KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise Napoved

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 14

12 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Union St. Gilloise

Away

UI napoved KV Mechelen ali neodločeno

45%

28%

27%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved KV Mechelen proti Union St. Gilloise: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za KV Mechelen na 45%, za Union St. Gilloise na 27%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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KV Mechelen

DLLDL

Union St. Gilloise

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings KV Mechelen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League match, KV Mechelen faces Union St. Gilloise. Mechelen has shown a solid home record this season, with a 60% win rate at home, while Union St. Gilloise has struggled on the road, earning only 30% of their points away from home. Both teams have been fairly evenly matched in terms of possession, but Mechelen's offensive efficiency, averaging 1.5 goals per game, could prove decisive against Union's defense, which concedes 1.2 goals per game. This matchup will hinge on Mechelen's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Union St. Gilloise goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	4	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	8	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ KV Mechelen goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

KV Mechelen

No scorer data.

Union St. Gilloise

R. Florucz 4 gls

R. Mofokeng 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	5.7%	4.4%	1.8%	0.5%
1	8.0%	13.2%	7.1%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.7%	9.4%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.2%	5.1%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.7%	2.1%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	KV Mechelen	Draw	Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen	27.8%	4.5%	1.8%
Draw	15.9%	16.7%	10.4%
Union St. Gilloise	2.5%	4.5%	15.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise

1 KV Mechelen Wins

1 Draws

1 Union St. Gilloise Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jan 2026	Union St. Gilloise	1 - 0	KV Mechelen
09 Nov 2025	KV Mechelen	1 - 1	Union St. Gilloise
16 Feb 2025	Union St. Gilloise	0 - 1	KV Mechelen

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KV Mechelen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Lommel United	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	H Anderlecht	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	H KVC Westerlo	L	0 - 4
29 Aug	A RAAL La Louvière	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	A Charleroi	L	2 - 0

Union St. Gilloise — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Antwerp	W	0 - 2
17 Sep	A Plzen	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lommel United	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A Charleroi	W	2 - 3
02 Sep	A St. Truiden	W	0 - 3

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.