3	9'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
47 Callum O'Dowda M	6.2	24'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	–
17 Marius Corbu M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	35 (29%)	2
18 Ádám Bagi F	6.2	71'	–	–	1	6 (4%)	–
14 Attila Osváth D	6.0	44'	–	–	1	14 (10%)	–

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Celtic

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.2%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Celtic

LLLWW

Ferencvarosi TC

DWWDW

Last 3 meetings Celtic · 2W 0D 1L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Ferencvarosi TC leads 1-3. Win probability: 96.3%. Comeback chance: 3.7%.

49' Goal 85% sure

Ferencvarosi TC now leads 1-3 with 84.6% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.4%.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 37.4%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Ferencvarosi TC win: 57.7%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-2. Ferencvarosi TC leads. Win probability: 57.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 78.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ferencvarosi TC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	4	3	1
1	7	11	6	2	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	5	7	4	2	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Celtic goals · most likely 1–1 (11.2%)

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Players in form

Celtic

No scorer data.

Ferencvarosi TC

B. Yusuf 1 gls

K. Zachariassen 1 gls

D. Arzani 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

25%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

25%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

71% Home (No Draw) 29% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

22%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	3.7%	3.0%	1.2%	0.4%
1	6.9%	11.2%	6.1%	2.5%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.9%	6.1%	2.5%	0.8%
3	5.4%	6.6%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
4	2.7%	3.3%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Celtic	Draw	Ferencvarosi TC
Celtic	38.2%	5.5%	2.4%
Draw	14.9%	13.9%	9.4%
Ferencvarosi TC	2.1%	3.2%	10.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC

2 Celtic Wins

0 Draws

1 Ferencvarosi TC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Nov 2021	Ferencvarosi TC	2 - 3	Celtic
19 Oct 2021	Celtic	2 - 0	Ferencvarosi TC
26 Aug 2020	Celtic	1 - 2	Ferencvarosi TC

Celtic — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Rangers	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	H Ferencvarosi TC	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Rangers	L	3 - 0
09 Sep	A ST Johnstone	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	A ST Mirren	W	1 - 2

Ferencvarosi TC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Nyiregyhaza	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Celtic	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	A DEAC	W	0 - 7
06 Sep	H Ujpest	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	A Gyori ETO FC	W	0 - 3

UEFA Europa League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
3	Sparta Praha	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
4	Beşiktaş	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
5	Union St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
6	Ferencvarosi TC	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
8	Bayer Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
9	OFI	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
10	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
12	Torreense	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
13	Olympiakos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
14	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
15	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
16	Omonia Nicosia	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
18	Rennes	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
19	Dinamo Zagreb	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
20	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
22	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
23	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
26	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
27	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
29	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
30	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
31	Celje	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
32	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
35	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0
36	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0

Celtic

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. O'Neill

1 Sinisalo

63 Tierney

5 Scales

20 Carter-Vickers

51 Donovan

22 Baur

42 McGregor

49 Forrest

18 Sørensen

23 Hassan

11 Durán

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	V. Sinisalo	G
51	Colby Donovan	D
20	C. Carter-Vickers	D
5	L. Scales	D
63	K. Tierney	D
42	C. McGregor	M
22	M. Baur	M
23	H. Hassan	M
18	O. Sørensen	M
49	J. Forrest	M
11	C. Durán	F

Substitutes

31	R. Doohan	G
6	A. Trusty	D
17	S. Tounekti	F
56	A. Ralston	D
8	B. Nygren	F
47	D. Murray	D
14	L. McCowan	M
3	J. Lotomba	D
26	S. Johnstone	G
9	K. Høgh	F

Ferencvarosi TC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: B. Borbely

1 Varga

20 Cadu

4 Gómez

28 Raemaekers

54 Nagy

17 Corbu

6 Nagy

15 Arzani

16 Zachariassen

11 Yusuf

18 Bagi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Á. Varga	G
54	O. Nagy	D
28	T. Raemaekers	D
4	M. Gómez	D
20	Cadu	D
6	Á. Nagy	M
17	M. Corbu	M
11	B. Yusuf	M
16	K. Zachariassen	M
15	D. Arzani	M
18	Á. Bagi	F

Substitutes

5	G. Zohoré	D
22	M. Bero	M
7	V. Birmančević	F
90	D. Dibusz	G
8	N. Keïta	M
19	F. Kovačević	F
71	C. Lakatos	D
10	J. Levi	F
76	K. Lisztes	F
72	Ádám Madarász	M
47	C. O'Dowda	M
14	A. Osváth	D