Nacional vs Santa Clara Napoved

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

17 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Santa Clara

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Santa Clara

11%

26%

63%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Nacional proti Santa Clara: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Nacional na 11%, za Santa Clara na 63%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 26%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:1 · 16.2%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Nacional

LLLLL

Santa Clara

DWWDW

Last 3 meetings Nacional · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Nacional faces Santa Clara on January 17, 2027. Nacional has struggled this season, currently sitting near the bottom of the table, with a defensive record that shows vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Santa Clara, on the other hand, has displayed a more balanced approach, with a mid-table standing and a better goal differential. Key players to watch include Nacional's leading scorer, who will need to step up, while Santa Clara's midfield strength could dominate possession. This match could be pivotal for Nacional’s hopes of avoiding relegation.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

11%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

63%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Santa Clara goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	16	15	8	4	1
1	5	11	9	5	2	1
2	2	3	3	1	1
3		1
4
5

↑ Nacional goals · most likely 0–1 (16.2%)

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Players in form

Nacional

No scorer data.

Santa Clara

Gonçalo Paciência 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

26%

Home Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

26%

Home Win

11%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

85% Away (No Draw) 15% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 11% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.6%	16.2%	14.9%	8.4%	3.6%
1	4.7%	11.5%	8.6%	4.9%	2.1%
2	1.7%	3.0%	2.5%	1.4%	0.6%
3	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

34%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nacional	Draw	Santa Clara
Nacional	5.9%	3.0%	1.8%
Draw	5.1%	18.1%	21.9%
Santa Clara	0.6%	3.0%	40.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

56%

32%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

50%

1.5

50%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nacional vs Santa Clara

0 Nacional Wins

2 Draws

1 Santa Clara Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 Aug 2026	Santa Clara	2 - 2	Nacional
11 May 2026	Santa Clara	2 - 0	Nacional
11 Jan 2026	Nacional	3 - 3	Santa Clara

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Nacional — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Famalicao	L	0 - 4
12 Sep	H Alverca	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Sporting CP	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Estrela	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A Vitória SC	L	1 - 0

Santa Clara — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H SC Braga	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Arouca	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	H Rio Ave	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A Alverca	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Famalicao	W	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.