FC Orenburg vs Fakel Napoved

Premier League · Regular Season - 25

24 Apr 2027, 15:00

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Fakel

Away

UI napoved Preblizu za napoved

52%

29%

19%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved FC Orenburg proti Fakel: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za FC Orenburg na 52%, za Fakel na 19%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 29%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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FC Orenburg

DLDDD

Fakel

LDLDL

Last 3 meetings FC Orenburg · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, FC Orenburg will face Fakel. Orenburg currently boasts a strong home record, with solid defensive statistics, allowing an average of only 1.2 goals per match at home this season. Fakel, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with a win rate of just 25% in away fixtures. This matchup will be crucial for both teams, as Orenburg seeks to maintain its mid-table position while Fakel aims to escape the relegation zone. Key players to watch include Orenburg's leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Fakel's playmaker, whose assists have been vital for their offense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fakel goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	6	3	1
1	13	14	5	1
2	11	9	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ FC Orenburg goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

29%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

29%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

73% Home (No Draw) 27% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	6.2%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%
1	12.7%	13.6%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.1%	9.3%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.7%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.2%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Orenburg	Draw	Fakel
FC Orenburg	32.6%	3.8%	1.0%
Draw	18.9%	19.0%	8.0%
Fakel	2.1%	3.9%	10.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Orenburg vs Fakel

1 FC Orenburg Wins

1 Draws

1 Fakel Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	Fakel	0 - 0	FC Orenburg
15 Mar 2025	FC Orenburg	1 - 0	Fakel
24 Aug 2024	Fakel	1 - 0	FC Orenburg

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FC Orenburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Dynamo	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Akron	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Spartak Moscow	D	1 - 1

Fakel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Baltika	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A FC Rostov	L	3 - 1
01 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Zenit	L	0 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.