Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg Napoved

3. Liga · Regular Season - 5

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MSV Duisburg

Away

UI napoved MSV Duisburg ali neodločeno

32%

27%

41%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Fortuna Düsseldorf proti MSV Duisburg: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Fortuna Düsseldorf na 32%, za MSV Duisburg na 41%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 27%. Zadnja posodobitev: 12 Sep 2026, 14:01.

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Domači dosežejo gol 73%

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Timeline

Andreas Müller Yellow Card

45' ▮

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 46'

Fabian Schleusener Yellow Card

65' ▮

Matthias Zimmermann ⇄ Steven Van Der Sloot

66' ⇄

Philipp Förster ⇄ Eric Hottmann

66' ⇄

Sascha Risch ⇄ Erik Wekesser

66' ⇄

Fabian Schleusener

68' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 68'

Patrick Sussek ⇄ Conor Noß

⇄ 71'

Jan-Simon Symalla

Anas Slimani ⇄ Jomaine Consbruch

76' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Martin Ens ⇄ Niklas Jessen

⇄ 85'

⇄ Max Besuschkow

Eric Hottmann

87' ⚽ 2–1

Fabian Schleusener

89' ⇄

FT 2–1

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Match Stats

MSV Duisburg

59% Ball Possession 41%

8 Total Shots 9

5 Shots on Goal 3

3 Shots off Goal 6

0 Blocked Shots 0

1 Corner Kicks 6

2 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Odkleni celotno analizo AI za Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

MSV Duisburg ali neodločeno

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Fortuna Düsseldorf

LWWDW

MSV Duisburg

WWLWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

41%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

MSV Duisburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	7	7	4	2	1
1	5	13	9	5	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	3	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Fortuna Düsseldorf goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

32%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

32%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

60% Away (No Draw) 40% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 29% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	7.1%	7.1%	4.0%	1.6%
1	5.3%	12.7%	9.4%	5.2%	2.2%
2	4.4%	7.4%	6.1%	3.4%	1.4%
3	1.9%	3.2%	2.7%	1.5%	0.6%
4	0.6%	1.1%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

72%

2.5

28%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fortuna Düsseldorf	Draw	MSV Duisburg
Fortuna Düsseldorf	14.2%	4.0%	2.6%
Draw	12.9%	16.4%	16.8%
MSV Duisburg	2.5%	4.9%	25.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Alemannia Aachen	L	1 - 0
15 Sep	A SSV Jahn Regensburg	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H MSV Duisburg	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Fortuna Köln	D	0 - 0
28 Aug	H Stuttgart II	W	1 - 0

MSV Duisburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A SV Wehen	W	1 - 4
15 Sep	H Havelse	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Düsseldorf	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A SSV Jahn Regensburg	W	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Würzburger Kickers	W	3 - 0

3. Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	7	6	0	1	19	7	+12	18
2	FC Viktoria Köln	7	5	0	2	19	9	+10	15
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	7	4	2	1	13	9	+4	14
4	FC Saarbrücken	7	4	1	2	19	12	+7	13
5	Hoffenheim II	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
6	Hansa Rostock	7	3	3	1	15	15	0	12
7	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11	8	+3	11
8	Preußen Münster	7	3	2	2	12	13	-1	11
9	Waldhof Mannheim	7	3	1	3	11	10	+1	10
10	Fortuna Düsseldorf	7	3	1	3	6	7	-1	10
11	Verl	7	3	1	3	10	13	-3	10
12	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	7	2	2	3	6	9	-3	8
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	2	2	3	7	11	-4	8
14	Stuttgart II	7	2	1	4	12	15	-3	7
15	Würzburger Kickers	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
16	Fortuna Köln	6	1	3	2	5	7	-2	6
17	SV Meppen	7	2	0	5	8	15	-7	6
18	SSV Jahn Regensburg	7	1	2	4	13	17	-4	5
19	SV Wehen	7	1	2	4	5	13	-8	5
20	Havelse	6	1	1	4	9	12	-3	4