Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul Napoved

Liga MX · Apertura - 17

22 Nov 2026, 23:07

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Cruz Azul

Away

Estadio AKRON, Zapopan

UI napoved Cruz Azul zmaga ali remi

18%

78%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Guadalajara Chivas proti Cruz Azul: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Guadalajara Chivas na 4%, za Cruz Azul na 78%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 18%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 19%

Both teams to score

28%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Guadalajara Chivas

DWWDW

Cruz Azul

LLWWW

Last 3 meetings Guadalajara Chivas · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In this Liga MX clash, Guadalajara Chivas will face Cruz Azul, both teams vying for crucial points as they approach the latter stages of the season. Chivas has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Cruz Azul has struggled with consistency, particularly in away fixtures, allowing 1.5 goals per match. Key players to watch include Chivas' top scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Cruz Azul's midfield playmaker, who leads in assists. Tactical battles in midfield will likely dictate possession, influencing the match's outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

18%

45%

Away

78%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Cruz Azul goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	17	19	14	7	3
1	2	7	7	5	3	1
2	1	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Guadalajara Chivas goals · most likely 0–2 (19.0%)

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Players in form

Guadalajara Chivas

R. Alvarado 3 gls

Cruz Azul

J. Márquez 3 gls

N. Ibáñez 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

78%

Draw

18%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

72% BTTS No 28% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

78%

Draw

18%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

95% Away (No Draw) 5% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

53% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

78% Away Scores More 18% Equal Goals 4% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

72% BTTS No 28% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	16.9%	19.0%	13.6%	7.3%
1	2.2%	7.4%	7.0%	5.1%	2.7%
2	0.6%	1.2%	1.3%	0.9%	0.5%
3	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Guadalajara Chivas	Draw	Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas	2.4%	1.8%	1.6%
Draw	2.1%	12.8%	23.9%
Cruz Azul	0.2%	1.7%	53.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

69%

26%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Away Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul

0 Guadalajara Chivas Wins

1 Draws

2 Cruz Azul Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2026	Guadalajara Chivas	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
14 May 2026	Cruz Azul	2 - 2	Guadalajara Chivas
22 Feb 2026	Cruz Azul	2 - 1	Guadalajara Chivas

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Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Club America	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Atletico San Luis	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	A CF Pachuca	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Club Tijuana	W	5 - 2

Cruz Azul — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Monterrey	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	A Inter Miami	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Club America	W	4 - 3
06 Sep	H Santos Laguna	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Necaxa	W	1 - 3

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.