Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock Napoved

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 14

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Wisla Plock

Away

Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna

UI napoved Motor Lublin ali neodločeno

47%

27%

26%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Motor Lublin proti Wisla Plock: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Motor Lublin na 47%, za Wisla Plock na 26%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 27%. Zadnja posodobitev: 6 Nov 2026, 19:04.

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Gosti dosežejo gol 71%
1st Half Home or Draw 73%

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Timeline

Bartosz Bereszyński assist: Fábio Ronaldo

2' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 16'

Samuel Akere Yellow Card

⚽ 1–1 31'

Afonso Silva assist: Samuel Akere

⚽ 1–2 33'

Olaf Kobacki assist: Samuel Akere

Yacine Bourhane Yellow Card

35' ▮

HT 1–2

Mbaye Ndiaye assist: Fábio Ronaldo

54' ⚽ 2–2

Thomas Santos Yellow Card

56' ▮

Yacine Bourhane ⇄ Alioune Tall

63' ⇄

Thomas Santos ⇄ Kamil Lukoszek

63' ⇄

⇄ 63'

Łukasz Sekulski ⇄ Said Hamulić

⇄ 71'

Olaf Kobacki ⇄ Fabian Hiszpański

⇄ 71'

Samuel Akere ⇄ Jurica Pršir

▮ 76'

Marcus Haglind Sangre Yellow Card

▮ 77'

Łukasz Sekulski Yellow Card

Bartosz Bereszyński ⇄ Marek Kristián Bartoš

80' ⇄

Fábio Ronaldo ⇄ Makan Aïko

80' ⇄

Christopher Simon ⇄ Paskal Meyer

80' ⇄

▮ 81'

Marcus Haglind Sangre Red Card

⇄ 83'

Adam Radwański ⇄ Krystian Pomorski

Alioune Tall Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

Filip Luberecki Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

Karol Czubak

90+7' ⚽ 3–2

Mbaye Ndiaye Yellow Card

90+10' ▮

FT 3–2

Motor Lublin

Match Stats

Wisla Plock

60% Ball Possession 40%

3.8 Expected Goals (xG) 1.18

27 Total Shots 10

7 Shots on Goal 5

9 Shots off Goal 3

11 Blocked Shots 2

19 Shots insidebox 7

8 Shots outsidebox 3

8 Corner Kicks 6

1 Offsides 1

13 Fouls 12

4 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

491 Total passes 328

435 Passes accurate 263

12 Free Kicks 13

Motor Lublin

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Fábio Ronaldo M	8.6	80'	–	2	3	32 (32%)	–
10 Karol Czubak F	8.1	90'	1	–	7	15 (9%)	–
18 Bartosz Bereszyński D	7.3	80'	1	–	1	52 (46%)	1
30 Mbaye Ndiaye M	7.2	90'	1	–	3	23 (15%)	1
4 Tin Plavotić D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	55 (48%)	2
17 Kamil Lukoszek M	6.7	27'	–	–	1	16 (14%)	2
27 Yacine Bourhane M	6.6	63'	–	–	–	61 (58%)	1
8 Christopher Simon M	6.6	80'	–	–	2	39 (38%)	–
9 Rony Lopes M	6.5	90'	–	–	7	49 (44%)	1
29 Thomas Santos D	6.4	63'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	2
39 Marek Kristián Bartoš D	6.2	10'	–	–	1	12 (12%)	–
24 Filip Luberecki D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	55 (49%)	2
33 Gašper Tratnik G	6.1	90'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	–
70 Makan Aïko M	6.0	10'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
47 Alioune Tall M	6.0	27'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	1
2 Paskal Meyer D	5.9	10'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–

Wisla Plock

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
57 Samuel Akere F	7.9	71'	–	2	1	14 (12%)	3
7 Olaf Kobacki F	7.4	71'	1	–	3	9 (8%)	5
34 Afonso Silva D	6.9	90'	1	–	1	31 (26%)	3
10 Said Hamulić F	6.7	27'	–	–	2	3 (2%)	–
35 Marcin Kamiński D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	43 (39%)	2
20 Łukasz Sekulski F	6.4	63'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	1
12 Rafał Leszczyński G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	35 (23%)	–
3 Marcin Flis M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	44 (37%)	2
17 Adam Radwański M	6.0	83'	–	–	3	42 (34%)	2
16 Fabian Hiszpański M	5.9	19'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
6 Krystian Pomorski M	5.8	7'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
18 Jurica Pršir M	5.8	19'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
21 Žan Rogelj M	5.6	90'	–	–	–	25 (18%)	–
19 Dion Gallapeni M	5.3	90'	–	–	–	31 (20%)	4
4 Marcus Haglind Sangre D	5.1	81'	–	–	–	30 (27%)	2

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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Motor Lublin ali neodločeno

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Motor Lublin

WWDDW

Wisla Plock

LDWLW

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 3-2! Motor Lublin win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 80.6%. Late goal chance: 20.6%.

77' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-3! Wisla Plock win probability: 81.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 34.6%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 67.1%. Late goal chance: 36.7%.

56' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 45.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

26%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Motor Lublin

K. Czubak 7 gls

M. Ndiaye 4 gls

Wisla Plock

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Motor Lublin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Nov	H Wisla Plock	W	3 - 2
30 Oct	A Cracovia Krakow	W	1 - 2
27 Oct	H Raków Częstochowa	D	1 - 1
23 Oct	H Zaglebie Lubin	D	2 - 2
17 Oct	H Slask Wroclaw	W	3 - 2

Wisla Plock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Nov	A Motor Lublin	L	3 - 2
31 Oct	H Piast Gliwice	D	2 - 2
28 Oct	A Puszcza Niepołomice	W	1 - 2
25 Oct	A Jagiellonia	L	1 - 0
19 Oct	H Radomiak Radom	W	1 - 0

Ekstraklasa Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	12	10	1	1	32	11	+21	31
2	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	4	1	23	12	+11	31
3	Legia Warszawa	13	6	6	1	23	11	+12	24
4	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	3	3	20	15	+5	24
5	Wisla Krakow	14	7	3	4	22	19	+3	24
6	Piast Gliwice	14	6	4	4	24	20	+4	22
7	Zaglebie Lubin	13	6	4	3	16	15	+1	22
8	GKS Katowice	13	7	0	6	25	19	+6	21
9	Motor Lublin	14	5	4	5	22	24	-2	19
10	Jagiellonia	12	6	0	6	17	18	-1	18
11	Korona Kielce	14	5	3	6	14	21	-7	18
12	Wisla Plock	13	4	3	6	14	21	-7	15
13	Widzew Łódź	14	2	8	4	20	19	+1	14
14	Radomiak Radom	14	4	2	8	17	29	-12	14
15	Cracovia Krakow	14	3	3	8	16	23	-7	12
16	Slask Wroclaw	14	2	4	8	17	25	-8	10
17	Raków Częstochowa	13	3	0	10	19	29	-10	9
18	Wieczysta Kraków	14	2	2	10	18	28	-10	8

Wisla Plock

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: A. Majewski

12 Leszczyński

34 Silva

35 Kamiński

4 Haglind-Sangré

19 Gallapeni

3 Flis

17 Radwański

21 Rogelj

7 Kobacki

20 Sekulski

57 Akere

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	R. Leszczyński	G
4	M. Haglind-Sangré	D
35	M. Kamiński	D
34	Afonso Silva	D
21	Ž. Rogelj	M
17	A. Radwański	M
3	M. Flis	M
19	D. Gallapeni	M
57	S. Akere	F
20	Ł. Sekulski	F
7	O. Kobacki	F

Substitutes

24	Nikodem Rogowski	D
18	J. Pršir	M
41	M. Więckowski	D
22	K. Blaszkiewicz	F
26	J. Burek	G
10	S. Hamulić	F
16	F. Hiszpański	M
91	G. Kuchko	M
6	K. Pomorski	M

Motor Lublin

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: M. Misiura

33 Tratnik

24 Luberecki

4 Plavotić

18 Bereszyński

29 Santos

27 Bourhane

11 Ronaldo

8 Simon

9 Lopes

30 Ndiaye

10 Czubak

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	G. Tratnik	G
29	T. Santos	D
18	B. Bereszyński	D
4	T. Plavotić	D
24	F. Luberecki	D
27	Y. Bourhane	M
30	M. Ndiaye	M
9	Rony Lopes	M
8	C. Simon	M
11	Fábio Ronaldo	M
10	K. Czubak	F

Substitutes

5	A. Akatov	D
22	M. Zlomanczuk	M
39	M. Bartoš	D
90	Dominik Gregorski	F
23	F. Haxha	M
6	M. Łęgowski	M
17	K. Lukoszek	M
2	Paskal Konrad Meyer	D
71	M. Popa	G
77	Mateusz Posmyk	F
47	Alioune Tall	M
70	M. Aïko	M