FC Thun vs FC Luzern Napoved

Super League · Regular Season - 16

05 Dec 2026, 16:00

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FC Luzern

Away

Stockhorn Arena, Thun

UI napoved FC Thun zmaga

85%

13%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved FC Thun proti FC Luzern: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za FC Thun na 85%, za FC Luzern na 2%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 13%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 19.7%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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FC Thun

WLLLD

FC Luzern

WLDWD

Last 3 meetings FC Thun · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League match, FC Thun hosts FC Luzern. FC Thun's current form shows a solid home record, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while FC Luzern has struggled on the road, with only 0.9 goals per game away. Thun's defense has also been effective, conceding just 1.1 goals per match this season, which could challenge Luzern’s offense. It will be crucial for Luzern to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Thun if they hope to secure points. Overall, FC Thun seems to have the upper hand based on recent performances.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Luzern goals →

	0	1	2
0	7	1
1	15	5	1
2	20	6	1
3	17	5	1
4	11	3
5	5	2

↑ FC Thun goals · most likely 2–0 (19.7%)

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Players in form

FC Thun

B. Labeau 3 gls

FC Luzern

D. Mikołajewski 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

85%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

72%

3.5

29%

88%

4.5

12%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

85%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

63% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

85% Home Scores More 13% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

72%

3.5

29%

88%

4.5

12%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

25%

23%

17%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	14.9%	5.3%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.7%	5.9%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	16.7%	5.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	10.6%	3.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

35%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

31%

26%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Thun	Draw	FC Luzern
FC Thun	60.6%	1.1%	0.1%
Draw	23.8%	9.2%	1.2%
FC Luzern	1.4%	1.3%	1.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

Home Exact Goals

21%

27%

23%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Thun vs FC Luzern

3 FC Thun Wins

0 Draws

0 FC Luzern Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Jul 2026	FC Luzern	1 - 3	FC Thun
28 Feb 2026	FC Thun	2 - 1	FC Luzern
06 Dec 2025	FC Thun	4 - 1	FC Luzern

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FC Thun — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Vaduz	W	1 - 2
16 Sep	H Servette FC	L	2 - 4
12 Sep	H Grasshoppers	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Sion	L	3 - 2
02 Sep	H Lausanne	D	0 - 0

FC Luzern — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Grasshoppers	W	5 - 1
13 Sep	H FC Basel 1893	L	2 - 4
05 Sep	A BSC Young Boys	D	3 - 3
02 Sep	H FC Vaduz	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Servette FC	D	1 - 1

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	8	1	0	27	7	+20	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31	18	+13	19
3	FC Sion	9	6	1	2	23	14	+9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	4	1	4	17	17	0	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16	19	-3	13
6	FC Luzern	9	3	3	3	17	18	-1	12
7	FC Zurich	9	3	2	4	14	20	-6	11
8	Servette FC	9	3	1	5	11	13	-2	10
9	FC Thun	9	3	1	5	15	23	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	2	0	7	18	21	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7	15	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.