Fakel vs Spartak Moscow Napoved

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

28 Nov 2026, 16:00

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Spartak Moscow

Away

UI napoved Preblizu za napoved

28%

32%

39%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Fakel proti Spartak Moscow: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Fakel na 28%, za Spartak Moscow na 39%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 32%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Fakel

LDLDL

Spartak Moscow

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings Fakel · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Fakel faces Spartak Moscow in a Premier League matchup that promises to be competitive. Spartak, historically a strong side, will look to capitalize on their attacking prowess, having averaged 1.8 goals per game this season. Meanwhile, Fakel's defense will be tested, as they have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game. With both teams vying for crucial points, the outcome may hinge on set-pieces and defensive organization. Key players to watch include Spartak's leading scorer and Fakel's goalkeeper, who will be pivotal in determining the match's result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

39%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Spartak Moscow goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	12	8	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	5	7	4	2
3	2	2	1	1
4		1
5

↑ Fakel goals · most likely 1–1 (15.0%)

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Players in form

Fakel

No scorer data.

Spartak Moscow

M. Ugalde 3 gls

M. Daku 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Draw

32%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Draw

32%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

58% Away (No Draw) 42% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.8%	11.7%	8.1%	3.3%	1.0%
1	9.3%	15.0%	8.1%	3.3%	1.0%
2	5.4%	6.6%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
3	1.8%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fakel	Draw	Spartak Moscow
Fakel	16.4%	4.3%	1.8%
Draw	11.6%	21.8%	15.7%
Spartak Moscow	1.3%	4.1%	23.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fakel vs Spartak Moscow

0 Fakel Wins

1 Draws

2 Spartak Moscow Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Sep 2026	Spartak Moscow	1 - 0	Fakel
04 May 2025	Fakel	0 - 0	Spartak Moscow
18 Aug 2024	Spartak Moscow	3 - 0	Fakel

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Fakel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Baltika	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A FC Rostov	L	3 - 1
01 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Zenit	L	0 - 1

Spartak Moscow — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Fakel	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	H FC Rostov	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	A Dynamo	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	H Rodina Moskva	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	H FC Orenburg	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.