Ried vs Sturm Graz Napoved

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

20 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Sturm Graz

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Sturm Graz

13%

23%

64%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Ried proti Sturm Graz: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Ried na 13%, za Sturm Graz na 64%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 23%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 12%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Ried

WDWLW

Sturm Graz

LDWWL

Last 3 meetings Ried · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga match, Ried faces Sturm Graz, a contest that could significantly impact the league standings. Ried's attack has shown variability, averaging 1.2 goals per match this season, while Sturm Graz boasts a more consistent offense, averaging 1.8 goals per match. Defensively, Ried has struggled, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match, compared to Sturm Graz's more solid backline, which concedes only 1.1 goals on average. This match could hinge on Ried's ability to tighten their defense and disrupt Sturm Graz’s rhythm. Overall, Sturm Graz enters as the favorites based on current form and statistical performance.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sturm Graz goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	10	12	8	4	2
1	3	11	10	7	4	1
2	2	4	4	3	1	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Ried goals · most likely 0–2 (12.0%)

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Players in form

Ried

Evan Eghosa Aisowieren 2 gls

Sturm Graz

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

23%

Home Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

23%

Home Win

13%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

83% Away (No Draw) 17% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

64% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 13% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.8%	10.3%	12.0%	8.3%	4.3%
1	3.4%	10.8%	10.0%	6.9%	3.6%
2	1.9%	4.0%	4.1%	2.9%	1.5%
3	0.5%	1.1%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ried	Draw	Sturm Graz
Ried	7.8%	3.9%	3.2%
Draw	4.8%	13.8%	21.9%
Sturm Graz	0.7%	2.9%	41.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ried vs Sturm Graz

0 Ried Wins

0 Draws

3 Sturm Graz Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Feb 2026	Sturm Graz	1 - 0	Ried
16 Aug 2025	Ried	1 - 3	Sturm Graz
30 Oct 2022	Sturm Graz	2 - 1	Ried

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Ried — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Wolfsberger AC	W	4 - 1
11 Sep	H Red Bull Salzburg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Wallern / Marienkirchen	W	1 - 5
30 Aug	A TSV Hartberg	L	3 - 2
21 Aug	H Grazer AK	W	1 - 0

Sturm Graz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Rennes	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Lask Linz	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Voitsberg	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Rapid Vienna	L	3 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	21	7	+14	18
2	Red Bull Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18	4	+14	17
3	Lask Linz	7	5	1	1	19	7	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8	9	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	11	12	-1	8
6	TSV Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
7	WSG Wattens	7	2	2	3	9	12	-3	8
8	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6	16	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7	13	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	5	12	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.