Brann vs PAOK Napoved

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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Brann

Home

3 : 2

HT 1 - 0

Prva tekma 1-1 · Skupaj 4-3

PAOK

Away

UI napoved Brann ali neodločeno

39%

28%

33%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Brann proti PAOK: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Brann na 39%, za PAOK na 33%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 27 Aug 2026, 18:57.

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1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Brann edged past PAOK 3–2 in a dramatic Europa Conference League playoff clash at Brann Stadion, booking their place in the next round. Noah Jean Holm broke the deadlock in first-half stoppage time to send the hosts in ahead at the interval, before Kristall Máni Ingason doubled the lead just after the hour mark. PAOK hit back quickly through Cherif Ndiaye and Christos Zafeiris in a frantic five-minute spell between the 63rd and 68th minutes to level the tie, with both sides making a flurry of substitutions as the tempo intensified.

The decisive moment came in the 86th minute when Niklas Castro converted a penalty to restore Brann's advantage and ultimately seal the win. The match was a lively affair in terms of discipline, with six yellow cards distributed across both teams. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brann victory as the most likely outcome at 39%, a call that proved correct.

Despite PAOK dominating with 12 corner kicks to Brann's one and registering nine shots on goal to the hosts' six, it was the Norwegian side who held their nerve to progress.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 37'

Tom Louchet Yellow Card

Noah Jean Holm assist: Niklas Castro

45+3' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

▮ 53'

Giannis Michailidis Yellow Card

Kristall Máni Ingason assist: Jacob Lungi Sørensen

56' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 57'

Christos Zafeiris Yellow Card

⇄ 57'

Baptiste Santamaria ⇄ Greg Taylor

⇄ 57'

Shola Shoretire ⇄ Dimitrios Pelkas

Niklas Castro Yellow Card

59' ▮

⚽ 2–1 63'

Cherif Ndiaye assist: Dimitrios Pelkas

⚽ 2–2 68'

Christos Zafeiris assist: Dimitrios Chatsidis

Joachim Soltvedt ⇄ Vetle Dragsnes

69' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Tom Louchet ⇄ Rahman Baba

Eggert Aron Guðmundsson ⇄ Niklas Jensen Wassberg

80' ⇄

Kristall Máni Ingason ⇄ Ulrik Mathisen

80' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Cherif Ndiaye ⇄ Taison

⇄ 80'

Dimitrios Chatsidis ⇄ Anestis Mythou

▮ 84'

Dimitrios Giannoulis Yellow Card

Niklas Castro Penalty

86' ⚽ 3–2

▮ 90+4'

Dimitrios Pelkas Yellow Card

Ulrik Mathisen Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 3–2

Brann

Match Stats

PAOK

6% Ball Possession 94%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

9 Shots on Goal 6

0 Shots off Goal 4

0 Blocked Shots 0

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

12 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 4

9 Fouls 12

1 Yellow Cards 4

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Brann ali neodločeno

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Brann

WWLLD

PAOK

WWWLD

Last 2 meetings Brann · 0W 2D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

33%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

PAOK goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	4	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	8	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ Brann goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	5.6%	4.3%	1.8%	0.5%
1	8.0%	13.1%	7.1%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.8%	9.5%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.2%	5.1%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.7%	2.1%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Brann	Draw	PAOK
Brann	28.6%	4.6%	1.8%
Draw	15.4%	16.6%	10.3%
PAOK	2.4%	4.4%	15.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Brann vs PAOK

0 Brann Wins

2 Draws

0 PAOK Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	PAOK	1 - 1	Brann
27 Nov 2025	PAOK	1 - 1	Brann

Brann — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	W	2 - 1
16 Sep	A Os	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Start	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Lillestrom	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Sandefjord	D	0 - 0

PAOK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Panetolikos	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	A Atromitos	W	0 - 1
13 Sep	H Aris Thessalonikis	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Panathinaikos	L	3 - 1
02 Sep	H OFI	D	0 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

PAOK

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: A. Lisci

1 Pavlenka

13 Giannoulis

5 Michailidis

4 Hatzidiakos

3 Kenny

7 Santamaria

20 Zafeiris

47 Shoretire

23 Louchet

52 Chatsidis

27 Ndiaye

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Jiří Pavlenka	G
3	Jonjoe Kenny	D
4	Pantelis Hatzidiakos	D
5	Giannis Michailidis	D
13	Dimitrios Giannoulis	M
20	Christos Zafeiris	M
7	Baptiste Santamaria	M
52	Dimitrios Chatsidis	M
23	Tom Louchet	M
47	Shola Shoretire	F
27	Cherif Ndiaye	F

Substitutes

99	Antonis Tsiftsis	G
41	Dimitrios Monastirlis	G
6	Aritz Elustondo	D
18	Jonathan Gómez	D
21	Rahman Baba	D
25	Konstantinos Thymianis	D
32	Greg Taylor	D
97	Dimitrios Bataoulas	D
10	Dimitrios Pelkas	M
11	Taison	M
22	Taha Abdi Ali	M
56	Anestis Mythou	F

Brann

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: E. Horneland

1 Dyngeland

17 Soltvedt

23 Pedersen

3 Knudsen

21 Roeve

19 Guðmundsson

18 Sørensen

16 Eriksen

9 Castro

29 Holm

10 Ingason

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Mathias Dyngeland	G
21	Denzel De Roeve	D
3	Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen	D
23	Thore Pedersen	D
17	Joachim Soltvedt	D
16	Kristian Eriksen	M
18	Jacob Lungi Sørensen	M
19	Eggert Aron Guðmundsson	M
10	Kristall Máni Ingason	M
29	Noah Jean Holm	F
9	Niklas Castro	F

Substitutes

12	Simen Vidtun Nilsen	G
36	Håkon Melås Hellesøy	G
20	Vetle Dragsnes	D
6	Cheick Mbacke Diop	D
25	Niklas Jensen Wassberg	M
41	Lars Remmem	M
43	Brage Berg Haugen	M
7	Kjartan Mar Kjartansson	M
39	Julian Lægreid	F
11	Bård Finne	F
14	Ulrik Mathisen	F