Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II Napoved

Segunda División Segunda División · Regular Season - 13
FT
Post on X
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos
UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Burgos
56%
25%
19%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Burgos proti Celta de Vigo II: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Burgos na 56%, za Celta de Vigo II na 19%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 25%. Zadnja posodobitev: 7 Nov 2026, 14:54.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 12'
Álvaro Marín assist: Aldrine Kibet
Víctor Mollejo Yellow Card
27' ▮
▮ 29'
Joel López Yellow Card
⇄ 45'
Germain Miller ⇄ Hugo Cuenca
HT 0–1
▮ 49'
Álvaro Marín Yellow Card
▮ 50'
Adrià Capdevila Yellow Card
Pablo Galdames ⇄ Ignasi Vilarrasa
58' ⇄
Brais Martínez ⇄ Javi Llabrés
58' ⇄
Curro Sánchez assist: Alberto Dadie
68' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 74'
Ángel Arcos ⇄ Pablo Gonzalez Meixús
⇄ 74'
Jan Oliveras
Alberto Dadie ⇄ José Gragera
74' ⇄
Víctor Mollejo ⇄ Kevin Appin
75' ⇄
Saúl del Cerro ⇄ Sergio González
77' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Adrià Capdevila ⇄ Stefan Bajčetić
⇄ 83'
Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye
Álex Forés assist: Ignasi Vilarrasa
86' ⚽ 2–1
▮ 89'
Kike Ribes Yellow Card
FT 2–1
Burgos

Match Stats

Celta de Vigo II
59% Ball Possession 41%
3.06 Expected Goals (xG) 0.47
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 1
8 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 1
17 Shots insidebox 3
2 Shots outsidebox 3
10 Corner Kicks 0
1 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
528 Total passes 365
443 Passes accurate 289
10 Free Kicks 13
Burgos
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Álex Forés F 8.2 90' 1 – 6 11 (11%) 1
16 Curro Sánchez F 8.2 90' 1 – 1 49 (36%) 5
23 Alberto Dadie M 7.7 74' – 1 2 28 (21%) –
18 Saúl del Cerro D 7.1 77' – – 2 62 (55%) 1
19 Javi Llabrés F 7.0 32' – – – 18 (18%) –
4 Pablo Galdames M 7.0 58' – – 1 37 (36%) 1
15 Oier Luengo D 6.8 90' – – 3 71 (64%) 2
3 Ignasi Vilarrasa D 6.6 32' – 1 – 14 (11%) –
11 Víctor Mollejo M 6.5 75' – – 1 26 (20%) –
20 José Gragera M 6.4 16' – – – 9 (9%) 1
22 Brais Martínez D 6.4 58' – – – 39 (33%) 1
2 Álex D 6.4 90' – – 1 59 (47%) 4
13 Ander Cantero G 6.3 90' – – – 28 (19%) –
12 Unai Vencedor M 6.2 90' – – 2 63 (51%) 4
6 Sergio González D 6.1 13' – – – 7 (7%) –
10 Kevin Appin M 6.0 15' – – – 7 (5%) –
Celta de Vigo II
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Álvaro Marín F 7.6 90' 1 – 2 16 (9%) –
4 Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye D 6.8 83' – – – 44 (38%) 1
15 Aldrine Kibet M 6.8 90' – 1 – 16 (13%) 2
29 Mateo Sobral M 6.7 90' – – – 28 (25%) 4
17 Hugo Cuenca M 6.6 44' – – 2 17 (9%) 2
11 Ángel Arcos M 6.5 74' – – 1 26 (23%) –
1 Coke Carrillo G 6.4 90' – – – 31 (15%) –
16 Adrià Capdevila M 6.4 82' – – – 22 (21%) 3
3 Kike Ribes D 6.3 90' – – – 53 (45%) 4
14 Jan Oliveras M 6.3 74' – – – 24 (21%) 5
18 Joel López D 6.2 90' – – – 47 (41%) 4
6 Pablo Gonzalez Meixús D 6.1 16' – – – 5 (5%) –
23 Germain Miller M 6.0 46' – – – 13 (7%) 1
22 Stefan Bajčetić M 5.9 8' – – 1 8 (6%) –
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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Burgos
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Burgos
WDWWW
Celta de Vigo II
LDLDW

Live insights

87' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Burgos win probability: 95.5%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 10.9%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 67.1%. Late goal chance: 36.2%.

69' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 57.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Celta de Vigo II leads. Win probability: 54.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.5%.

13' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Celta de Vigo II win: 44.3%. BTTS: 81.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
19%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Burgos

No scorer data.

Celta de Vigo II
A. Marin 7 gls

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Head to Head: Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Burgos — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Celta de Vigo II W 2 - 1
01 Nov H Castellón D 1 - 1
29 Oct A Laredo W 2 - 4
26 Oct A FC Andorra W 2 - 3
18 Oct H Sabadell W 1 - 0

Celta de Vigo II — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Burgos L 2 - 1
31 Oct H Cordoba D 2 - 2
24 Oct A Girona L 5 - 1
19 Oct H Tenerife D 1 - 1
10 Oct H Real Sociedad II W 4 - 1

Segunda División Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Castellón
12 8 3 1 +18 27
2
Almeria
12 8 2 2 +13 26
3
Burgos
13 7 3 3 +5 24
4
Eibar
12 7 2 3 +7 23
5
Granada CF
12 7 2 3 +6 23
6
Mallorca
12 6 4 2 +8 22
7
Sporting Gijon
12 7 1 4 0 22
8
Girona
12 6 3 3 +11 21
9
Oviedo
13 6 3 4 +3 21
10
Cordoba
13 6 1 6 0 19
11
Sabadell
12 4 5 3 +1 17
12
Las Palmas
12 5 2 5 -4 17
13
Valladolid
12 4 3 5 +1 15
14
Tenerife
12 3 6 3 -2 15
15
Eldense
12 4 2 6 -4 14
16
Celta de Vigo II
13 3 4 6 -6 13
17
Leganes
13 3 3 7 -12 12
18
FC Andorra
12 3 2 7 -5 11
19
Real Sociedad II
12 3 2 7 -7 11
20
Cadiz
13 2 4 7 -2 10
21
Albacete
13 3 1 9 -11 10
22
AD Ceuta FC
13 1 2 10 -20 5

Burgos

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Sergio Francisco
13 Cantero
22 Martínez
18 Cerro
15 Luengo
2 Álex
11 Mollejo
4 Galdames
12 Vencedor
23 Dadie
16 Sánchez
9 Forés

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Ander Cantero G
2 Álex D
15 Oier Luengo D
18 Saúl del Cerro D
22 Brais Martínez D
23 Alberto Dadie M
12 Unai Vencedor M
4 P. Galdames M
11 Víctor Mollejo M
9 Álex Forés F
16 Curro Sánchez F

Substitutes

10 K. Appin M
17 Mario Cantero M
5 Marcelo Expósito M
21 Fermin Garcia F
3 Ignasi Vilarrasa D
6 Sergio González D
20 José Gragera M
1 Bruno Iribarne G
19 Javi Llabrés F
36 I. Martinez D
30 M. Monedero G
31 Irian Ribas F

Celta de Vigo II

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Fredi
1 Carrillo
18 López
4 Ndiaye
3 Ribes
14 Oliveras
29 Sobral
16 Capdevila
23 Miller
11 Arcos
15 Kibet
9 Marin

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Coke Carrillo G
3 K. Ribes D
4 S. M. Ndiaye D
18 Joel López D
23 G. Miller M
16 Adrià Capdevila M
29 M. Sobral M
14 Jan Oliveras M
15 A. Kibet M
11 Ángel Arcos M
9 A. Marin F

Substitutes

33 David Sueiro Muiños M
27 Noah Rodríguez Guallar M
28 Vladimir Henrique Silva F
6 P. Meixus D
25 M. Gonzalez G
19 A. Davila Outerelo F
17 H. Cuenca M
31 Raúl Chirveches Sánchez D
13 Caio Barone G
22 Stefan Bajčetić M

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