ML Vitebsk vs Baranovichi Napoved

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

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ML Vitebsk

Home

2 : 0

HT 2 - 0

Baranovichi

Away

UI napoved ML Vitebsk zmaga

82%

15%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved ML Vitebsk proti Baranovichi: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za ML Vitebsk na 82%, za Baranovichi na 3%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 15%. Zadnja posodobitev: 19 Aug 2026, 17:53.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Home/Draw & Over 1.5 72%
Več kot 1,5 gola 73%

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Timeline

9' ⚽ 1–0

Penalty

21' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

60' ⇄

⇄ 62'

67' ⇄

FT 2–0

ML Vitebsk

Match Stats

Baranovichi

57% Ball Possession 43%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

6 Shots on Goal 2

5 Shots off Goal 3

3 Blocked Shots 2

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

8 Corner Kicks 8

0 Offsides 3

17 Fouls 17

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence High (82%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

ML Vitebsk zmaga

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.3%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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ML Vitebsk

WDDDW

Baranovichi

LDWWD

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

82%

45%

Draw

15%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Baranovichi goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2
1	17	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	15	5	1
4	9	3
5	4	1

↑ ML Vitebsk goals · most likely 2–0 (20.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

58% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

82% Home Scores More 15% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	1.6%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	17.0%	6.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.3%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	15.5%	4.6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	8.9%	2.7%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

35%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

34%

24%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	ML Vitebsk	Draw	Baranovichi
ML Vitebsk	57.2%	1.1%	0.1%
Draw	24.0%	11.2%	1.2%
Baranovichi	1.6%	1.7%	2.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

83%

3.5

17%

Home Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

88%

0.5

12%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: ML Vitebsk vs Baranovichi

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

ML Vitebsk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Arsenal	W	5 - 1
13 Sep	A FC Dnepr Mogilev	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Dinamo Minsk	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H Belshina	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Dinamo Brest	W	1 - 3

Baranovichi — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H FC Gomel	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Arsenal	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H FC Dnepr Mogilev	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Dinamo Minsk	W	0 - 1
23 Aug	H Dinamo Brest	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Isloch Minsk R.	22	13	6	3	37	18	+19	45
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	42	17	+25	44
3	Dinamo Minsk	21	13	4	4	37	16	+21	43
4	Dinamo Brest	23	12	4	7	38	23	+15	40
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	33	18	+15	39
6	Neman	22	11	4	7	26	20	+6	37
7	FC Vitebsk	23	10	6	7	28	21	+7	36
8	FC Minsk	23	10	4	9	30	28	+2	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	22	7	6	9	28	29	-1	27
10	Slavia Mozyr	22	6	7	9	23	26	-3	25
11	Baranovichi	23	6	7	10	24	38	-14	25
12	Arsenal	23	5	8	10	24	41	-17	23
13	Belshina	22	5	6	11	22	36	-14	21
14	Bate Borisov	22	3	9	10	16	27	-11	18
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	23	2	10	11	20	36	-16	16
16	Naftan	23	3	5	15	20	54	-34	14

Baranovichi

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Roman Kirenkin

12 Shapko

23 Vasilenko

5 Fedotov

19 Bruy

97 Tkachev

9 Lapun

88 Gitselev

77 Artyukh

10 Lebedev

96 Potorocha

22 Bandarenka

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Daniil Shapko	G
97	Timofey Tkachev	D
19	Artem Bruy	D
5	Vladimir Fedotov	D
23	Vasili Vasilenko	D
88	Zakhar Gitselev	F
9	Egor Lapun	M
96	Valeriy Potorocha	M
10	Fedor Lebedev	F
77	Martin Artyukh	F
22	Mikhail Bandarenka	F

Substitutes

11	Nikolay Ryabykh	M
4	Vladislav Karpenya	D
34	Artem Petrenko	F
45	Ersultan Torekul	F
26	Denis Shpakovskiy	G
6	Alibi Tuzakbaev	M
7	Timur Pukhov	M
17	Maksym Shevchenko	F
29	Semen Penchuk	F

ML Vitebsk

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mikhail Martinovich

1 Pavlyuchenko

5 Mohammadi

6 Gomanov

20 Volkov

23 Balanovich

55 Gromyko

15 Bocherov

27 Mesarović

12 Bosić

9 Diabaté

7 Ivanov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Pavel Pavlyuchenko	G
23	Sergey Balanovich	M
20	Zakhar Volkov	D
6	Kirill Gomanov	D
5	Milad Mohammadi	D
27	Aleksandar Mesarović	M
15	Valeriy Bocherov	M
55	Valeriy Gromyko	M
7	Timur Ivanov	F
9	Bassekou Diabaté	F
12	Radivoj Bosić	M

Substitutes

4	Ode Abdullahi	M
10	Denilho Cleonise	M
22	Yan Skibskiy	M
18	Vladislav Zhuk	M
30	Pavel Shcherbachenya	G
3	Nikita Baranok	D
8	Silas Gnaka	M
99	Mark Bulanov	F
90	Ivan Grudko	F