FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan Napoved

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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FK Tobol Kostanay

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1 : 2

HT 1 - 0

Prva tekma 0-3 · Skupaj 1-5

FK Partizan

Away

UI napoved FK Partizan ali neodločeno

30%

28%

41%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved FK Tobol Kostanay proti FK Partizan: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za FK Tobol Kostanay na 30%, za FK Partizan na 41%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 13 Aug 2026, 16:58.

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Match Report

FK Tobol Kostanay took an early lead through Islam Chesnokov in the seventh minute, and the hosts looked comfortable heading into the break with a 1–0 advantage despite holding the majority of possession. Partizan's task was made harder by disciplinary issues, with Zoran Alilović picking up a yellow card late in the first half before being withdrawn at the interval alongside Erik Kojzek as the Serbian side reshuffled.

The turnaround came almost immediately after the restart, with Stefan Mitrović levelling for Partizan just a minute into the second half. The match remained tight and physical — four more yellow cards were distributed across both teams — as Tobol pressed to retake the lead but were unable to convert despite winning 11 corners on the night.

The decisive moment arrived deep in stoppage time when Chaka Traorè struck in the 92nd minute to seal a 2–1 victory for Partizan and send them through to the next round. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Partizan win as the most likely outcome at 41%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Islam Chesnokov

7' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 40'

Zoran Alilović Yellow Card

▮ 44'

Yellow Card

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Zoran Alilović ⇄ Aleks Zeković

⇄ 46'

Erik Kojzek ⇄ Jeh

⇄ 46'

⇄ Ibrahim Zubairu

⚽ 1–1 47'

Stefan Mitrović assist: Milan Vukotić

▮ 63'

Stefan Milić Yellow Card

63' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Bogdan Kostić ⇄ Chaka Traorè

78' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Milan Vukotić ⇄ Samson Nwulu

▮ 85'

Samson Nwulu Yellow Card

Yellow Card

86' ▮

⚽ 1–2 90+2'

Chaka Traorè assist: Ibrahim Zubairu

FT 1–2

FK Tobol Kostanay

Match Stats

FK Partizan

55% Ball Possession 45%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

4 Shots on Goal 5

6 Shots off Goal 5

8 Blocked Shots 1

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

11 Corner Kicks 8

3 Offsides 2

12 Fouls 10

1 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

FK Partizan ali neodločeno

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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FK Tobol Kostanay

LWWLW

FK Partizan

DLLWW

Last 1 meetings FK Tobol Kostanay · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FK Partizan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	7	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ FK Tobol Kostanay goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

30%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

30%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

58% Away (No Draw) 42% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 30% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	8.7%	7.5%	3.7%	1.3%
1	6.8%	13.9%	9.0%	4.4%	1.6%
2	5.1%	7.4%	5.4%	2.6%	1.0%
3	2.0%	3.0%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FK Tobol Kostanay	Draw	FK Partizan
FK Tobol Kostanay	15.4%	4.1%	2.2%
Draw	12.9%	18.3%	16.2%
FK Partizan	2.1%	4.7%	24.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan

0 FK Tobol Kostanay Wins

0 Draws

1 FK Partizan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	FK Partizan	3 - 0	FK Tobol Kostanay

FK Tobol Kostanay — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H Yelimay Semey	L	0 - 2
13 Sep	A Kairat Almaty	W	1 - 4
06 Sep	H Ulytau	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	A Kaspiy	L	1 - 0
25 Aug	H Kaisar	W	3 - 2

FK Partizan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Radnik Surdulica	D	4 - 4
13 Sep	H Vojvodina	L	2 - 3
06 Sep	A FK Crvena Zvezda	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H OFK Beograd	W	3 - 1
27 Aug	H Getafe	W	2 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

FK Tobol Kostanay

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Miroslav Romashchenko

1 Busurmanov

3 Asrankulov

5 Ndiaye

72 Senhadji

21 Zhagorov

30 Guerra

13 Cisse

8 Tagybergen

10 Chesnokov

18 Milovanović

99 Lisakovich

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Sultan Busurmanov	G
21	Nauryzbek Zhagorov	M
72	Rayan Senhadji	D
5	Pape Alioune Ndiaye	D
3	Roman Asrankulov	D
10	Islam Chesnokov	M
8	Askhat Tagybergen	M
13	Abdoulaye Cisse	M
30	Luis Guerra	M
99	Vitaliy Lisakovich	F
18	Uroš Milovanović	F

Substitutes

35	Yuriy Melikhov	G
44	Danil Ustimenko	G
4	Nemanja Cavnić	D
22	Aleksandr Marochkin	D
25	Antonio Boršić	D
6	Maksim Myakish	M
14	Amine Talal	M
17	Aleksander Zuev	M
19	Dauren Zhumat	M

FK Partizan

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Sasa Ilic

31 Krunić

24 Đurđević

23 Mitrović

44 Milić

30 Roganović

11 Vukotić

32 Trifunović

99 Kostić

90 Alilović

19 Seck

9 Kojzek

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Miloš Krunić	G
30	Milan Roganović	D
44	Stefan Milić	D
23	Stefan Mitrović	D
24	Vukašin Đurđević	D
11	Milan Vukotić	M
19	Demba Seck	M
90	Zoran Alilović	M
99	Bogdan Kostić	M
32	Nemanja Trifunović	M
9	Erik Kojzek	F

Substitutes

8	Aleks Zeković	M
39	Ibrahim Zubairu	M
89	Jeh	F
1	Marko Milošević	G
41	Tarik Banjić	G
5	Mateja Milovanović	D
33	Stefan Petrović	D
40	Nikola Simic	D
7	Chaka Traorè	M
20	Samson Nwulu	M
46	Marko Lekić	F