Estoril vs Moreirense Napoved

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9

25 Oct 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Moreirense

Away

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

UI napoved Estoril ali neodločeno

45%

33%

22%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Estoril proti Moreirense: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Estoril na 45%, za Moreirense na 22%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 33%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:0 · 15%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Estoril

LLDLL

Moreirense

DWLLW

Last 3 meetings Estoril · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Estoril hosts Moreirense in a Primeira Liga clash on October 25. Estoril has shown mixed form this season, currently sitting in the mid-table, while Moreirense struggles near the relegation zone. Estoril's home record has been solid, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match while conceding 1.2. Moreirense's away performance has been lackluster, with only one win in their last five matches on the road. The match could hinge on Estoril's ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess against a Moreirense defense that has conceded consistently.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

10%

Draw

33%

45%

Away

22%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Moreirense goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	15	9	4	1
1	15	15	5	1
2	10	8	3	1
3	4	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Estoril goals · most likely 0–0 (15.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

33%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

33%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.0%	8.7%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
1	14.8%	14.5%	5.0%	1.3%	0.3%
2	10.2%	8.0%	3.1%	0.8%	0.2%
3	4.2%	3.3%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.3%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estoril	Draw	Moreirense
Estoril	27.2%	3.8%	1.0%
Draw	17.8%	23.2%	9.6%
Moreirense	1.6%	3.8%	12.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estoril vs Moreirense

0 Estoril Wins

2 Draws

1 Moreirense Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Apr 2026	Moreirense	1 - 0	Estoril
07 Dec 2025	Estoril	3 - 3	Moreirense
11 May 2025	Moreirense	2 - 2	Estoril

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Estoril — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Casa Pia	L	1 - 2
14 Sep	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Arouca	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Benfica	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Rio Ave	L	0 - 2

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Maritimo	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 4
04 Sep	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Casa Pia	W	0 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.