Famalicao vs Estrela Napoved

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

14 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Estrela

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Estrela

15%

31%

54%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Famalicao proti Estrela: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Famalicao na 15%, za Estrela na 54%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 31%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:1 · 16.7%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Famalicao

WDDDL

Estrela

LDWDW

Last 3 meetings Famalicao · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Famalicao enters this matchup against Estrela with a current league standing that suggests a need for points to secure a higher position. The team's recent form shows a mixed bag of results, with a focus on improving their defensive solidity, having conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match in their last five outings. Estrela, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience, particularly in away fixtures, with a tendency to capitalize on counter-attacks. Key players from both sides will be crucial in determining the outcome, especially if Famalicao can leverage their attacking prowess while tightening their defense against Estrela's quick transitions. This clash promises to be tightly contested, with both teams eager to gain crucial points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

15%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

54%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estrela goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	14	17	13	6	2	1
1	7	13	8	4	1
2	3	4	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Famalicao goals · most likely 0–1 (16.7%)

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Players in form

Famalicao

G. Koutsias 5 gls

Estrela

A. Marcus 4 gls

L. Antonetti 4 gls

I. Stoica 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

31%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

31%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

78% Away (No Draw) 22% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.4%	16.7%	12.8%	6.0%	2.1%
1	6.8%	13.2%	8.2%	3.9%	1.4%
2	2.7%	3.7%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%
3	0.6%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Famalicao	Draw	Estrela
Famalicao	8.5%	3.4%	1.7%
Draw	7.0%	21.7%	20.3%
Estrela	0.7%	3.4%	33.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Famalicao vs Estrela

0 Famalicao Wins

2 Draws

1 Estrela Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	Estrela	2 - 2	Famalicao
11 May 2026	Estrela	0 - 0	Famalicao
27 Dec 2025	Famalicao	2 - 3	Estrela

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Famalicao — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Nacional	W	0 - 4
13 Sep	H Sporting CP	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Estrela	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H GIL Vicente	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Santa Clara	L	1 - 0

Estrela — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Academico Viseu	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Rio Ave	D	3 - 3
10 Sep	H SC Braga	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Famalicao	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Nacional	W	2 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.