FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus Napoved

Superliga · Regular Season - 22

21 Mar 2027, 17:00

Post on X

Aarhus

Away

MCH Arena, Herning

UI napoved FC Midtjylland zmaga ali remi

77%

18%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved FC Midtjylland proti Aarhus: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za FC Midtjylland na 77%, za Aarhus na 5%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 18%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 18.5%

Both teams to score

30%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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FC Midtjylland

DWWDW

Aarhus

DWLDL

Last 3 meetings FC Midtjylland · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Superliga match, FC Midtjylland will face Aarhus. FC Midtjylland has shown strong form at home, with a high win rate and solid offensive stats, averaging over 2 goals per game this season. Conversely, Aarhus has struggled against top-table teams, particularly in away fixtures, where their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed. Key players' performances, especially in midfield, will be crucial for both sides. Overall, FC Midtjylland's attacking prowess positions them as the favorites in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

77%

45%

Draw

18%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aarhus goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2	1
1	16	8	1
2	18	7	1
3	13	5	1
4	7	3	1
5	3	1

↑ FC Midtjylland goals · most likely 2–0 (18.5%)

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Players in form

FC Midtjylland

F. Etim 4 gls

S. Iheanacho 3 gls

Aarhus

C. McCowatt 3 gls

J. Serra 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

52% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	16.2%	7.7%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.5%	7.4%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
3	13.3%	5.3%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.2%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

34%

23%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Midtjylland	Draw	Aarhus
FC Midtjylland	55.9%	1.8%	0.2%
Draw	21.0%	12.8%	2.1%
Aarhus	1.5%	2.0%	2.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

67%

27%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus

1 FC Midtjylland Wins

2 Draws

0 Aarhus Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 Sep 2026	Aarhus	0 - 2	FC Midtjylland
08 Mar 2026	FC Midtjylland	1 - 1	Aarhus
03 Nov 2025	FC Midtjylland	1 - 1	Aarhus

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FC Midtjylland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Odense	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Brondby	W	4 - 1
10 Sep	A Sundby	W	0 - 7
07 Sep	H FC Nordsjaelland	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	A Aarhus	W	0 - 2

Aarhus — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Horsens	D	2 - 2
16 Sep	A Skjold Sæby	W	1 - 6
13 Sep	A FC Nordsjaelland	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Silkeborg	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H FC Midtjylland	L	0 - 2

Superliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	9	8	0	1	23	8	+15	24
2	FC Midtjylland	9	5	4	0	17	9	+8	19
3	Viborg	9	5	2	2	15	8	+7	17
4	FC Nordsjaelland	9	5	2	2	14	10	+4	17
5	Brondby	9	4	1	4	12	15	-3	13
6	AC Horsens	9	3	2	4	15	16	-1	11
7	Silkeborg	9	2	4	3	12	12	0	10
8	Randers FC	9	3	1	5	11	14	-3	10
9	Odense	9	2	3	4	8	14	-6	9
10	Lyngby	9	1	4	4	10	16	-6	7
11	Aarhus	9	0	5	4	11	17	-6	5
12	Sonderjyske	9	1	2	6	12	21	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.