Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec Napoved

I Liga · Regular Season - 6

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Stal Mielec

Away

Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

UI napoved Stal Mielec ali neodločeno

30%

28%

42%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Pogoń Siedlce proti Stal Mielec: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Pogoń Siedlce na 30%, za Stal Mielec na 42%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 29 Aug 2026, 15:26.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
Pod 3,5 gola 74%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

16' ▮

Yellow Card

22' ▮

30' ⚽ 1–0

35' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ 69'

Kamil Cybulski

⇄ 69'

69' ⇄

▮ 73'

Yellow Card

77' ⇄

FT 2–0

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Odkleni celotno analizo AI za Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Stal Mielec ali neodločeno

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Pogoń Siedlce

WDWWL

Stal Mielec

LLDDL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

42%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Stal Mielec goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	10	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Pogoń Siedlce goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

30%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

30%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 27% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	9.6%	8.2%	4.0%	1.5%
1	6.8%	14.0%	9.1%	4.5%	1.6%
2	4.7%	6.9%	5.1%	2.5%	0.9%
3	1.7%	2.6%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Pogoń Siedlce	Draw	Stal Mielec
Pogoń Siedlce	15.6%	4.6%	2.5%
Draw	10.8%	18.5%	17.3%
Stal Mielec	1.5%	4.1%	25.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Pogoń Siedlce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Arka Gdynia	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Chrobry Głogów	D	0 - 0
01 Sep	A Kluczevia Stargard	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H Stal Mielec	W	2 - 0
21 Aug	A Lechia Gdansk	L	1 - 0

Stal Mielec — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Lechia Gdansk	L	7 - 1
14 Sep	H Nieciecza	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	H Odra Opole	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	A Górnik Łęczna	D	3 - 3
29 Aug	A Pogoń Siedlce	L	2 - 0

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6

Stal Mielec

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: Emiliano Té

99 Gostomski

23 Getinger

44 Puerto

94 Kwiecień

2 Kukułowicz

7 Cebula

78 Cybulski

14 Kościelny

32 Gerbowski

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	M. Gostomski	G
2	B. Kukułowicz	D
94	B. Kwiecień	D
44	Israel Puerto	D
23	K. Getinger	M
32	F. Gerbowski	M
14	K. Kościelny	D
78	K. Cybulski	F
7	M. Cebula	M

Substitutes

10	M. Domański	M
70	S. Musiolik	F
47	S. Oure	F
29	P. Tupaj	F
38	Michael Wyparlo	D
41	Piotr Chrapusta	G
5	H. Matynia	D

Pogoń Siedlce

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: Emiliano Té

57 Lemanowicz

2 Miś

4 Szur

26 Kendzia

29 Trepka

56 Demianiuk

31 Dzięcioł

16 Poczobut

21 Kobusiński

7 Szuprytowski

9 Rosołek

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
57	J. Lemanowicz	G
29	Ł. Trepka	D
26	F. Kendzia	D
4	P. Szur	D
2	K. Miś	D
21	S. Kobusiński	F
16	B. Poczobut	M
31	E. Dzięcioł	D
56	C. Demianiuk	F
7	D. Szuprytowski	M
9	M. Rosołek	F

Substitutes

10	R. Makowski	M
1	J. Tomkiel	G
95	N. Zielonka	M
17	M. Marzec	M
72	S. Szczytniewski	D
47	Boleslaw Swierczewski	M
14	D. Jakubik	D
6	M. Kizyma	M
22	P. Klimek	-