Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna Napoved

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

05 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Austria Vienna

Away

Merkur Arena, Graz

UI napoved Sturm Graz ali neodločeno

43%

25%

32%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Sturm Graz proti Austria Vienna: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Sturm Graz na 43%, za Austria Vienna na 32%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 25%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.1%

Both teams to score

67%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

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Sturm Graz

LDWWL

Austria Vienna

DWWLL

Last 3 meetings Sturm Graz · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Sturm Graz will face Austria Vienna in a crucial Bundesliga matchup on December 5, 2026. Both teams have shown consistent performance this season, with Sturm Graz currently sitting in the upper half of the table, leveraging a solid home record. Austria Vienna has struggled with defensive inconsistencies but possesses a potent attacking lineup that can exploit gaps in Graz's defense. Key players such as Sturm's leading scorer could play a pivotal role in determining the outcome. Overall, this match is expected to be tightly contested, with both teams vying for valuable points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Austria Vienna goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	4	4	2	1
1	5	11	8	4	2
2	6	9	7	4	1
3	4	5	4	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Sturm Graz goals · most likely 1–1 (11.1%)

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Players in form

Sturm Graz

No scorer data.

Austria Vienna

M. Fischer 2 gls

J. Hettwer 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

32%

Draw

25%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS Yes 33% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

57%

3.5

43%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

32%

Draw

25%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

58% Home (No Draw) 42% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

57%

3.5

43%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS Yes 33% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	4.1%	4.2%	2.2%	0.8%
1	5.1%	11.1%	7.6%	3.9%	1.5%
2	5.8%	9.0%	7.0%	3.6%	1.4%
3	3.5%	5.5%	4.3%	2.2%	0.9%
4	1.6%	2.5%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

45%

1.5

55%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sturm Graz	Draw	Austria Vienna
Sturm Graz	23.6%	3.4%	1.4%
Draw	16.2%	13.8%	8.7%
Austria Vienna	4.3%	6.3%	22.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna

1 Sturm Graz Wins

0 Draws

2 Austria Vienna Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	Austria Vienna	2 - 5	Sturm Graz
14 Dec 2025	Austria Vienna	3 - 1	Sturm Graz
14 Sep 2025	Sturm Graz	0 - 1	Austria Vienna

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Sturm Graz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Rennes	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Lask Linz	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Voitsberg	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Rapid Vienna	L	3 - 1

Austria Vienna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Grazer AK	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Austria Lustenau	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Traiskirchen	W	0 - 6
02 Sep	H WSG Wattens	L	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	4 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	21	7	+14	18
2	Red Bull Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18	4	+14	17
3	Lask Linz	7	5	1	1	19	7	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8	9	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	11	12	-1	8
6	TSV Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
7	WSG Wattens	7	2	2	3	9	12	-3	8
8	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6	16	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7	13	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	5	12	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.