QPR vs Derby Napoved

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 10
FT
Post on X
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe QPR
56%
26%
18%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved QPR proti Derby: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za QPR na 56%, za Derby na 18%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 26%. Zadnja posodobitev: 14 Oct 2026, 20:51.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
  • Pod 3,5 gola 72%
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Timeline

⇄ 12'
Sondre Langås ⇄ Ryan Nyambe
Alfie Lloyd assist: Boy Kemper
18' ⚽ 1–0
Nicolas Madsen Penalty
22' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 24'
D. Ozoh Yellow Card
▮ 28'
Yellow Card
▮ 44'
Sammie Szmodics Yellow Card
Harvey Vale
45' ⚽ 3–0
⇄ 45'
D. Ozoh ⇄ Lewis Travis
⇄ 45'
Mohammed Fuseini ⇄ Henrik Wendel Meister
HT 3–0
▮ 56'
Henrik Wendel Meister Yellow Card
Harvey Vale Yellow Card
57' ▮
Glen Kamara Yellow Card
60' ▮
Rayan Jawad Kolli ⇄ Richard Kone
62' ⇄
Alfie Lloyd ⇄ Jonathan Varane
62' ⇄
Harvey Vale ⇄ Kwame Poku
62' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Carlton Morris ⇄ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
Paul Smyth assist: Nicolas Madsen
68' ⚽ 4–0
⇄ 70'
Sammie Szmodics ⇄ Filip Bilbija
Boy Kemper ⇄ Amadou Salif Mbengue
72' ⇄
Paul Smyth
77' ⇄
⚽ 4–1 90+10'
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
FT 4–1
QPR

Match Stats

Derby
48% Ball Possession 52%
1.6 Expected Goals (xG) 0.8
9 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Goal 6
2 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 13
3 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Corner Kicks 3
0 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
438 Total passes 460
362 Passes accurate 362
10 Free Kicks 9
QPR
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Paul Smyth M 8.1 77' 1 – 2 15 (12%) –
15 Alfie Lloyd M 8.1 62' 1 – 2 21 (17%) 1
5 Ronnie Edwards D 7.9 90' – – – 61 (56%) –
20 Harvey Vale M 7.9 62' 1 – 1 19 (15%) 1
3 Jimmy Dunne D 7.8 90' – – – 62 (57%) –
24 Nicolas Madsen M 7.7 90' 1 1 2 38 (31%) 3
1 Pierce Charles G 7.6 90' – – – 51 (34%) –
12 Boy Kemper D 7.4 72' – 1 – 20 (13%) 2
2 Kealey Adamson D 7.1 90' – – – 39 (31%) 2
27 Amadou Salif Mbengue D 7.0 18' – – – 2 (2%) –
40 Jonathan Varane M 7.0 28' – – – 17 (17%) 1
18 Glen Kamara M 6.7 90' – – – 57 (51%) –
17 Kwame Poku M 6.7 28' – – 1 7 (5%) 1
Seamus Maughan 6.5 13' – – – 3 (2%) –
22 Richard Kone F 6.3 28' – – – 9 (6%) –
26 Rayan Jawad Kolli F 6.3 62' – – 1 17 (13%) 1
Derby
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen F 6.9 27' – – 4 4 (3%) –
19 Henrik Wendel Meister F 6.7 44' – – 2 10 (7%) 1
9 Carlton Morris F 6.4 63' – – 1 19 (9%) 1
28 Dion Sanderson D 6.3 90' – – – 57 (50%) –
24 Ryan Nyambe D 6.3 78' – – – 67 (61%) 5
20 Alex Mowatt M 6.2 90' – – 1 53 (43%) –
23 Joe Ward D 6.1 90' – – – 50 (38%) 2
26 Ryan Hedges D 6.0 90' – – – 39 (25%) 1
27 Lewis Travis M 5.9 44' – – – 46 (35%) 1
8 Bobby Clark M 5.9 90' – – 5 26 (20%) 1
13 Filip Bilbija M 5.9 20' – – – 9 (7%) –
16 Mohammed Fuseini M 5.9 46' – – – 6 (5%) –
11 Sammie Szmodics M 5.7 70' – – – 12 (10%) 1
4 D. Ozoh M 5.7 46' – – 1 13 (12%) 1
31 Josh Vickers G 5.5 90' – – – 38 (26%) –
6 Sondre Langås D 5.3 12' – – – 1 (1%) –
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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe QPR
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QPR
WDLWL
Derby
WLLDL
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
18%
10%

Most likely scores

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AI match tools

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Head to Head: QPR vs Derby

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

QPR — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Lincoln W 2 - 1
03 Nov H Burnley D 1 - 1
31 Oct A Southampton L 4 - 1
24 Oct H Swansea W 5 - 0
17 Oct A Birmingham L 3 - 0

Derby — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Bolton W 3 - 1
03 Nov H Norwich L 0 - 4
31 Oct A Millwall L 4 - 1
24 Oct A Sheffield Utd D 1 - 1
17 Oct H Stoke City L 0 - 1

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Birmingham
15 8 5 2 +14 29
2
Middlesbrough
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Stoke City
15 9 2 4 +6 29
4
Wolves
15 8 4 3 +8 28
5
West Brom
15 8 4 3 +8 28
6
Swansea
15 8 2 5 +4 26
7
Southampton
15 8 4 3 +14 24
8
QPR
15 6 6 3 +6 24
9
West Ham
15 6 5 4 +14 23
10
Sheffield Utd
15 6 4 5 +2 22
11
Portsmouth
15 6 4 5 +2 22
12
Norwich
15 7 0 8 +8 21
13
Blackburn
15 6 3 6 -1 21
14
Cardiff
15 4 6 5 0 18
15
Wrexham
15 4 6 5 -2 18
16
Millwall
15 5 3 7 -4 18
17
Bristol City
15 5 3 7 -8 18
18
Bolton
15 5 2 8 -9 17
19
Charlton
15 4 5 6 -10 17
20
Watford
15 4 3 8 -10 15
21
Lincoln
15 4 3 8 -11 15
22
Burnley
15 1 7 7 -9 10
23
Derby
15 2 4 9 -16 10
24
Preston
15 2 2 11 -17 8

Derby

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Eustace
31 Vickers
26 Hedges
28 Sanderson
6 Langås
23 Ward
20 Mowatt
4 Ozoh
11 Szmodics
8 Clark
16 Fuseini
9 Morris

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 J. Vickers G
23 J. Ward D
6 S. Langås D
28 D. Sanderson D
26 R. Hedges D
4 D. Ozoh M
20 A. Mowatt M
16 M. Fuseini M
8 B. Clark M
11 S. Szmodics M
9 C. Morris F

Substitutes

10 R. Brewster F
29 O. Fraulo M
19 H. Meister F
24 R. Nyambe D
12 R. O'Donnell G
15 L. Salvesen F
27 L. Travis M
33 C. Blackett-Taylor F
13 F. Bilbija M

QPR

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Charles
12 Kemper
5 Edwards
3 Dunne
2 Adamson
18 Kamara
24 Madsen
15 Lloyd
20 Vale
11 Smyth
26 Kolli

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 P. Charles G
2 K. Adamson D
3 J. Dunne D
5 R. Edwards D
12 B. Kemper D
24 N. Madsen M
18 G. Kamara M
11 P. Smyth M
20 H. Vale M
15 A. Lloyd M
26 Rayan Jawad Kolli F

Substitutes

23 I. Alemayehu M
6 J. Clarke-Salter D
22 R. Kone F
27 A. Mbengue D
4 L. Morrison D
17 K. Poku M
40 J. Varane M
13 C. Ward G
33 Leon Scarlett F

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