Mariehamn vs Turku PS Napoved

Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 24

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Mariehamn

Home

1 : 0

HT 1 - 0

Turku PS

Away

UI napoved Preblizu za napoved

35%

28%

37%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Mariehamn proti Turku PS: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Mariehamn na 35%, za Turku PS na 37%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 12 Sep 2026, 15:56.

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Domači dosežejo gol 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

Arvid Bergvik

7' ⚽ 1–0

A. Larsson ⇄ T. Jakobsen

35' ⇄

HT 1–0

⇄ 60'

T. Vakiparta ⇄ N. Veinbergs

⇄ 60'

Abdoulie Tamba ⇄ E. Turkki

Ludvig Richtnér Yellow Card

67' ▮

▮ 69'

C. Azongnitode Yellow Card

▮ 72'

Yellow Card

⇄ 72'

Pau Juvanteny ⇄ L. Ikonen

⇄ 72'

S. Anini

V. Widlund ⇄ M. Hyvönen

74' ⇄

Arvid Bergvik ⇄ A. Stroud

74' ⇄

⇄ 76'

C. Azongnitode ⇄ O. Häggström

T. Koivisto Yellow Card

82' ▮

J. van der Heyden ⇄ A. Huttunen

83' ⇄

▮ 88'

L. Ikonen Yellow Card

FT 1–0

Mariehamn

Match Stats

Turku PS

43% Ball Possession 57%

12 Total Shots 19

4 Shots on Goal 4

6 Shots off Goal 12

2 Blocked Shots 3

7 Shots insidebox 14

5 Shots outsidebox 5

1 Corner Kicks 7

0 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 9

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 3

433 Total passes 504

339 Passes accurate 431

9 Free Kicks 11

Mariehamn

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Arvid Bergvik M	8.2	74'	1	–	1	17 (14%)	4
5 T. Koivisto D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	40 (34%)	2
2 N. Nurmi D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	53 (44%)	–
27 Ludvig Richtnér D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	7
8 J. van der Heyden M	7.0	83'	–	–	1	51 (45%)	4
18 A. Stroud D	7.0	16'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
64 M. Hyvönen M	6.9	16'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
1 K. Lund G	6.8	90'	–	–	–	29 (12%)	–
31 Samson Ngulube D	6.8	90'	–	–	2	30 (20%)	2
20 E. Patut M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	57 (48%)	2
23 V. Widlund M	6.7	74'	–	–	2	28 (20%)	3
7 A. Larsson F	6.6	35'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
16 A. Huttunen M	6.5	7'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
19 T. Jakobsen F	6.4	55'	–	–	2	17 (15%)	2
11 J. Svedberg M	6.3	90'	–	–	3	61 (45%)	–

Turku PS

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 M. Kauppila D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	59 (54%)	2
22 T. Zaal M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	63 (54%)	2
14 M. Hrádecký D	7.1	90'	–	–	2	61 (53%)	1
99 K. Visser F	7.0	90'	–	–	4	15 (9%)	–
1 E. Henriksson G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	28 (19%)	–
25 Abdoulie Tamba D	6.9	60'	–	–	1	42 (40%)	–
10 M. Könkkölä M	6.8	90'	–	–	4	30 (27%)	1
Seamus Maughan	6.7	18'	–	–	–	8 (4%)	1
6 Pau Juvanteny M	6.6	72'	–	–	–	49 (42%)	1
41 S. Anini M	6.4	72'	–	–	2	15 (13%)	–
28 T. Vakiparta M	6.4	60'	–	–	–	23 (19%)	2
3 E. Turkki D	6.3	30'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	2
44 N. Veinbergs F	6.3	30'	–	–	2	4 (4%)	–
15 C. Azongnitode D	6.2	76'	–	–	2	63 (54%)	–
26 L. Ikonen M	6.2	18'	–	–	1	11 (11%)	–
2 O. Häggström D	6.0	14'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	1

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Preblizu za napoved

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Mariehamn

LWLWW

Turku PS

LLDDD

Last 1 meetings Mariehamn · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

37%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Turku PS goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	7	6	3	1
1	6	13	9	4	2
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Mariehamn goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Mariehamn

No scorer data.

Turku PS

A. Muzaci 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

35%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

35%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

51% Away (No Draw) 49% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 17% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 35% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	6.6%	6.0%	2.9%	1.1%
1	6.4%	13.2%	8.6%	4.2%	1.5%
2	5.7%	8.3%	6.1%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.7%	4.0%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.0%	1.4%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mariehamn	Draw	Turku PS
Mariehamn	21.6%	4.7%	2.3%
Draw	12.4%	16.6%	13.2%
Turku PS	2.1%	4.6%	22.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mariehamn vs Turku PS

0 Mariehamn Wins

0 Draws

1 Turku PS Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Aug 2026	Turku PS	3 - 0	Mariehamn

Mariehamn — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A SJK	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Turku PS	W	1 - 0
08 Sep	A Lahti	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	A KuPS	W	2 - 4

Turku PS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ilves	L	0 - 3
12 Sep	A Mariehamn	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	H SJK	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Inter Turku	D	0 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Mariehamn

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: R. Björknesjö

1 Lund

31 Ngulube

5 Koivisto

2 Nurmi

27 Richtnér

20 Patut

8 Heyden

14 Bergvik

11 Svedberg

23 Widlund

7 Larsson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	K. Lund	G
27	L. Richtnér	D
2	N. Nurmi	D
5	T. Koivisto	D
31	Samson Ngulube	D
8	J. van der Heyden	M
20	E. Patut	M
23	V. Widlund	M
11	J. Svedberg	M
14	Arvid Bergvik	M
7	A. Larsson	F

Substitutes

12	O. Heino	G
3	A. Soiniemi	D
16	A. Huttunen	M
18	A. Stroud	D
19	T. Jakobsen	F
64	M. Hyvönen	M
43	L. Andersson	F

Turku PS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ivan Piñol

1 Henriksson

25 Tamba

15 Azongnitode

14 Hrádecký

20 Kauppila

6 Juvanteny

28 Vakiparta

41 Anini

22 Zaal

10 Könkkölä

99 Visser

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	E. Henriksson	G
20	M. Kauppila	D
14	M. Hrádecký	D
15	C. Azongnitode	D
25	Abdoulie Tamba	D
28	T. Vakiparta	M
6	Pau Juvanteny	M
10	M. Könkkölä	M
22	T. Zaal	M
41	S. Anini	M
99	K. Visser	F

Substitutes

35	D. Lauri	G
44	N. Veinbergs	F
9	L. Ivanovic	F
26	L. Ikonen	M
24	N. Talo	D
17	A. Sihvonen	D
3	E. Turkki	D
2	O. Häggström	D
45	Joel Ahen	F